Red Sox vs Yankees Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 28

New York Yankees' Aaron Judge celebrates after hitting a two-run home run against the Los Angeles Dodgers during the first inning in Game 5 of the baseball World Series, Wednesday, Oct. 30, 2024, in New York.
(AP Photo/Seth Wenig)
Parlay Boost Today
  • The Yankees are -165 favorites vs the Red Sox
  • Red Sox vs Yankees Over / Under today: 7 Runs
  • Red Sox / Yankees TV Channel: ATV

The Boston Red Sox (+135) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-165) on August 28, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 pm in Bronx, NY.

This season, the Red Sox are 73-60 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 65-67 ATS.

Red Sox vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Red Sox starting pitcher: Patrick Sandoval 1-2, 4.58 ERA
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Cam Schlittler 11-6, 2.17 ERA

Red Sox vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Red Sox+1.5 -160O 7 -102+135
Yankees -1.5 +135U 7 -118-165

Red Sox vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Friday‘s MLB game with 54.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Mickey Gasper has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games (+28.50 Units / 356% ROI)
  • Wilyer Abreu has hit the Walks Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+17.30 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Andruw Monasterio has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+12.80 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Adley Rutschman has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 15 away games (+11.75 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Andruw Monasterio has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 away games (+11.55 Units / 35% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Heliot Ramos has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+15.25 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Heliot Ramos has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.85 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+13.75 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Heliot Ramos has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.50 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Cam Schlittler has hit the Earned Runs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+12.25 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 50 games (+16.70 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 50 games (+12.30 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 50 games (+12.10 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games (+7.55 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 23 games (+6.10 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 40 games at home (+16.40 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 45 games (+11.70 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 40 games (+10.30 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games at home (+10.20 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 40 games (+3.05 Units / 5% ROI)

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 65-64 against the Run Line (+3.5 Units / 2.14% ROI).

  • 73-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.85 Units / -1.06% ROI
  • 62-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.5 Units / -8.5% ROI
  • 67-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.35 Units / -0.93% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 65-67 against the Run Line (+6.05 Units / 4.02% ROI).

  • 75-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.8 Units / -4.01% ROI
  • 56-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -24.85 Units / -16.9% ROI
  • 73-56 when betting on the total runs Under for +11.7 Units / 8.03% ROI

Yankees vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Ben Rice +340
Wilyer Abreu +375
Willson Contreras +375
Paul Goldschmidt +400
Heliot Ramos +425

Yankees vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Paul Goldschmidt 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Ceddanne Rafaela 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Heliot Ramos 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Cody Bellinger 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Amed Rosario 0.5 -200 0.5 +145

Yankees vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jose Caballero 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Paul Goldschmidt 0.5 -220 0.5 +160
George Lombard Jr. 0.5 -220 0.5 +160
Adley Rutschman 0.5 -220 0.5 +160
Andruw Monasterio 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Red Sox are 44-29 (.603) after a win this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Red Sox are 39-28 (.582) on the road this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Red Sox are just 6-34 (.150) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

The Red Sox are 62-2 (.969) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Yankees are 44-6 (.880) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB.

The Yankees are 11-17 (.393) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Yankees are 15-18 (.455) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Yankees are 46-6 (.885) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Red Sox hitters have an OPS of .770 (1,286 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Red Sox are batting .181 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Red Sox are batting .283 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Red Sox hitters are slugging .433 against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB.

Yankees hitters have struck out in 25% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

The Yankees are batting just .124 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Yankees are batting just .220 against starting pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 12% of their PA’s when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 3.47 (1184.1 IP) this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 3.35 (582.1 IP) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Yankees pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 2.89 (607.2 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 2.86 (358.2 IP) against division opponents this season — best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 4% of innings played this season — lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.