Red Sox vs Tigers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 6

Detroit Tigers' Parker Meadows reacts after hitting a double against the Oakland Athletics during the third inning of a baseball game Sunday, Sept. 24, 2023, in Oakland, Calif.
(AP Photo/Godofredo A. Vรกsquez)
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  • The Red Sox are +100 favorites vs the Tigers
  • Red Sox vs Tigers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Red Sox / Tigers TV Channel: NESN | DSN | WJBK

The Boston Red Sox (+100) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-120) on May 6, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in Detroit, MI.

This season, the Red Sox are 15-21 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 16-18 ATS.

Red Sox vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Red Sox starting pitcher: Sonny Gray 2-1, 4.31 ERA
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Jack Flaherty 0-2, 5.90 ERA

Red Sox vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Red Sox-1.5 +165O 8.5 -118+100
Tigers +1.5 -200U 8.5 -102-120

Red Sox vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 52.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jarren Duran has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+17.70 Units / 354% ROI)
  • Marcelo Mayer has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+13.40 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Wilyer Abreu has hit the Walks Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+11.65 Units / 129% ROI)
  • Jarren Duran has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 25 away games (+10.55 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Wilyer Abreu has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+10.30 Units / 34% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Dillon Dingler has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games at home (+17.60 Units / 196% ROI)
  • Wenceel Perez has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+14.95 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Kevin McGonigle has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.00 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Wenceel Perez has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+12.00 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Kevin McGonigle has hit the Walks Over in 10 of his last 15 games at home (+11.10 Units / 74% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 17 away games (+8.65 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games (+5.90 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 15 away games (+5.80 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 away games (+3.45 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+3.25 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+12.75 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 45 games at home (+12.15 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 45 games at home (+8.30 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 18 games at home (+7.95 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+6.90 Units / 28% ROI)

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 12-23 against the Run Line (-11.4 Units / -26.57% ROI).

  • 15-21 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.2 Units / -24.59% ROI
  • 18-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.95 Units / -2.38% ROI
  • 17-18 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.75 Units / -6.97% ROI

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 16-18 against the Run Line (-0.9 Units / -2% ROI).

  • 18-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.6 Units / -9.74% ROI
  • 18-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.75 Units / -1.83% ROI
  • 17-18 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.65 Units / -6.54% ROI

Tigers vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Wilyer Abreu +425
Willson Contreras +425
Riley Greene +475
Spencer Torkelson +475
Marcelo Mayer +500

Tigers vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Kevin McGonigle 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Jarren Duran 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Gleyber Torres 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Wilyer Abreu 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Riley Greene 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Tigers vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Spencer Torkelson 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Roman Anthony 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Ceddanne Rafaela 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Kerry Carpenter 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Wilyer Abreu 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Red Sox are just 4-17 (.190) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .275.

The Red Sox are 85-4 (.955) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .906.

The Red Sox are 87-2 (.978) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .954.

The Red Sox are just 0-18 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .110.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Tigers are just 1-7 (.125) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .376.

The Tigers are 5-14 (.263) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .110.

The Tigers are 39-14 (.736) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .634.

The Tigers are 90-25 (.783) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .716.

The Red Sox are batting .196 on pitches out of the zone this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Red Sox are batting .260 against LHP since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Red Sox hitters have an OPS of just .678 (1,364 PA’s) this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Red Sox hitters are slugging just .342 against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Tigers hitters have chased 23% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

The Tigers are batting .278 with two outs this season — best in MLB.

The Tigers are batting just .212 against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Tigers hitters have drawn walks in 10% of their PA’s against LHP since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have walked 5% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .175 against Red Sox pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Red Sox pitchers since the 2025 season — 4th highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .204 against Red Sox pitchers this season — best in MLB.

Tigers pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .236 against Tigers pitchers with runners on base since the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB.

Tigers pitchers have walked 6% of batters over the past seven days (7 games) — 5th best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 51% against Tigers pitchers over the past seven days (7 games) — 2nd highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.