• The Red Sox are -140 favorites vs the Twins
• Red Sox vs Twins Over / Under today: 8 Runs
• Red Sox / Twins TV Channel: TWTV | NSN+

The Boston Red Sox (-140) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (+115) on April 14, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 pm in Minneapolis, MN.

This season, the Red Sox are 6-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 11-6 ATS.

Red Sox vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:

• Red Sox starting pitcher: Sonny Gray 2-0, 2.70 ERA
• Twins starting pitcher: Mick Abel 0-2, 6.08 ERA

Red Sox vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Red Sox vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 58.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

• Trevor Story has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+10.45 Units / 149% ROI)
• Willson Contreras has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+9.20 Units / 92% ROI)
• Caleb Durbin has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 25 away games (+9.15 Units / 34% ROI)
• Caleb Durbin has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+9.05 Units / 49% ROI)
• Marcelo Mayer has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 8 games (+8.40 Units / 76% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Ryan Jeffers has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+12.90 Units / 322% ROI)
• Josh Bell has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 20 games (+8.85 Units / 44% ROI)
• Austin Martin has hit the Walks Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+8.65 Units / 87% ROI)
• Austin Martin has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+8.40 Units / 17% ROI)
• Tristan Gray has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+7.85 Units / 19% ROI)

Red Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+7.15 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.95 Units / 56% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.30 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+2.30 Units / 46% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.10 Units / 21% ROI)

Twins Best Bets Today:

• The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 23 games (+10.40 Units / 42% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.85 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+7.60 Units / 61% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.35 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.25 Units / 55% ROI)

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 5-11 against the Run Line (-5.35 Units / -30.84% ROI).

• 6-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.45 Units / -34.25% ROI
• 9-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.3 Units / 7.41% ROI
• 7-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.9 Units / -16.34% ROI

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are 11-6 against the Run Line (+3 Units / 12.07% ROI).

• 10-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.9 Units / 27.84% ROI
• 9-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.25 Units / 6.67% ROI
• 7-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.9 Units / -15.55% ROI

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Red Sox are just 0-7 (.000) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .227.

The Red Sox are just 0-9 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .027.

The Red Sox are just 0-8 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .093.

The Red Sox were 37-14 (.725) when they scored in the first inning in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .636.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Twins were just 5-19 (.208) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins are just 6-21 (.222) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins are just 27-32 (.458) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2025 season Today, they face the Red Sox (22nd runs allowed).

The Twins are just 4-76 (.050) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .091.

Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends

Red Sox hitters have struck out in just 15% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Red Sox hitters have chased 23% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Red Sox hitters have chased 15% of pitches out of the zone in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB.

Red Sox hitters have put 47% of their swings in play against LHP this season — highest in MLB.

Twins Hitting Stats & Trends

The Twins batted just .226 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Twins hitters slugged just .163 on pitches out of the zone in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Twins hitters are slugging just .162 on pitches out of the zone since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Twins are batting just .123 on pitches out of the zone since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends

Red Sox pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th best in MLB.

The longest HR allowed by the Red Sox pitchers in the 2025 season traveled 511.8 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB

Opponents have a groundball rate of 51% against Red Sox pitchers over the past seven days (6 games) — 2nd highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .190 against Red Sox pitchers this season — tied for best in MLB.

Twins Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% against Twins pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

Twins pitchers walked 7% of batters in the 2025 season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Twins pitchers this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

Twins pitchers have walked 8% of batters since the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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