Red Sox vs Yankees Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 30

New York Yankees' Austin Wells reacts after hitting a three-run home run during the seventh inning of a baseball game against the Kansas City Royals at Yankee Stadium Monday, Sept. 9, 2024, in New York.
AP Photo/Seth Wenig
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  • The Red Sox are -130 favorites vs the Yankees
  • Red Sox vs Yankees Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Red Sox / Yankees TV Channel: NESN | YES

The Boston Red Sox (-130) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (+105) on August 30, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35 pm in Bronx, NY.

This season, the Red Sox are 74-62 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 66-69 ATS.

Red Sox vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Red Sox starting pitcher: Ranger Suarez 5-3, 3.39 ERA
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Will Warren 8-6, 4.39 ERA

Red Sox vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Red Sox-1.5 +135O 8 -115-130
Yankees +1.5 -165U 8 -105+105

Red Sox vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 54.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Mickey Gasper has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games (+27.50 Units / 306% ROI)
  • Wilyer Abreu has hit the Walks Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+18.00 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Wilyer Abreu has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.35 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+9.70 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 62% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Heliot Ramos has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 25 games (+17.45 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Heliot Ramos has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+16.75 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games (+12.60 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Trent Grisham has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+12.00 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Heliot Ramos has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+9.70 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 50 games (+17.55 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 50 games (+13.40 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 50 games (+12.70 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 50 away games (+8.95 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games (+7.50 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 45 games at home (+19.35 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games (+12.60 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 45 games at home (+12.45 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 45 games (+8.35 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 45 games (+4.15 Units / 6% ROI)

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 67-65 against the Run Line (+3.95 Units / 2.35% ROI).

  • 74-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.85 Units / -1.6% ROI
  • 63-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.7 Units / -9.11% ROI
  • 69-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.35 Units / -0.24% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 66-69 against the Run Line (+5.15 Units / 3.34% ROI).

  • 77-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.9 Units / -3.48% ROI
  • 57-75 when betting on the total runs Over for -26.05 Units / -17.31% ROI
  • 75-57 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.7 Units / 8.53% ROI

Yankees vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Wilyer Abreu +280
Willson Contreras +280
Ben Rice +340
Paul Goldschmidt +350
Ceddanne Rafaela +400

Yankees vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Wilyer Abreu 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Paul Goldschmidt 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Willson Contreras 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Adley Rutschman 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Caleb Durbin 0.5 -200 0.5 +145

Yankees vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jose Caballero 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Ceddanne Rafaela 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
George Lombard Jr. 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Jarren Duran 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Paul Goldschmidt 0.5 -220 0.5 +160

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Red Sox are 40-30 (.571) on the road this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Red Sox are 44-30 (.595) after a win this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Red Sox are 63-2 (.969) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Red Sox are just 6-35 (.146) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Yankees are 44-6 (.880) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB.

The Yankees are 32-4 (.889) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Yankees are 11-17 (.393) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Yankees are 77-59 (.566) this season — tied for 5th best in MLB.

The Red Sox are batting .258 against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB.

Red Sox hitters have 119 extra-base hits out of 306 total hits (39%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Red Sox have a winning percentage of 57% on the road this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Red Sox are batting .178 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Yankees hitters have struck out in 25% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

The Yankees are batting just .219 against starting pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

Yankees hitters have an OBP of just .227 (2,769 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 12% of their PA’s when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 3.36 (607.1 IP) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Red Sox have allowed 3.54 runs per game (248/70) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have allowed a run just 24% of the time after their offense scores this season — lowest in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 2.89 (607.2 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 2.85 (385.2 IP) against division opponents this season — best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 3.23 (1215.2 IP) this season — best in MLB.

Opponents are hitting just .224 against Yankees pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.