- The Yankees are -155 favorites vs the Red Sox
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Garrett Whitlock
- Yankees starting pitcher: Gerrit Cole
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Boston Red Sox (+125) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-155) on Friday, June 9, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Bronx.
The Yankees are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Red Sox vs Yankees Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Red Sox are 31-32 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 35-29 ATS.
Red Sox vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | +1.5 -160 | O 8 -110 | +125 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +135 | U 8 -110 | -155 |
Red Sox vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 77.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Red Sox and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Masataka Yoshida has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 29 of his last 42 games (+12.30 Units / 23% ROI)
- Jarren Duran has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 away games (+11.85 Units / 40% ROI)
- Masataka Yoshida has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 22 away games (+11.20 Units / 42% ROI)
- Enmanuel Valdez has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 14 away games (+10.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- Raimel Tapia has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+10.10 Units / 37% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Aaron Judge has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 19 games (+8.70 Units / 46% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Singles Under in 28 of his last 38 games (+8.70 Units / 12% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Anthony Volpe has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+7.60 Units / 40% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 26 games (+7.60 Units / 20% ROI)
Yankees vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Connor Wong | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Jake Bauers | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Rafael Devers | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Jose Trevino | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
Yankees vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Connor Wong | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
| Jake Bauers | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Rafael Devers | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Jose Trevino | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Yankees vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -375 |
| Connor Wong | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jake Bauers | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Rafael Devers | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jose Trevino | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
Yankees vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gerrit Cole | 6.5 -135 | 6.5 +100 |
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 63 games (+8.10 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 away games (+7.25 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 37 of their last 63 games (+7.15 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 50 games (+4.50 Units / 8% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 34 games (+13.30 Units / 34% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 34 games (+11.10 Units / 26% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 34 games (+10.40 Units / 23% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 36 of their last 62 games (+7.15 Units / 10% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games (+6.05 Units / 19% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 31-32 against the Run Line (-6 Units / -7.27% ROI).
- 31-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.25 Units / -0.35% ROI
- 36-25 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.1 Units / 11.74% ROI
- 25-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.4 Units / -22.05% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 35-29 against the Run Line (+7.45 Units / 9.71% ROI).
- 37-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.65 Units / 7.71% ROI
- 29-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.25 Units / -10.34% ROI
- 33-29 when betting on the total runs Under for +1 Units / 1.41% ROI
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Garrett Whitlock has walked 37 of 715 batters (5%) since the 2021 season — tied for 9th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 9% — 95th Percentile.
Garrett Whitlock has allowed a slugging percentage of .317 (121 Total Bases / 382 ABs) with two-strikes since the 2021 season — 7th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .247 — seventh Percentile.
Garrett Whitlock has walked 5 of 106 batters (5%) this season — 13th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 92nd Percentile.
Garrett Whitlock has a first-pitch strike rate of 67% (479/716) since the 2021 season — 6th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 61% — 94th Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
54% of Gerrit Cole’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 15% (4/27) against Gerrit Cole — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 13% (2/15) against Gerrit Cole — lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Gerrit Cole has allowed a slugging percentage of just .185 (10 Total Bases / 54 ABs) on fastballs away this season — 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .372 — 89th Percentile.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Red Sox are just 8-91 (.081) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .124.
The Red Sox are just 7-10 (.412) after a home loss this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .515.
The Red Sox are 22-25 (.468) after a win as underdogs since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
The Red Sox are just 4-27 (.129) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .275.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Yankees are 26-42 (.382) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .201.
The Yankees were 20-24 (.455) when allowing 5 or more runs in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Yankees are 31-28 (.525) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .352.
The Yankees are 14-59 (.192) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .124.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .391 (238 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .330.
Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .358 (1,288 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .324.
The Red Sox are batting .288 at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .252.
The Red Sox are batting .277 at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn 216 walks in 2,027 PA’s (11%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have an OBP of just .305 (1,254 PA’s) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .324.
Games involving the Yankees have hit UNDER in 80% of their games (51.7% ROI) after a home loss this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Yankees hitters have 17 strikeouts in 49 PA’s (35%) against LHP over the last 14 days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 37 of 553 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 4.74 (553.0 IP) this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.27.
Red Sox pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.8 MPH (1,588 batted balls) this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 89.1.
Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 5.60 (156.0 IP) against division opponents this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.27.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have won 47% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Yankees pitchers have won 41% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Yankees vs. Red Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jonathan Loáisiga (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Scott Effross (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Aaron Judge (Yankees): Toe, D10
- James Weber (Yankees): Forearm, D60
- Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Francelis Montas (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Ian Hamilton (Yankees): Groin, D15
- Nestor Cortes (Yankees): Shoulder, D15
- Harrison Bader (Yankees): Hamstring, D10
- Carlos Rodón (Yankees): Forearm, D60
- Lou Trivino (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Greg Allen (Yankees): Hip, D10
- Zachery Kelly (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Adam Duvall (Red Sox): Wrist, D60
- Trevor Story (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Gregory Mills (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- John Schreiber (Red Sox): Side, D15
- Christopher Sale (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Yu-Cheng Chang (Red Sox): Hand, D10
- Raúl Mondesi (Red Sox): Knee, D60
- Richard Bleier (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Joely RodrÃguez (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
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