- The Yankees are -175 favorites vs the Red Sox
- Red Sox vs Yankees Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Red Sox / Yankees TV Channel: ESPN
The Boston Red Sox (+145) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-175) on Sunday, August 24, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Bronx, NY.
This season, the Red Sox are 71-59 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 57-72 ATS.
Red Sox vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Dustin May 7-9, 4.59 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Carlos Rodon 13-7, 3.25 ERA
Red Sox vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | +1.5 -150 | O 8.5 -105 | +145 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +125 | U 8.5 -115 | -175 |
Red Sox vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 61.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jarren Duran has hit the Walks Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+16.65 Units / 111% ROI)
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 away games (+12.85 Units / 51% ROI)
- Roman Anthony has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 away games (+11.80 Units / 197% ROI)
- Trevor Story has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.35 Units / 45% ROI)
- Roman Anthony has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+9.30 Units / 24% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ben Rice has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+10.05 Units / 100% ROI)
- Trent Grisham has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+10.00 Units / 48% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.70 Units / 32% ROI)
- Anthony Volpe has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.65 Units / 32% ROI)
- Carlos Rodon has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+8.35 Units / 44% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 65 games (+16.60 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 45 games (+14.95 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 34 of their last 53 away games (+14.15 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 54 away games (+10.73 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 51 away games (+6.00 Units / 10% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 47 games (+15.35 Units / 29% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 49 games at home (+6.60 Units / 11% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+6.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 45 games (+4.25 Units / 8% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.35 Units / 19% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 71-58 against the Run Line (+12.05 Units / 7.29% ROI).
- 71-59 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.79 Units / 1.02% ROI
- 64-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.56 Units / -3.89% ROI
- 63-64 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.75 Units / -5.42% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 57-72 against the Run Line (-17.8 Units / -11.87% ROI).
- 69-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.3 Units / -10.4% ROI
- 61-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.55 Units / -5.34% ROI
- 63-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.93 Units / -2.76% ROI
Yankees vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -220 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Ben Rice (NYY) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| Trent Grisham (NYY) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr (NYY) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
Yankees vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman (BOS) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Romy Gonzalez (BOS) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Cody Bellinger (NYY) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Trevor Story (BOS) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Yankees vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Cody Bellinger (NYY) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Alex Bregman (BOS) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Trevor Story (BOS) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
Yankees vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dustin May (BOS) | 4.5 -145 | 4.5 +110 |
| Carlos Rodon (NYY) | 7.5 +125 | 7.5 -160 |
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dustin May has allowed a batting average of .360 vs right-handed batters (fourth worst)– sixth Percentile and just .174 vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks (tied for eighth best among qualified SPs)– 87th Percentile.
Dustin May has struck out 36% (9/25) of left-handed batters he faced in his last two starts — 3rd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 22% — 96th Percentile.
Dustin May has thrown 58% of his pitches in the strike zone (111/192) in his last two starts — 5th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 52% — 95th Percentile.
Dustin May has thrown his slider 51% of the time (244/478) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total SL; League Avg: 22% — 98th Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Carlos Rodon has allowed a SLG of just .329 this season — ninth best among qualified SPs– 86th Percentile. He allowed a SLG of .435 last season — ninth worst among qualified SPs– 15th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .237 (45-for-190) against Carlos Rodon on pitches in the heart of the plate this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .304 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .239 (54-for-226) against Carlos Rodon in non-two strike counts this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .321 — 100th Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has thrown just 45% of his pitches in the strike zone (864/1,943) against right-handed batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 50% — first Percentile.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Red Sox are 41-29 (.586) after a win this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .509.
The Red Sox were just 5-58 (.079) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Red Sox were just 18-69 (.207) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.
The Red Sox are just 5-189 (.026) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Yankees were 48-10 (.828) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .641.
The Yankees were 76-4 (.950) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Yankees are 78-27 (.743) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .635.
The Yankees are 63-10 (.863) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .804.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters have an OPS of .752 (5,004 PA’s) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .720.
Red Sox hitters have 319 extra-base hits out of 786 total hits (41%) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
The Red Sox are batting .288 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Red Sox hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,419 of their 5,004 plate appearances (28%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Yankees hitters have struck out in 33% of their PA’s against LHP over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Yankees hitters drew 221 walks in 1,808 PA’s (12%) against LHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 11% of their PA’s against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Red Sox pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 3.69 (1165.0 IP) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 4.15.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Red Sox pitchers since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Red Sox pitchers have 207 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 3rd most in MLB.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Yankees pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 33% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Yankees pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Yankees pitchers have walked 9% of batters this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
More MLB Reading:
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The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.
