Red Sox vs Tigers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 5

(AP Photo/Carlos Osorio)
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  • The Tigers are -175 favorites vs the Red Sox
  • Red Sox vs Tigers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Red Sox / Tigers TV Channel: NESN | DSN

The Boston Red Sox (+145) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-175) on May 5, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in Detroit, MI.

This season, the Red Sox are 14-21 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 16-17 ATS.

Red Sox vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Red Sox starting pitcher: Jovani Moran 0-0, 2.37 ERA
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Framber Valdez 2-1, 3.32 ERA

Red Sox vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Red Sox+1.5 -145O 8 -102+145
Tigers -1.5 +120U 8 -118-175

Red Sox vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 61.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Carlos Narvaez has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games (+15.00 Units / 214% ROI)
  • Roman Anthony has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.55 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Wilyer Abreu has hit the Walks Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+11.00 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Brayan Bello has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 11 of his last 15 away games (+8.70 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Brayan Bello has hit the Strikeouts Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.45 Units / 46% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Dillon Dingler has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games at home (+18.60 Units / 233% ROI)
  • Wenceel Perez has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+14.95 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Wenceel Perez has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+13.20 Units / 88% ROI)
  • Wenceel Perez has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+12.00 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Wenceel Perez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+10.65 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games (+8.10 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 16 away games (+7.65 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 45 games (+4.90 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.15 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+2.00 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 45 games at home (+14.15 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+12.45 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 17 games at home (+8.95 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 17 games at home (+8.40 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 45 games at home (+8.40 Units / 16% ROI)

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 11-23 against the Run Line (-12.4 Units / -30.06% ROI).

  • 14-21 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.5 Units / -28.06% ROI
  • 17-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.95 Units / -5.03% ROI
  • 17-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.6 Units / -4.18% ROI

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 16-17 against the Run Line (+0.1 Units / 0.23% ROI).

  • 18-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.1 Units / -6.78% ROI
  • 17-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.75 Units / -4.39% ROI
  • 17-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.5 Units / -3.81% ROI

Tigers vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Riley Greene +500
Willson Contreras +525
Spencer Torkelson +550
Dillon Dingler +700
Wilyer Abreu +700

Tigers vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Kevin McGonigle 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Riley Greene 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Dillon Dingler 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Gleyber Torres 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Wilyer Abreu 0.5 -200 0.5 +145

Tigers vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Spencer Torkelson 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Riley Greene 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Wilyer Abreu 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Ceddanne Rafaela 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Carlos Narvaez 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Red Sox are just 1-11 (.083) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .367.

The Red Sox are just 0-19 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .057.

The Red Sox are just 0-18 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .109.

The Red Sox are just 4-17 (.190) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .274.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Tigers are 5-13 (.278) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .109.

The Tigers are just 1-6 (.143) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .367.

The Tigers are 12-4 (.750) at home this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .535.

The Tigers are 90-25 (.783) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .716.

The Red Sox are batting just .280 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Red Sox hitters are slugging just .346 against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Red Sox hitters are slugging just .426 in non-two strike counts this season — lowest in MLB.

The Red Sox are batting .198 on pitches out of the zone this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Tigers are batting .280 with two outs this season — best in MLB.

Tigers hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Tigers hitters have drawn walks in 13% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB.

The Tigers are batting just .208 against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have walked 5% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .201 against Red Sox pitchers this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .172 against Red Sox pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Red Sox pitchers over the past seven days (6 games) — 4th lowest in MLB.

Tigers pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2025 season — tied for best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Tigers pitchers over the past seven days (7 games) — highest in MLB.

Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 23% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 22% in close and late situations since the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.