- The Yankees (90-58) are -145 favorites vs the Red Sox (72-76)
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Michael Wacha (11-1), 2.60 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon (13-5), 4.04 ERA
- Watch the game on FOX
The Boston Red Sox (+120) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-145) on Thursday, September 22, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Bronx.
The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Red Sox vs Yankees Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Red Sox are 70-76 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 64-81 ATS.
Red Sox vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | +1.5 -165 | O 8 -110 | +120 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +140 | U 8 -110 | -145 |
Red Sox vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Thursday‘s matchup with 57.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Red Sox and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.
Looking for a first bet offer up to $1,000? Bet now on Yankees vs Red Sox and all MLB games with BetMGM
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Alex Verdugo has hit the Hits Over in 38 of his last 51 away games (+20.80 Units / 20% ROI)
- Alex Verdugo has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 49 away games (+15.95 Units / 29% ROI)
- Alex Verdugo has hit the Singles Over in 36 of his last 50 away games (+15.80 Units / 22% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Under in 28 of his last 41 games (+15.50 Units / 20% ROI)
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+13.40 Units / 42% ROI)
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Runs Under in 47 of his last 66 games at home (+16.20 Units / 16% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 16 games (+15.15 Units / 50% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Total Bases Over in 36 of his last 57 games (+13.25 Units / 20% ROI)
- DJ LeMahieu has hit the Hits Under in his last 9 games (+11.80 Units / 64% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 18 games at home (+11.30 Units / 38% ROI)
Yankees vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
| Anthony Rizzo | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -450 |
| Giancarlo Stanton | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -600 |
| Gleyber Torres | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa | 0.5 +1150 | 0.5 |
Yankees vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -275 |
| Anthony Rizzo | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Giancarlo Stanton | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +135 |
| Gleyber Torres | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Yankees vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -165 |
| Anthony Rizzo | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| Giancarlo Stanton | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Gleyber Torres | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -450 |
Yankees vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jameson Taillon | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -140 |
| Michael Wacha | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -155 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Red Sox Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 37 of their last 66 games (+8.05 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 41 of their last 74 away games (+6.45 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games (+2.75 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 games (+0.90 Units / 4% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Yankees: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.70 Units / 58% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.90 Units / 50% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.35 Units / 26% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.40 Units / 52% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.95 Units / 33% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 73-71 against the Run Line (-2.15 Units / -1.18% ROI).
- 70-76 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.45 Units / -7.99% ROI
- 66-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -10 Units / -6.22% ROI
- 70-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.9 Units / -1.18% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 64-81 against the Run Line (-19.6 Units / -11.6% ROI).
- 90-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.4 Units / -0.15% ROI
- 70-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.2 Units / -5.7% ROI
- 72-70 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.35 Units / -3.29% ROI
Michael Wacha: Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters have swung at 76% of Michael Wacha’s pitches (62/82) with two-strikes this month (3 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — 100th Percentile.
Michael Wacha has not walked any of the 30 batters that he has faced vs left-handed batters this month (3 games) — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Michael Wacha has not walked any of the 75 batters that he has faced this month (3 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of 49% (1,234/2,514) against Michael Wacha in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 155 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Jameson Taillon: Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .439 (29-for-66) against Jameson Taillon on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .339 — sixth Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of 49% (26/53) against Jameson Taillon in late innings this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has walked 10 of 356 right-handed batters (3%) this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 97th Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has a strikeout rate of just 13% (18 SO in 139 PAs) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 21% — sixth Percentile.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Red Sox are just 8-30 (.211) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .289.
The Red Sox are just 5-11 (.312) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Red Sox are just 5-56 (.082) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .119.
The Red Sox are just 154-21 (.880) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Yankees are 10-38 (.208) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .119.
The Yankees are 69-5 (.932) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Yankees are 53-12 (.815) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .711.
The Yankees are 38-36 (.514) on the road this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .473.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The Red Sox are batting .275 at home since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .336 (1,428 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .315.
The Red Sox are batting .269 at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
The Red Sox are batting .265 against LHP since the start of last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn 253 walks in 2,007 PA’s (13%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Yankees hitters have an OPS of 1.221 (1,030 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.065.
Yankees hitters have drawn 256 walks in 2,756 PA’s (9%) when leading off an inning since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters are slugging .577 over the past seven days (5 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .383.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 4.61 (676.0 IP) at home this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.85.
Red Sox pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.2 MPH (3,734 batted balls) this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.6.
The Red Sox pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Red Sox pitchers over the last 14 days (10 games) — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Yankees pitchers since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Yankees pitchers have walked 12 of 99 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (11 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Yankees pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Yankees pitchers have won 55% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Yankees vs. Red Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Albert Abreu (Yankees): Elbow, D15
- Marwin Gonzalez (Yankees): Head, Day-to-Day
- Clarke Schmidt (Yankees): Foot, Day-to-Day
- Michael King (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Andrew Benintendi (Yankees): Wrist, D10
- Miguel Castro (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Zachary Britton (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- David LeMahieu (Yankees): Toe, D10
- Francelis Montas (Yankees): Shoulder, D15
- Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Stephen Ridings (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Chad Green (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Matthew Carpenter (Yankees): Foot, D10
- Trevor Story (Red Sox): Heel, D10
- James Paxton (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Christopher Sale (Red Sox): Finger, D60
- Tanner Houck (Red Sox): Back, D60
- Eric Hosmer (Red Sox): Back, D10
- Franchy Cordero (Red Sox): Ankle, D60
- Garrett Whitlock (Red Sox): Hip, D15
- Nathan Eovaldi (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Josh Taylor (Red Sox): Back, D60
- Kutter Crawford (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
Looking for a first bet offer up to $1,000? Bet now on Yankees vs Red Sox and all MLB games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.