- The Red Sox are + favorites vs the Yankees
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Joshua Winckowski
- Yankees starting pitcher: Clarke Schmidt
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Boston Red Sox (+) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (+) on Sunday, August 20, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Bronx.
The Red Sox are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at + (+).
The Red Sox vs Yankees Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Red Sox are 65-58 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 59-64 ATS.
Red Sox vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | + + | O + | + |
| Yankees | + + | U + | + |
Red Sox vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 51.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Red Sox and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brayan Bello has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+9.10 Units / 55% ROI)
- Trevor Story has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 49% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+8.60 Units / 22% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+7.85 Units / 21% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Runs Under in 33 of his last 49 games (+11.40 Units / 16% ROI)
- Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Singles Under in 26 of his last 35 games (+11.30 Units / 20% ROI)
- Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 35 games (+9.75 Units / 26% ROI)
- Ben Rortvedt has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+8.85 Units / 35% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 23 games (+8.65 Units / 31% ROI)
Yankees vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| Kyle Higashioka | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Gleyber Torres | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
Yankees vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Jarren Duran | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Kyle Higashioka | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
| Gleyber Torres | 1.5 +200 | 1.5 -275 |
| Rafael Devers | 1.5 +195 | 1.5 -275 |
Yankees vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Kyle Higashioka | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Gleyber Torres | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Yankees vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Clarke Schmidt | 5.5 +135 | 5.5 -175 |
| Clarke Schmidt | 4.5 -145 | 4.5 +110 |
| Josh Winckowski | 1.5 +165 | 1.5 -225 |
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 40 away games (+6.90 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 45 away games (+6.20 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 19 away games (+5.35 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 55 games (+5.15 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 27 away games (+3.95 Units / 13% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 39 of their last 60 games (+17.05 Units / 25% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 21 games at home (+5.10 Units / 22% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 40 games (+4.79 Units / 10% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 31 of their last 65 games at home (+2.45 Units / 3% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 48 games at home (+0.10 Units / 0% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 63-60 against the Run Line (-2.8 Units / -1.78% ROI).
- 65-58 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 1.96% ROI
- 59-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.45 Units / -4.04% ROI
- 58-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.4 Units / -5.52% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 59-64 against the Run Line (-8.5 Units / -5.57% ROI).
- 60-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.85 Units / -8.64% ROI
- 56-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.1 Units / -9.7% ROI
- 63-56 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.25 Units / 0.92% ROI
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Josh Winckowski has a strikeout rate of just 34% (101 SO in 297 PAs) with two-strikes since last season — tied for lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 45% — second Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .313 (46-for-147) against Josh Winckowski this season — 3rd highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — third Percentile.
Josh Winckowski has allowed an OPS of .864 (320 PA’s) against right-handed batters since last season — 4th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .660 — second Percentile.
Josh Winckowski has allowed a slugging percentage of .502 (147 Total Bases / 293 ABs) against right-handed batters since last season — 4th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .360 — fourth Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 17% (46/266) against Clarke Schmidt since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 113 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 20% (41/210) against Clarke Schmidt in late innings since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 113 total IP; League Avg: 31% — first Percentile.
Clarke Schmidt has an average spin rate of 2626.3 RPM on fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: 2242.2 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .257 (19-for-74) against Clarke Schmidt on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — tied for 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 113 total IP; League Avg: .343 — 96th Percentile.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Red Sox are 54-2 (.964) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .898.
The Red Sox are 50-3 (.943) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .854.
The Red Sox are 38-25 (.603) after a win this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .514.
The Red Sox are 31-28 (.525) after a win as underdogs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .417.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Yankees are 40-12 (.769) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .690.
The Yankees were 20-24 (.455) when allowing 5 or more runs in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Yankees are 54-30 (.643) after a home win since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .539.
The Yankees are 91-54 (.628) at home since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .529.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The Red Sox are batting .278 at home since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .370 (536 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .327.
The Red Sox are batting .279 at home since the 2021 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Red Sox hitters are slugging .522 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .446.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in just 1,003 of their 4,507 plate appearances (22%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Yankees hitters have a groundball batting average of just .214 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Yankees are batting just .215 with two outs since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.
The Yankees have barrels in 4% of PA’s since last season (402/10,611) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 3%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 76 of 1,089 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 349 of 4,638 batters (7%) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Red Sox pitchers have allowed 357 barreled balls since last season — 2nd most in MLB.
Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 5.07 (945.1 IP) against division opponents since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.09.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .215 against Yankees pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .218 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .194 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .228.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 21% against Yankees pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Yankees vs. Red Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Joshua Donaldson (Yankees): Calf, D60
- Scott Effross (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- James Weber (Yankees): Forearm, D60
- Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Carlos Rodón (Yankees): Hamstring, D15
- Francelis Montas (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Jose Trevino (Yankees): Wrist, D60
- Anthony Rizzo (Yankees): Concussion, D10
- Nestor Cortes (Yankees): Shoulder, D15
- Lou Trivino (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Kaleb Ort (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Zachery Kelly (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Corey Kluber (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Tanner Houck (Red Sox): Face, D15
- Gregory Mills (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Triston Casas (Red Sox): Tooth, Day-to-Day
- Joely Rodríguez (Red Sox): Hip, D15
- Raúl Mondesi (Red Sox): Knee, D60
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