Red Sox vs White Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 23

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 23, 2023, 3:31 PM
  • The Red Sox are -115 favorites vs the White Sox
  • Red Sox starting pitcher: Brayan Bello
  • White Sox starting pitcher: Lucas Giolito
  • Watch the game on NBCS-CHI

The Boston Red Sox (-115) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (-105) on Friday, June 23, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Chicago.

The Red Sox are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).

The Red Sox vs White Sox Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Red Sox are 39-37 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 38-38 ATS.

Red Sox vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Red Sox-1.5 +145O 8.5 -120-115
White Sox +1.5 -175U 8.5 +100-105

Red Sox vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 56.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Red Sox and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jarren Duran has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 19 away games (+15.85 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Masataka Yoshida has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 22 away games (+11.75 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Justin Turner has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+11.15 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Enmanuel Valdez has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 14 away games (+10.60 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Justin Turner has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+10.50 Units / 105% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Gavin Sheets has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Jake Burger has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+11.80 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Eloy Jimenez has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 19 games at home (+10.15 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Eloy Jimenez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 14 games at home (+9.30 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 24 games at home (+9.25 Units / 26% ROI)

White Sox vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Connor Wong 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Rafael Devers 0.5 +250 0.5 -375
Gavin Sheets 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Masataka Yoshida 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Elvis Andrus 0.5 +850 0.5 -5000

White Sox vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Connor Wong 0.5 -150 0.5 +115
Rafael Devers 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Gavin Sheets 0.5 -165 0.5 +130
Masataka Yoshida 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Elvis Andrus 0.5 -150 0.5 +115

White Sox vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Connor Wong 0.5 +220 0.5 -300
Rafael Devers 0.5 +120 0.5 -160
Gavin Sheets 0.5 +195 0.5 -275
Masataka Yoshida 0.5 +185 0.5 -250
Elvis Andrus 0.5 +260 0.5 -350

White Sox vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Lucas Giolito 5.5 -125 5.5 -105
Brayan Bello 5.5 +110 5.5 -150
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 22 away games (+8.60 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 away games (+7.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.85 Units / 62% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 32 games (+6.70 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 63 games (+5.50 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 38 games (+9.75 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 10 games at home (+8.20 Units / 67% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 55 games (+7.00 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 25 games at home (+4.70 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 25 games at home (+3.70 Units / 13% ROI)

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 40-36 against the Run Line (-1.1 Units / -1.09% ROI).

  • 39-37 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.75 Units / 0.84% ROI
  • 41-33 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.4 Units / 5.29% ROI
  • 33-41 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.85 Units / -15.26% ROI

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 38-38 against the Run Line (-6.35 Units / -6.31% ROI).

  • 32-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.85 Units / -14.47% ROI
  • 33-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.1 Units / -8.54% ROI
  • 37-33 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.8 Units / 0.95% ROI

Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 12% (11/93) against Brayan Bello this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 58% (104/178) against Brayan Bello this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 97th Percentile.

Brayan Bello has not allowed a home run in any of the last 27.0 innings he’s appeared — Jack Flaherty has the longest active streak at 43.2.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 68% (15/22) against Brayan Bello — 3rd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — 96th Percentile.

White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 19% (16/83) against Lucas Giolito this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 33% (80/242) against Lucas Giolito this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — eighth Percentile.

Lucas Giolito has an average spin rate of 1956.7 RPM on sliders since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 93 total IP; League Avg: 2402.7 — 0 Percentile.

Lucas Giolito allowed a batting average of .320 versus the top of the order (sixth worst)– ninth Percentile and just .158 versus the bottom of the order this season (fourth best among qualified SPs)– 95th Percentile.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Red Sox are just 7-31 (.184) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.

The Red Sox are 13-6 (.684) after a home win this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .550.

The Red Sox are just 7-16 (.304) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Red Sox are 29-2 (.935) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .856.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The White Sox are just 10-22 (.312) after a win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .523.

The White Sox are just 3-12 (.200) after a road win this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .493.

The White Sox are just 24-4 (.857) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.

The White Sox are just 12-90 (.118) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .201.

Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .360 (1,523 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .325.

Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .399 (311 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .330.

The Red Sox are batting .337 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .264.

The Red Sox are batting .278 at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .287 (2,175 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .292 (2,832 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.

White Sox hitters have drawn 59 walks in 1,116 PA’s (5%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .219 (1,511 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.

Red Sox pitchers have allowed an exit velocity of 95 MPH or greater 796 times this season — 5th most in MLB.

The Red Sox pitchers have allowed 357 barreled balls since last season — 2nd most in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have walked 32 of 479 batters (7%) over the last 14 days (13 games) — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Red Sox pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 59% of their games this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

White Sox pitchers have walked 833 of 9,082 batters (9%) since last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against White Sox pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

White Sox vs. Red Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Shoulder, D15
  • Roman González (White Sox): Shoulder, D10
  • Liam Hendriks (White Sox): Elbow, D15
  • Matthew Foster (White Sox): Forearm, D60
  • Michael Clevinger (White Sox): Biceps, D15
  • Yasmani Grandal (White Sox): Knee, Day-to-Day
  • Yoán Moncada (White Sox): Back, D10
  • Zachery Kelly (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Reese McGuire (Red Sox): Oblique, D10
  • Corey Kluber (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
  • Tanner Houck (Red Sox): Face, D15
  • Trevor Story (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Gregory Mills (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
  • John Schreiber (Red Sox): Side, D60
  • Christopher Sale (Red Sox): Shoulder, D60
  • Yu-Cheng Chang (Red Sox): Hand, D60
  • Raúl Mondesi (Red Sox): Knee, D60
  • Richard Bleier (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
  • Joely Rodríguez (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.