Red Sox vs White Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 9

Chicago White Sox' Kyle Teel, right, is greeted by Lenyn Sosa after he scored on a double by Brooks Baldwin during the first inning of a baseball game against the Washington Nationals, Friday, Sept. 26, 2025, in Washington. (AP Photo/Nick Wass)
(AP Photo/Nick Wass)
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  • The Red Sox are -102 favorites vs the White Sox
  • Red Sox vs White Sox Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • Red Sox / White Sox TV Channel: NESN | CHSN

The Boston Red Sox (-102) visit Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (-118) on July 9, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 pm in Chicago, IL.

This season, the Red Sox are 42-48 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 51-38 ATS.

Red Sox vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Red Sox starting pitcher: Patrick Sandoval 0-0, 0.00 ERA
  • White Sox starting pitcher: Anthony Kay 6-3, 4.27 ERA

Red Sox vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Red Sox-1.5 +155O 9 -110-102
White Sox +1.5 -190U 9 -110-118

Red Sox vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 52.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Andruw Monasterio has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 away games (+15.50 Units / 194% ROI)
  • Jarren Duran has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.50 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Carlos Narvaez has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Jarren Duran has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 25 games (+8.90 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Andruw Monasterio has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+8.35 Units / 33% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Junior Perez has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games (+11.00 Units / 183% ROI)
  • Sam Antonacci has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+9.50 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Sam Antonacci has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+9.15 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Anthony Kay has hit the Walks Allowed Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.85 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Braden Montgomery has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.65 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 18 games (+11.85 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 35 away games (+10.30 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 14 games (+10.20 Units / 61% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 14 games (+10.20 Units / 61% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.50 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 35 games at home (+15.95 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games (+10.30 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 30 games at home (+9.75 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games (+9.55 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.25 Units / 26% ROI)

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 42-46 against the Run Line (-4.55 Units / -3.99% ROI).

  • 42-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.4 Units / -14.72% ROI
  • 41-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.05 Units / -9.1% ROI
  • 45-41 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.3 Units / -0.3% ROI

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 51-38 against the Run Line (-0.3 Units / -0.23% ROI).

  • 47-44 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.9 Units / 10.31% ROI
  • 52-37 when betting on the total runs Over for +11.55 Units / 11.61% ROI
  • 37-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -20.65 Units / -20.5% ROI

White Sox vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Willson Contreras +250
Colson Montgomery +250
Miguel Vargas +325
Randal Grichuk +340
Junior Perez +350

White Sox vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Romy Gonzalez 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Ceddanne Rafaela 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Miguel Vargas 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Willson Contreras 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Chase Meidroth 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

White Sox vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Wilyer Abreu 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Willson Contreras 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Carlos Narvaez 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Romy Gonzalez 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Ceddanne Rafaela 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Red Sox are just 0-43 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .053.

The Red Sox are just 4-30 (.118) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.

The Red Sox are just 1-7 (.125) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Red Sox are just 1-40 (.024) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .098.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The White Sox are just 4-22 (.154) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.

The White Sox are 28-16 (.636) at home this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .523.

The White Sox are 9-3 (.750) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The White Sox were just 33-23 (.589) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.

Red Sox hitters have an OPS of just .678 (2,490 PA’s) against RHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Red Sox hitters are slugging .259 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Red Sox hitters are slugging just .373 against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Red Sox hitters have an OBP of just .305 (2,490 PA’s) against RHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

White Sox hitters have 47 extra-base hits out of 95 total hits (49%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.

29% of White Sox hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — 4th highest in MLB.

The White Sox have a winning percentage of 64% at home this season — 4th best in MLB.

White Sox hitters have a swing rate of 34% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Red Sox have won just 21% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Red Sox won just 6% of the time this season — lowest in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have won only 18% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

White Sox pitchers have walked 10% of batters this season — 4th highest in MLB.

White Sox pitchers have walked 12% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

The White Sox have won 52% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

White Sox pitchers have an ERA of 2.96 (267.1 IP) against division opponents this season — 3rd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.