- The Red Sox are -115 favorites vs the White Sox
- Red Sox starting pitcher: James Paxton
- White Sox starting pitcher: Michael Lynn
- Watch the game on NBCS-CHI
The Boston Red Sox (-115) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (-105) on Saturday, June 24, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Chicago.
The Red Sox are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Red Sox vs White Sox Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Red Sox are against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are ATS.
Red Sox vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | -1.5 +145 | O 8.5 -110 | -115 |
| White Sox | +1.5 -175 | U 8.5 -110 | -105 |
Red Sox vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 58.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Red Sox and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Red Sox vs White Sox and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Enmanuel Valdez has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 14 away games (+10.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- Triston Casas has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 16 away games (+10.50 Units / 66% ROI)
- Masataka Yoshida has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 23 away games (+10.00 Units / 25% ROI)
- Alex Verdugo has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+9.95 Units / 60% ROI)
- Enmanuel Valdez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 12 away games (+9.55 Units / 54% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Gavin Sheets has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 16 games (+13.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Jake Burger has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 16 games (+12.80 Units / 41% ROI)
- Eloy Jimenez has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+11.30 Units / 42% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+10.35 Units / 20% ROI)
- Eloy Jimenez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+10.30 Units / 54% ROI)
White Sox vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Connor Wong | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Rafael Devers | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Masataka Yoshida | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Christian Arroyo | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
White Sox vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Connor Wong | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -105 |
| Rafael Devers | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
| Masataka Yoshida | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -250 |
| Christian Arroyo | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
White Sox vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Connor Wong | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Rafael Devers | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -400 |
| Masataka Yoshida | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Christian Arroyo | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
White Sox vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| James Paxton | 6.5 -140 | 6.5 +105 |
| Lance Lynn | 6.5 -110 | 6.5 -120 |
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 22 away games (+8.60 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 away games (+7.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.85 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 32 games (+6.70 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 63 games (+5.50 Units / 8% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 38 games (+9.75 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 10 games at home (+8.20 Units / 67% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 55 games (+7.00 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 25 games at home (+4.70 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 25 games at home (+3.70 Units / 13% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
James Paxton has allowed an OBP of just .103 (58 PA’s) with two-strikes over the last 30 days (4 games) — best among in MLB; League Avg: .242 — 100th Percentile.
James Paxton has a strikeout rate of 33% (51 SO in 156 PAs) this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 37% (79/214) against James Paxton over the last 30 days (4 games) — 2nd best among in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 98th Percentile.
James Paxton has a strikeout rate of 42% (17 SO in 40 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 96th Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Lance Lynn has allowed a slugging percentage of .659 (108 Total Bases / 164 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .405 — first Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting .348 (57-for-164) against Lance Lynn this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .247 — first Percentile.
Lance Lynn allowed a batting average of just .160 vs right-handed batters (fifth best)– 95th Percentile and .356 vs left-handed batters over the last 30 days (fourth worst among qualified SPs)– fifth Percentile.
Lance Lynn has allowed an OPS of 1.059 (180 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .721 — second Percentile.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Red Sox are just 7-16 (.304) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Red Sox are 25-26 (.490) after a win as underdogs since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .416.
The Red Sox are 13-6 (.684) after a home win this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .549.
The Red Sox are 14-11 (.560) after a win as underdogs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .448.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The White Sox are just 3-12 (.200) after a road win this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .493.
The White Sox are just 10-22 (.312) after a win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .522.
The White Sox are just 12-90 (.118) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .201.
The White Sox are just 24-4 (.857) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .394 (317 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .330.
Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .342 (2,340 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .317.
The Red Sox are batting .331 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .264.
The Red Sox are batting .298 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .265.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have drawn 417 walks in 6,991 PA’s (6%) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .286 (2,211 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
White Sox hitters have drawn 142 walks in 2,211 PA’s (6%) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .666 (2,211 PA’s) against RHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .724.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 222 of 2,910 batters (8%) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Red Sox pitchers have won only 11% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Red Sox pitchers have allowed an exit velocity of 95 MPH or greater 804 times this season — 5th most in MLB.
Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 5.10 (873.1 IP) against division opponents since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.06.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against White Sox pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 301 of 2,971 batters (10%) this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
White Sox vs. Red Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Roman González (White Sox): Shoulder, D10
- Liam Hendriks (White Sox): Elbow, D15
- Matthew Foster (White Sox): Forearm, D60
- Michael Clevinger (White Sox): Biceps, D15
- Yoán Moncada (White Sox): Back, D10
- Zachery Kelly (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Reese McGuire (Red Sox): Oblique, D10
- Corey Kluber (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Tanner Houck (Red Sox): Face, D15
- Trevor Story (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Gregory Mills (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- John Schreiber (Red Sox): Side, D60
- Christopher Sale (Red Sox): Shoulder, D60
- Pablo Reyes (Red Sox): Abdominal, D10
- Yu-Cheng Chang (Red Sox): Hand, D60
- Raúl Mondesi (Red Sox): Knee, D60
- Richard Bleier (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Joely RodrÃguez (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
Bet now on Red Sox vs White Sox and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
