Red Sox vs Yankees Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 17

min read
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 17, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Yankees (63-28) are -190 favorites vs the Red Sox (48-44)
  • Red Sox starting pitcher: Christopher Sale (0-0), 0.00 ERA
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Gerrit Cole (8-2), 3.04 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Boston Red Sox (+155) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-190) on Sunday, July 17, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Bronx.

The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).

The Red Sox vs Yankees Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Red Sox are 48-44 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 44-47 ATS.

Red Sox vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Red Sox+1.5 -140O 7.5 -115+155
Yankees -1.5 +115U 7.5 -105-190

Red Sox vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Sunday‘s matchup with 61.5% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Red Sox and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Yankees vs Red Sox and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 36 away games (+16.80 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 38 away games (+14.50 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Rafael Devers has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 36 away games (+13.25 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Alex Verdugo has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 30 away games (+12.30 Units / 35% ROI)
  • J.D. Martinez has hit the Hits Under in 22 of his last 29 games (+10.95 Units / 18% ROI)

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+12.80 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+9.60 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Matt Carpenter has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.55 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Aaron Hicks has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 14 games at home (+8.75 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Aaron Hicks has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 14 games at home (+8.75 Units / 59% ROI)

Yankees vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Hicks 0.5 +450 0.5 -1000
Aaron Judge 0.5 +240 0.5 -375
Anthony Rizzo 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
DJ LeMahieu 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
Gleyber Torres 0.5 +375 0.5 -700

Yankees vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Hicks 0.5 -175 0.5 +120
Aaron Judge 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
Anthony Rizzo 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
DJ LeMahieu 1.5 +170 1.5 -250
Gleyber Torres 0.5 -250 0.5 +170

Yankees vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Hicks 0.5 +185 0.5 -275
Aaron Judge 0.5 +135 0.5 -190
Anthony Rizzo 0.5 +165 0.5 -250
DJ LeMahieu 0.5 +195 0.5 -300
Gleyber Torres 0.5 +135 0.5 -190

Yankees vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Gerrit Cole 7.5 -145 7.5 +100
Chris Sale 5.5 -115 5.5 -120
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 43 of their last 72 games (+13.15 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 58 games (+11.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 63 games (+10.55 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 24 of their last 40 away games (+8.35 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 63 games (+7.45 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 58 of their last 81 games (+18.65 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 10 games (+8.00 Units / 73% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 20 of their last 35 games at home (+4.75 Units / 12% ROI)

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 50-42 against the Run Line (+8.95 Units / 7.79% ROI).

  • 48-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.85 Units / -1.59% ROI
  • 40-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.3 Units / -6.22% ROI
  • 43-40 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.3 Units / -0.29% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 44-47 against the Run Line (-3.65 Units / -3.47% ROI).

  • 63-28 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.25 Units / 8.94% ROI
  • 43-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.6 Units / -6.56% ROI
  • 45-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.9 Units / -1.9% ROI

Chris Sale has not allowed a walk in his last 59 PAs against a LHH dating back to August 3rd, 2019 — the longest active streak is 80.

Gerrit Cole: Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Left-handed batters are hitting just .140 (24-for-171) against Gerrit Cole this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .226 — 100th Percentile.

Gerrit Cole has allowed a just .240 SLG vs right-handed batters (ninth best)– 88th Percentile and .545 vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks (10th worst among qualified SPs)– 18th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 39% (53/136) against Gerrit Cole with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 96th Percentile.

55% of Gerrit Cole’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Red Sox are just 38-7 (.844) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .884.

The Red Sox are just 1-34 (.029) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .086.

The Red Sox are 8-4 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Red Sox are just 2-33 (.057) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .116.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Yankees are 7-16 (.304) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .116.

The Yankees are 5-22 (.185) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .086.

The Yankees are 36-12 (.750) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .521.

The Yankees are 37-6 (.860) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .708.

The Red Sox are batting .276 at home since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

The Red Sox are batting .267 at home this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .244.

Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .332 (3,079 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .320.

Red Sox hitters are slugging .468 at home since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .412.

Yankees hitters have an OPS of 1.274 (657 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.063.

Yankees hitters have drawn 896 walks in 8,353 PA’s (11%) against RHP since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Yankees hitters have drawn 267 walks in 2,496 PA’s (11%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Yankees hitters are averaging 4.06 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.91.

The Red Sox pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 31% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 5.91 (64.0 IP) at home this month (7 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.72.

Red Sox pitchers have walked 62 of 563 batters (11%) over the last 14 days (14 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Red Sox have won 40% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

Yankees pitchers have won 57% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees have have still managed to win 54% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

The average home run distance against the Yankees pitchers since the start of last season is 391.7 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.7

Yankees pitchers have walked 234 of 3,338 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Yankees vs. Red Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Benjamin Rortvedt (Yankees): Oblique, D60
  • Domingo Germán (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
  • Miguel Castro (Yankees): Shoulder, D15
  • Zachary Britton (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Ronald Marinaccio (Yankees): Shoulder, D15
  • Stephen Ridings (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
  • Chad Green (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Luis Severino (Yankees): Lat, D15
  • James Paxton (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Christopher Sale (Red Sox): Finger, Day-to-Day
  • Richard Hill (Red Sox): Knee, D15
  • Garrett Whitlock (Red Sox): Hip, D15
  • Connor Seabold (Red Sox): Forearm, D15
  • Michael Wacha (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
  • Enrique Hernández (Red Sox): Hip, D10
  • Matthew Barnes (Red Sox): Shoulder, D60
  • Matthew Strahm (Red Sox): Wrist, D15
  • Christian Arroyo (Red Sox): Groin, D10
  • Trevor Story (Red Sox): Hand, D10
  • Tyler Danish (Red Sox): Elbow, D15
  • Joshua Winckowski (Red Sox): COVID-19, D15
  • Josh Taylor (Red Sox): Back, D60

Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Yankees vs Red Sox and all MLB games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.