Red Sox vs White Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 7

Chicago White Sox's Andrew Benintendi adjusts his helmet while standing on third base during the first inning of a spring training baseball game against the Texas Rangers in Phoenix, Monday, Feb. 26, 2024.
(AP Photo/Ashley Landis)
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  • The Red Sox are -130 favorites vs the White Sox
  • Red Sox vs White Sox Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Red Sox / White Sox TV Channel: NESN | CHSN

The Boston Red Sox (-130) visit Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+105) on July 7, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 pm in Chicago, IL.

This season, the Red Sox are against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are ATS.

Red Sox vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Red Sox starting pitcher: Payton Tolle 4-6, 3.41 ERA
  • White Sox starting pitcher: Noah Schultz 2-5, 5.82 ERA

Red Sox vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Red Sox-1.5 +135O 8.5 -115-130
White Sox +1.5 -160U 8.5 -105+105

Red Sox vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 52.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Caleb Durbin has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 away games (+23.00 Units / 230% ROI)
  • Jarren Duran has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+16.20 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Jarren Duran has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+11.35 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Anthony Seigler has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.25 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Carlos Narvaez has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 44% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Tristan Peters has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games at home (+15.00 Units / 214% ROI)
  • Miguel Vargas has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+10.50 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Tristan Peters has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.35 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Miguel Vargas has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+8.85 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Braden Montgomery has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+8.80 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+9.85 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 12 games (+8.20 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 12 games (+8.05 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 25 away games (+6.95 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.50 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 30 games at home (+19.65 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 30 games at home (+15.10 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 32 of their last 50 games (+12.40 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games (+10.30 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.55 Units / 40% ROI)

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the White Sox are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

White Sox vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Colson Montgomery +250
Willson Contreras +300
Miguel Vargas +340
Randal Grichuk +340
Junior Perez +400

White Sox vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ceddanne Rafaela 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Willson Contreras 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Randal Grichuk 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Romy Gonzalez 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Chase Meidroth 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

White Sox vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Carlos Narvaez 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Wilyer Abreu 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Nathan Eaton 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Drew Romo 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Anthony Seigler 0.5 -235 0.5 +175

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Red Sox are just 0-43 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .054.

The Red Sox are just 1-7 (.125) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Red Sox are just 1-40 (.024) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .099.

The Red Sox are just 3-26 (.103) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The White Sox are 28-14 (.667) at home this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .523.

The White Sox are 9-3 (.750) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The White Sox are 7-32 (.179) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .139.

The White Sox are just 111-44 (.716) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .865.

The Red Sox have a winning percentage of just 39% at home this season — lowest in MLB.

Red Sox hitters have an OPS of just .677 (2,447 PA’s) against RHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Red Sox hitters are slugging just .301 on breaking pitches against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Red Sox hitters have an OPS of just .682 (1,444 PA’s) with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB.

White Sox hitters have 47 extra-base hits out of 95 total hits (49%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.

White Sox hitters are slugging .429 against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB.

The White Sox have a winning percentage of 67% at home this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

White Sox hitters have missed on 27% of swings this season — 5th highest in MLB.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Red Sox won just 6% of the time this season — lowest in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Red Sox have won just 28% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB.

White Sox pitchers have walked 12% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

White Sox pitchers have walked 10% of batters this season — 4th highest in MLB.

The White Sox have won 56% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

White Sox pitchers have an ERA of 5.15 (400.0 IP) on the road this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.