- The – are favorites vs the –
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Kutter Crawford
- Yankees starting pitcher: Gerrit Cole
- Watch the game on Fox Sports 1
The Boston Red Sox () visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees () on Saturday, August 19, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Bronx.
The – are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().
The Red Sox vs Yankees Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Red Sox are 64-58 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 59-63 ATS.
Red Sox vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | O | ||
| Yankees | U |
Red Sox vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 71.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Red Sox and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Red Sox vs Yankees and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Rafael Devers has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+10.25 Units / 29% ROI)
- Triston Casas has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 31 games (+10.05 Units / 32% ROI)
- Triston Casas has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 30 games (+9.80 Units / 17% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+9.75 Units / 39% ROI)
- Triston Casas has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 29 games (+9.75 Units / 25% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Runs Under in 32 of his last 48 games (+10.40 Units / 15% ROI)
- Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Singles Under in 25 of his last 34 games (+10.30 Units / 18% ROI)
- Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 34 games (+8.30 Units / 22% ROI)
- Ben Rortvedt has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+7.85 Units / 34% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.70 Units / 36% ROI)
Yankees vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Connor Wong | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Rafael Devers | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Masataka Yoshida | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
Yankees vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Connor Wong | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +100 |
| Rafael Devers | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Masataka Yoshida | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Yankees vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -375 |
| Connor Wong | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Rafael Devers | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Masataka Yoshida | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Yankees vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gerrit Cole | 6.5 -105 | 6.5 -125 |
| Kutter Crawford | 4.5 -160 | 4.5 +120 |
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 39 away games (+8.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 44 away games (+7.30 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 18 away games (+4.35 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 54 games (+4.15 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 26 away games (+2.95 Units / 10% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 59 games (+16.05 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.20 Units / 57% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 31 of their last 64 games at home (+4.20 Units / 5% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+4.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 47 games at home (+1.70 Units / 3% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 62-60 against the Run Line (-3.8 Units / -2.43% ROI).
- 64-58 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.6 Units / 1.05% ROI
- 58-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.45 Units / -4.82% ROI
- 58-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.25 Units / -4.7% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 59-63 against the Run Line (-7.5 Units / -4.95% ROI).
- 60-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.25 Units / -7.72% ROI
- 55-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.1 Units / -10.53% ROI
- 63-55 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.4 Units / 1.78% ROI
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kutter Crawford has thrown his slider 48% of the time (266/552) when he’s behind in the count since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 113 total SL; League Avg: 20% — 98th Percentile.
Kutter Crawford has thrown breaking pitches 56% of the time (310/552) when behind in the count since last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 113 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.
Kutter Crawford has allowed three-ball counts to 10% of batters they faced (18/180 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: 18% — 97th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 54% of Kutter Crawford’s pitches (775/1,443) this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 98th Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
54% of Gerrit Cole’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.
Gerrit Cole has allowed an OPS of just .607 (623 PA’s) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .707 — 98th Percentile.
52% of Gerrit Cole’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 113 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Gerrit Cole has allowed an OBP of just .224 (107 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .318 — 98th Percentile.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Red Sox are 49-3 (.942) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .855.
The Red Sox are 19-13 (.594) after a win as underdogs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .438.
The Red Sox are 53-2 (.964) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .898.
The Red Sox are 43-26 (.623) after a home win since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .540.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Yankees were 20-24 (.455) when allowing 5 or more runs in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Yankees are just 12-23 (.343) after a loss as underdogs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .405.
The Yankees are 66-24 (.733) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .641.
The Yankees are 40-6 (.870) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .797.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The Red Sox are batting .279 at home since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .371 (534 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .327.
Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .353 (1,230 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .326.
The Red Sox are batting .286 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in just 1,003 of their 4,475 plate appearances (22%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 249 walks in 2,450 PA’s (10%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters are slugging .286 with two-strikes since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
The Yankees are batting just .218 with two outs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 347 of 4,606 batters (7%) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 75 of 1,080 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 57% of their games this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 5.11 (936.1 IP) against division opponents since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.09.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .219 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .195 against Yankees pitchers with the shift this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .239.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .215 against Yankees pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Yankees pitchers since last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Yankees vs. Red Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Joshua Donaldson (Yankees): Calf, D60
- William McKinney (Yankees): Back, Day-to-Day
- Scott Effross (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- James Weber (Yankees): Forearm, D60
- Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Carlos Rodón (Yankees): Hamstring, D15
- Francelis Montas (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Jose Trevino (Yankees): Wrist, D60
- Anthony Rizzo (Yankees): Concussion, D10
- Nestor Cortes (Yankees): Shoulder, D15
- Lou Trivino (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Kaleb Ort (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Zachery Kelly (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Corey Kluber (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Tanner Houck (Red Sox): Face, D15
- Gregory Mills (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Triston Casas (Red Sox): Tooth, Day-to-Day
- Joely Rodríguez (Red Sox): Hip, D15
- Raúl Mondesi (Red Sox): Knee, D60
Bet now on Red Sox vs Yankees and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
