- The Tigers are -220 favorites vs the Red Sox
- Red Sox vs Tigers Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Red Sox / Tigers TV Channel: FDDT | NESN
The Boston Red Sox (+180) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-220) on Wednesday, May 14, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Detroit, MI, MI.
This season, the Red Sox are 22-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 26-17 ATS.
Red Sox vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Hunter Dobbins 2-1, 2.82 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Tarik Skubal 4-2, 2.08 ERA
Red Sox vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | +1.5 -125 | O 7 +100 | +180 |
| Tigers | -1.5 +105 | U 7 -120 | -220 |
Red Sox vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 64.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Trevor Story has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+12.40 Units / 41% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+11.85 Units / 46% ROI)
- Wilyer Abreu has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games (+10.10 Units / 112% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.75 Units / 27% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 away games (+7.05 Units / 36% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Trey Sweeney has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+14.70 Units / 147% ROI)
- Tarik Skubal has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.65 Units / 38% ROI)
- Zach McKinstry has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+12.40 Units / 50% ROI)
- Zach McKinstry has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+10.30 Units / 34% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+10.00 Units / 39% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 26 games (+12.15 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 39 games (+11.10 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games (+6.49 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 34 games (+5.95 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 14 away games (+5.78 Units / 37% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 43 games (+15.33 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 40 games (+14.20 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 43 games (+13.00 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 15 games (+9.80 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+8.25 Units / 24% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 22-22 against the Run Line (+1.8 Units / 3.28% ROI).
- 22-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.46 Units / -11.91% ROI
- 21-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.92 Units / -6.02% ROI
- 22-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.7 Units / -1.45% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 26-17 against the Run Line (+6.5 Units / 11.57% ROI).
- 28-15 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.2 Units / 18.18% ROI
- 22-18 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.5 Units / 5.31% ROI
- 18-22 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.15 Units / -12.88% ROI
Tigers vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Alex Bregman (BOS) | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Trey Sweeney (DET) | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -1400 |
Tigers vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Gleyber Torres (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Colt Keith (DET) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Tigers vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Alex Bregman (BOS) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -295 |
| Gleyber Torres (DET) | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
Tigers vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tarik Skubal (DET) | 7.5 -125 | 7.5 -105 |
| Hunter Dobbins (BOS) | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -140 |
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hunter Dobbins allowed an OBP of just .067 (15 PA’s) against right-handed batters in his last start — 2nd best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .274 — 98th Percentile.
Hunter Dobbins has walked 4% of batters this season — 11th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 93rd Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of 36% (61/168) against Hunter Dobbins this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 62% (15/24) against Hunter Dobbins in his last two starts — 3rd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 46% — 96th Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tarik Skubal has a strikeout rate of 56% (10 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — best among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has a strike rate of 71% (796/1,113) in two strike counts since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has a strike rate of 71% (497/702) this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has a strikeout rate of 56% (10 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (2 game{NumGameSuffix}) — best among among AL Starters; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Red Sox are just 41-157 (.207) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .274.
The Red Sox are just 0-15 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .117.
The Red Sox are just 5-73 (.064) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .138.
The Red Sox were just 5-58 (.079) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Tigers are 21-66 (.241) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .138.
The Tigers were 18-54 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Tigers were 13-55 (.191) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Tigers are 15-68 (.181) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .096.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters have put just 29% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Red Sox hitters have struck out in 27% of it’s PA’s against LHP since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Red Sox hitters struck out 506 times in 1,816 PA’s (28%) against LHP in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Red Sox hitters are slugging .429 against RHP since the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters had an OPS of just .659 (1,395 PA’s) against LHP in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .711.
Tigers hitters have chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Tigers hitters slugged just .171 on pitches out of the zone in 2023 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.
The Tigers are batting .273 against LHP this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .238.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Red Sox pitchers since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Red Sox pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Red Sox pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers walked 416 of 5,969 batters (7%) in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers had an ERA of 2.93 (464.0 IP) against division opponents in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.32.
Tigers pitchers have walked 7% of batters since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Tigers pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
More MLB Reading:
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