- The Red Sox are +100 favorites vs the Tigers
- Red Sox vs Tigers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Red Sox / Tigers TV Channel: NESN | DSN | WJBK
The Boston Red Sox (+100) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-120) on May 6, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in Detroit, MI.
This season, the Red Sox are 15-21 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 16-18 ATS.
Red Sox vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Sonny Gray 2-1, 4.31 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Jack Flaherty 0-2, 5.90 ERA
Red Sox vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | -1.5 +165 | O 8.5 -118 | +100 |
| Tigers | +1.5 -200 | U 8.5 -102 | -120 |
Red Sox vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 52.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jarren Duran has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+17.70 Units / 354% ROI)
- Marcelo Mayer has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+13.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- Wilyer Abreu has hit the Walks Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+11.65 Units / 129% ROI)
- Jarren Duran has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 25 away games (+10.55 Units / 42% ROI)
- Wilyer Abreu has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+10.30 Units / 34% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Dillon Dingler has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games at home (+17.60 Units / 196% ROI)
- Wenceel Perez has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+14.95 Units / 49% ROI)
- Kevin McGonigle has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.00 Units / 27% ROI)
- Wenceel Perez has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+12.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Kevin McGonigle has hit the Walks Over in 10 of his last 15 games at home (+11.10 Units / 74% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 17 away games (+8.65 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games (+5.90 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 15 away games (+5.80 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 away games (+3.45 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+3.25 Units / 23% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+12.75 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 45 games at home (+12.15 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 45 games at home (+8.30 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 18 games at home (+7.95 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+6.90 Units / 28% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 12-23 against the Run Line (-11.4 Units / -26.57% ROI).
- 15-21 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.2 Units / -24.59% ROI
- 18-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.95 Units / -2.38% ROI
- 17-18 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.75 Units / -6.97% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 16-18 against the Run Line (-0.9 Units / -2% ROI).
- 18-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.6 Units / -9.74% ROI
- 18-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.75 Units / -1.83% ROI
- 17-18 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.65 Units / -6.54% ROI
Tigers vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| Wilyer Abreu | +425 |
| Willson Contreras | +425 |
| Riley Greene | +475 |
| Spencer Torkelson | +475 |
| Marcelo Mayer | +500 |
Tigers vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kevin McGonigle | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Jarren Duran | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Gleyber Torres | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Wilyer Abreu | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Tigers vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Torkelson | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Roman Anthony | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Wilyer Abreu | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Red Sox are just 4-17 (.190) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .275.
The Red Sox are 85-4 (.955) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .906.
The Red Sox are 87-2 (.978) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .954.
The Red Sox are just 0-18 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .110.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Tigers are just 1-7 (.125) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .376.
The Tigers are 5-14 (.263) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .110.
The Tigers are 39-14 (.736) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .634.
The Tigers are 90-25 (.783) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The Red Sox are batting .196 on pitches out of the zone this season — 3rd best in MLB.
The Red Sox are batting .260 against LHP since the 2025 season — best in MLB.
Red Sox hitters have an OPS of just .678 (1,364 PA’s) this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.
Red Sox hitters are slugging just .342 against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have chased 23% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.
The Tigers are batting .278 with two outs this season — best in MLB.
The Tigers are batting just .212 against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB.
Tigers hitters have drawn walks in 10% of their PA’s against LHP since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 5% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .175 against Red Sox pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Red Sox pitchers since the 2025 season — 4th highest in MLB.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .204 against Red Sox pitchers this season — best in MLB.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .236 against Tigers pitchers with runners on base since the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB.
Tigers pitchers have walked 6% of batters over the past seven days (7 games) — 5th best in MLB.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 51% against Tigers pitchers over the past seven days (7 games) — 2nd highest in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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