• The Red Sox are -130 favorites vs the Twins
• Red Sox vs Twins Over / Under today: 8 Runs
• Red Sox / Twins TV Channel: TWTV | NESN

The Boston Red Sox (-130) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (+110) on April 15, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40 pm in Minneapolis, MN.

This season, the Red Sox are 6-11 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 12-6 ATS.

Red Sox vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:

• Red Sox starting pitcher: Connelly Early 0-0, 2.64 ERA
• Twins starting pitcher: Simeon Woods Richardson 0-2, 4.60 ERA

Red Sox vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Red Sox vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 53.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

• Caleb Durbin has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 away games (+12.00 Units / 45% ROI)
• Trevor Story has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+9.45 Units / 118% ROI)
• Caleb Durbin has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+9.40 Units / 39% ROI)
• Masataka Yoshida has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 20 games (+8.25 Units / 41% ROI)
• Roman Anthony has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+8.25 Units / 27% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Brooks Lee has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+23.50 Units / 470% ROI)
• Luke Keaschall has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+10.10 Units / 126% ROI)
• Austin Martin has hit the Walks Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+8.65 Units / 87% ROI)
• Austin Martin has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+8.40 Units / 17% ROI)
• Ryan Jeffers has hit the RBIs Over in his last 4 games (+7.55 Units / 189% ROI)

Red Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 40 games (+7.55 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 24 games (+4.80 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.40 Units / 36% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 6 games (+1.30 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 6 games (+0.10 Units / 2% ROI)

Twins Best Bets Today:

• The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 24 games (+11.45 Units / 45% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 24 games (+9.85 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+8.80 Units / 65% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.35 Units / 41% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 9 games (+7.25 Units / 57% ROI)

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 5-12 against the Run Line (-6.35 Units / -34.6% ROI).

• 6-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.85 Units / -38.23% ROI
• 9-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.2 Units / 1.07% ROI
• 8-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.9 Units / -10.08% ROI

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are 12-6 against the Run Line (+4 Units / 15.24% ROI).

• 11-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.1 Units / 32.8% ROI
• 9-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.15 Units / 0.76% ROI
• 8-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.9 Units / -9.62% ROI

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Red Sox are just 0-8 (.000) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .235.

The Red Sox are just 0-9 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .101.

The Red Sox were 37-14 (.725) when they scored in the first inning in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .636.

The Red Sox are just 0-10 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .034.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Twins were just 5-19 (.208) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins are just 6-21 (.222) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins are just 0-6 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .101.

The Twins are just 4-76 (.050) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .091.

Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends

Red Sox hitters have chased 23% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Red Sox hitters have put 46% of their swings in play against LHP this season — highest in MLB.

Red Sox hitters have struck out in just 15% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Red Sox hitters have chased 16% of pitches out of the zone in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB.

Twins Hitting Stats & Trends

The Twins are batting just .123 on pitches out of the zone since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Twins hitters are slugging just .164 on pitches out of the zone since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Twins hitters slugged just .163 on pitches out of the zone in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Twins hitters have a 57% QAB rate with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB.

Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Red Sox pitchers since the 2025 season — 4th highest in MLB.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 46% against Red Sox pitchers in the 2025 season — 4th highest in MLB.

The longest HR allowed by the Red Sox pitchers in the 2025 season traveled 511.8 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .193 against Red Sox pitchers this season — best in MLB.

Twins Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Twins pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 39% against Twins pitchers in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Twins pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Twins pitchers induced opposing hitters to ground into just 80 double plays in 1,117 opportunities (7%) in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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