Red Sox vs Twins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 29

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 29, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Twins (65-61) are -120 favorites vs the Red Sox (62-66)
  • Red Sox starting pitcher: Brayan Bello (0-3), 7.36 ERA
  • Twins starting pitcher: Dylan Bundy (7-6), 4.55 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSN

The Boston Red Sox (+100) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-120) on Monday, August 29, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Minneapolis.

The Twins are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).

The Red Sox vs Twins Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Red Sox are 60-65 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 57-67 ATS.

Red Sox vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Red Sox+1.5 -190O 8.5 -105+100
Twins -1.5 +155U 8.5 -115-120

Red Sox vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Monday‘s matchup with 53.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Red Sox and Twins and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Twins vs Red Sox and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 22 games (+16.50 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Alex Verdugo has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 42 games (+14.95 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Alex Verdugo has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 40 away games (+13.05 Units / 16% ROI)
  • J.D. Martinez has hit the RBIs Under in 15 of his last 16 away games (+12.85 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Enrique Hernandez has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+11.00 Units / 110% ROI)

Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Carlos Correa has hit the Singles Over in 31 of his last 43 games at home (+16.55 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Jose Miranda has hit the RBIs Over in 24 of his last 44 games (+16.00 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Carlos Correa has hit the Total Bases Under in 33 of his last 46 games (+12.70 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Alex Kirilloff has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+11.80 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Max Kepler has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 23 games (+10.65 Units / 32% ROI)

Twins vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Carlos Correa 0.5 +425 0.5 -900
Gilberto Celestino 0.5 +950 0.5 -10000
Gio Urshela 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400
Jake Cave 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
Jose Miranda 0.5 +400 0.5 -750

Twins vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Carlos Correa 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
Gilberto Celestino 0.5 -190 0.5 +135
Gio Urshela 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Jake Cave 0.5 -165 0.5 +120
Jose Miranda 0.5 -250 0.5 +170

Twins vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Carlos Correa 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
Gilberto Celestino 0.5 +225 0.5 -350
Gio Urshela 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Jake Cave 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
Jose Miranda 0.5 +130 0.5 -185

Twins vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Dylan Bundy 3.5 +125 3.5 -185
Brayan Bello 3.5 -130 3.5 -110
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 59 of their last 108 games (+8.35 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 26 of their last 46 games (+7.10 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 70 of their last 124 games (+11.00 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 18 of their last 30 games at home (+9.70 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+3.25 Units / 14% ROI)

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 63-62 against the Run Line (-1.35 Units / -0.86% ROI).

  • 60-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.75 Units / -7.67% ROI
  • 56-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.05 Units / -5.85% ROI
  • 59-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.95 Units / -1.41% ROI

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 57-67 against the Run Line (-11.75 Units / -7.92% ROI).

  • 65-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.95 Units / -1.17% ROI
  • 58-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.65 Units / -1.94% ROI
  • 56-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.8 Units / -5.68% ROI

Brayan Bello has limited playing time.

Dylan Bundy: Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Dylan Bundy has a strike rate of 70% (455/651) when ahead in the count this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 98th Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 39% of Dylan Bundy’s breaking pitches (410/1,060) since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 143 total IP; League Avg: 47% — second Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 32% (61/190) against Dylan Bundy this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total IP; League Avg: 43% — third Percentile.

Dylan Bundy has a strike rate of 74% (334/450) in two strike counts this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total IP; League Avg: 66% — 100th Percentile.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Red Sox are just 5-11 (.312) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Red Sox are just 8-10 (.444) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Red Sox are just 7-27 (.206) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .289.

The Red Sox are just 3-48 (.059) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .114.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Twins are just 3-9 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins are 58-19 (.753) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .703.

The Twins are just 9-25 (.265) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .335.

The Twins are just 55-7 (.887) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.

The Red Sox are batting .275 at home since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

The Red Sox are batting .183 with two-strikes since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .168.

The Red Sox are batting .267 against LHP this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .245.

The Red Sox are batting .267 at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .246.

Twins hitters are slugging .603 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .569.

Twins hitters have an OPS of .763 (1,611 PA’s) in the first 3 innings this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .711.

The Twins have scored first in 62% of their road games since the start of last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.

The Twins have scored 1.19 runs per game (339/286) in late innings since the start of last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.31.

Red Sox pitchers have walked 2 of 107 batters (2%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 6%.

The Red Sox pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Red Sox pitchers have allowed a run 42% of the time after an opposing score this month (25 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.

The Red Sox have won 40% of games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Twins have won just 12% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the start of 2020 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Twins vs. Red Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Daniel Coulombe (Twins): Hip, D60
  • Jhon Romero (Twins): Biceps, D60
  • Randy Dobnak (Twins): Finger, D60
  • Alexander Kirilloff (Twins): Wrist, D60
  • Miguel Sanó (Twins): Knee, D60
  • Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
  • Tyler Mahle (Twins): Shoulder, D15
  • Kenta Maeda (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Byron Buxton (Twins): Hip, D10
  • Bryson Sands (Twins): Arm, D15
  • Jorge Polanco (Twins): Knee, Day-to-Day
  • Trevor Larnach (Twins): Core, D10
  • John Ober (Twins): Groin, D60
  • Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Jorge Alcala (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Cody Stashak (Twins): Shoulder, D60
  • Ryan Jeffers (Twins): Thumb, D10
  • James Paxton (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Christopher Sale (Red Sox): Finger, D60
  • Tanner Houck (Red Sox): Back, D15
  • Eric Hosmer (Red Sox): Back, D10
  • Nathan Eovaldi (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
  • Josh Taylor (Red Sox): Back, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.