• The Red Sox are -160 favorites vs the Twins
• Red Sox vs Twins Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
• Red Sox / Twins TV Channel: TWTV | NESN

The Boston Red Sox (-160) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (+135) on April 13, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 pm in Minneapolis, MN.

This season, the Red Sox are 6-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 10-6 ATS.

Red Sox vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:

• Red Sox starting pitcher: Garrett Crochet 2-1, 3.06 ERA
• Twins starting pitcher: Bailey Ober 1-0, 5.27 ERA

Red Sox vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Red Sox vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Monday‘s MLB game with 59.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

• Caleb Durbin has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 away games (+11.35 Units / 43% ROI)
• Willson Contreras has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+10.20 Units / 113% ROI)
• Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 25 games (+9.85 Units / 39% ROI)
• Caleb Durbin has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+9.55 Units / 30% ROI)
• Caleb Durbin has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+8.85 Units / 28% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Brooks Lee has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+15.00 Units / 375% ROI)
• Byron Buxton has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+9.70 Units / 25% ROI)
• Luke Keaschall has hit the Runs Over in his last 6 games (+9.45 Units / 158% ROI)
• Austin Martin has hit the Walks Over in 10 of his last 20 games at home (+8.40 Units / 42% ROI)
• Austin Martin has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+8.40 Units / 17% ROI)

Red Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+7.15 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 22 games (+5.05 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.95 Units / 54% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 50 away games (+3.15 Units / 5% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 50 away games (+2.70 Units / 4% ROI)

Twins Best Bets Today:

• The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 22 games (+9.00 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.85 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games (+7.15 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+6.20 Units / 54% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.20 Units / 34% ROI)

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 5-10 against the Run Line (-4.35 Units / -26.61% ROI).

• 6-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.8 Units / -28.86% ROI
• 8-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.3 Units / 1.83% ROI
• 7-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.85 Units / -11.08% ROI

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are 10-6 against the Run Line (+2 Units / 8.47% ROI).

• 9-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.5 Units / 21.08% ROI
• 8-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.25 Units / 1.42% ROI
• 7-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.85 Units / -10.51% ROI

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Red Sox are just 0-8 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .024.

The Red Sox are just 0-7 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .097.

The Red Sox are just 0-6 (.000) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .218.

The Red Sox were 37-14 (.725) when they scored in the first inning in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .636.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Twins were just 5-19 (.208) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins are just 6-21 (.222) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins are just 0-6 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .024.

The Twins were just 9-41 (.180) when allowing 2 or more home runs in the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .301.

Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends

Red Sox hitters have struck out in just 15% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Red Sox hitters have chased 15% of pitches out of the zone in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB.

Red Sox hitters have put 47% of their swings in play against LHP this season — highest in MLB.

Red Sox hitters have chased 23% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Twins Hitting Stats & Trends

Twins hitters slugged just .163 on pitches out of the zone in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Twins batted just .126 on pitches out of the zone in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Twins are batting just .123 on pitches out of the zone since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Twins hitters are slugging just .162 on pitches out of the zone since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of 56% against Red Sox pitchers over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .176 against Red Sox pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Red Sox pitchers this month (10 games) — highest in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have walked 5% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th best in MLB.

Twins Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% against Twins pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Twins pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 39% against Twins pitchers in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Twins pitchers induced opposing hitters to ground into just 80 double plays in 1,117 opportunities (7%) in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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