- The Yankees (62-27) are -165 favorites vs the Red Sox (47-43)
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Nathan Eovaldi (4-2), 3.16 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Jordan Montgomery (3-2), 3.18 ERA
- Watch the game on Prime Video
The Boston Red Sox (+135) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-165) on Friday, July 15, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Bronx.
The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Red Sox vs Yankees Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Red Sox are 47-43 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 43-46 ATS.
Red Sox vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | +1.5 -145 | O 8 -105 | +135 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +120 | U 8 -115 | -165 |
Red Sox vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Friday‘s matchup with 58.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Red Sox and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Enrique Hernandez has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 24 away games (+10.90 Units / 22% ROI)
- Enrique Hernandez has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 21 away games (+7.00 Units / 21% ROI)
- Christian Arroyo has hit the Runs Over in 5 of his last 7 away games (+6.30 Units / 90% ROI)
- Trevor Story has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 12 away games (+5.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- Travis Shaw has hit the Hits Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 76% ROI)
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Aaron Hicks has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 13 games at home (+7.75 Units / 58% ROI)
- Aaron Hicks has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 13 games at home (+7.75 Units / 57% ROI)
- Aaron Hicks has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 13 games at home (+7.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- Aaron Hicks has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 93% ROI)
- Miguel Andujar has hit the Runs Over in his last 5 games (+6.35 Units / 127% ROI)
Yankees vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| Anthony Rizzo | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| DJ LeMahieu | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Giancarlo Stanton | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -500 |
| Gleyber Torres | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
Yankees vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Rizzo | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +125 |
| DJ LeMahieu | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -275 |
| Giancarlo Stanton | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
| Gleyber Torres | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +160 |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
Yankees vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -165 |
| Anthony Rizzo | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
| DJ LeMahieu | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
| Giancarlo Stanton | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -190 |
| Gleyber Torres | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Yankees vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Montgomery | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +110 |
| Nathan Eovaldi | 4.5 -160 | 4.5 +115 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Red Sox Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 42 of their last 70 games (+13.15 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 56 games (+11.85 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 24 of their last 38 away games (+10.50 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 61 games (+10.15 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 61 games (+5.45 Units / 8% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Yankees: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 57 of their last 79 games (+19.25 Units / 13% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 20 of their last 33 games at home (+6.90 Units / 19% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.00 Units / 69% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 49-41 against the Run Line (+9.3 Units / 8.3% ROI).
- 47-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.25 Units / -1.97% ROI
- 38-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.3 Units / -8.38% ROI
- 43-38 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.9 Units / 1.91% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 43-46 against the Run Line (-3.8 Units / -3.68% ROI).
- 62-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.85 Units / 9.47% ROI
- 41-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.6 Units / -8.74% ROI
- 45-41 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.3 Units / 0.31% ROI
Nathan Eovaldi: Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a swing rate of 56% (349/621) against Nathan Eovaldi this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 43 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of 41% (114/279) against Nathan Eovaldi on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 43 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 98th Percentile.
Nathan Eovaldi has walked 45 of 1,043 batters (4%) since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Nathan Eovaldi has a strike rate of 70% (1,517/2,159) against right-handed batters since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Jordan Montgomery: Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 38% (54/143) against Jordan Montgomery on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 95th Percentile.
Jordan Montgomery has allowed an OBP of just .208 (149 PA’s) versus the top of the order this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .308 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .238 (10-for-42) against Jordan Montgomery on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .327 — 93rd Percentile.
Jordan Montgomery has not allowed a walk in his last 72 PAs against a LHH dating back to September 10th, 2021 — Tony Gonsolin has the longest active streak at 80.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Red Sox are just 132-19 (.874) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.
The Red Sox are 7-4 (.636) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Red Sox are just 38-7 (.844) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .885.
The Red Sox are just 1-33 (.029) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .086.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Yankees are 7-16 (.304) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .115.
The Yankees are 35-11 (.761) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The Yankees are 25-5 (.833) when scoring in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .661.
The Yankees are 5-21 (.192) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .086.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters have an OPS of .761 (6,535 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .717.
Red Sox hitters are slugging .300 with two-strikes since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .269.
The Red Sox are batting .276 at home since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Red Sox hitters are slugging .443 at home this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .400.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have an OPS of 1.272 (643 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.062.
The Yankees are batting just .290 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.
Yankees hitters are averaging 4.06 pitches per plate appearance since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Yankees hitters are slugging .560 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .442.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
The Red Sox pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 32% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Red Sox pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.7 MPH (2,217 batted balls) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.7.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 61 of 545 batters (11%) this month (14 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have won 61% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees have have still managed to win 54% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Yankees have won 64% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Yankees pitchers since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Yankees vs. Red Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Joshua Donaldson (Yankees): Hand, Day-to-Day
- Benjamin Rortvedt (Yankees): Oblique, D60
- Domingo Germán (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Zachary Britton (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Aaron Hicks (Yankees): Leg, Day-to-Day
- Ronald Marinaccio (Yankees): Shoulder, D15
- Stephen Ridings (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Chad Green (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Luis Severino (Yankees): Lat, D15
- James Paxton (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Richard Hill (Red Sox): Knee, D15
- Garrett Whitlock (Red Sox): Hip, D15
- Connor Seabold (Red Sox): Forearm, D15
- Michael Wacha (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Enrique Hernández (Red Sox): Hip, D10
- Matthew Barnes (Red Sox): Shoulder, D60
- Matthew Strahm (Red Sox): Wrist, Day-to-Day
- Christian Arroyo (Red Sox): Left groin, D10
- Trevor Story (Red Sox): Hand, Day-to-Day
- Tyler Danish (Red Sox): Elbow, D15
- Joshua Winckowski (Red Sox): COVID-19, D15
- Josh Taylor (Red Sox): Back, D60
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