Red Sox vs White Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 8

Chicago White Sox's Brooks Baldwin hits a home run during the fourth inning of a baseball game against the Washington Nationals, Saturday, Sept. 27, 2025, in Washington. (AP Photo/Daniel Kucin Jr.)
(AP Photo/Daniel Kucin Jr.)
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  • The White Sox are -120 favorites vs the Red Sox
  • Red Sox vs White Sox Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Red Sox / White Sox TV Channel: NESN | CHSN

The Boston Red Sox (+100) visit Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (-120) on July 8, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 pm in Chicago, IL.

This season, the Red Sox are 41-48 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 51-37 ATS.

Red Sox vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Red Sox starting pitcher: Jake Bennett 3-3, 3.10 ERA
  • White Sox starting pitcher: Davis Martin 9-3, 3.10 ERA

Red Sox vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Red Sox+1.5 -190O 8 -110+100
White Sox -1.5 +155U 8 -110-120

Red Sox vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 56.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jarren Duran has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.20 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Jarren Duran has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+8.60 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Jake Bennett has hit the Pitching Outs Over in his last 7 games (+7.45 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Chase Meidroth has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 away games (+7.00 Units / 175% ROI)
  • Kyle Teel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.90 Units / 42% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Davis Martin has hit the Earned Runs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.80 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Sam Antonacci has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+9.50 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Sam Antonacci has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+9.15 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Colson Montgomery has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+6.95 Units / 116% ROI)
  • Davis Martin has hit the Strikeouts Over in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+6.00 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 17 games (+10.85 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 13 games (+9.20 Units / 60% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 13 games (+9.20 Units / 60% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.90 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.50 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 30 games at home (+17.65 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 30 games at home (+12.55 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games (+12.40 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 32 of their last 50 games (+12.15 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.25 Units / 32% ROI)

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 41-46 against the Run Line (-6.1 Units / -5.4% ROI).

  • 41-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.4 Units / -15.77% ROI
  • 41-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.95 Units / -8.08% ROI
  • 44-41 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.3 Units / -1.33% ROI

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 51-37 against the Run Line (+1.5 Units / 1.15% ROI).

  • 47-43 when betting on the Moneyline for +11 Units / 11.59% ROI
  • 52-36 when betting on the total runs Over for +12.65 Units / 12.86% ROI
  • 36-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -21.65 Units / -21.73% ROI

White Sox vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Colson Montgomery +270
Willson Contreras +333
Miguel Vargas +340
Randal Grichuk +340
Junior Perez +360

White Sox vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ceddanne Rafaela 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Chase Meidroth 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Wilyer Abreu 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Miguel Vargas 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Masataka Yoshida 0.5 -220 0.5 +165

White Sox vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Wilyer Abreu 0.5 -235 0.5 +170
Ceddanne Rafaela 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Anthony Seigler 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Jake Bennett 3.5 -200 3.5 +145
Tsung-Che Cheng 0.5 -165 0.5 +125

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Red Sox are just 3-26 (.103) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

The Red Sox are just 1-7 (.125) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Red Sox are just 0-43 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .054.

The Red Sox are just 1-40 (.024) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .098.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The White Sox are 28-14 (.667) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .522.

The White Sox are 9-3 (.750) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The White Sox are 24-18 (.571) after a loss this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .485.

The White Sox were just 33-23 (.589) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.

Red Sox hitters are slugging just .373 against RHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Red Sox are batting .264 against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Red Sox have a winning percentage of just 39% at home this season — lowest in MLB.

Red Sox hitters have an OPS of .760 (844 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB.

White Sox hitters have 47 extra-base hits out of 95 total hits (49%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.

29% of White Sox hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — 4th highest in MLB.

White Sox hitters are slugging .636 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

White Sox hitters are slugging .429 against LHP this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Red Sox won just 6% of the time this season — lowest in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have won only 18% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

White Sox pitchers have walked 12% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

The White Sox have won 56% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

White Sox pitchers have an ERA of 3.22 (388.0 IP) at home this season — 3rd best in MLB.

White Sox pitchers have walked 10% of batters this season — 4th highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.