- The Angels are -135 favorites vs the Reds
- Reds starting pitcher: Douglas Ashcraft
- Angels starting pitcher: Lucas Giolito
- Watch the game on BSW
The Cincinnati Reds (+110) visit Angel Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Angels (-135) on Monday, August 21, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:38pm EDT in Anaheim.
The Angels are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at + (+).
The Reds vs Angels Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Reds are 64-61 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 58-67 ATS.
Reds vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | + + | O + | +110 |
| Angels | + + | U + | -135 |
Reds vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Angels will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 55.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Angels and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Under in 23 of his last 32 games (+15.40 Units / 26% ROI)
- Will Benson has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 22 away games (+13.30 Units / 60% ROI)
- Will Benson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+12.10 Units / 39% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 24 away games (+10.45 Units / 40% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 22 of his last 33 games (+10.00 Units / 25% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Runs Over in 35 of his last 49 games (+19.55 Units / 32% ROI)
- Mike Moustakas has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+11.10 Units / 44% ROI)
- Mike Moustakas has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 18 games at home (+10.00 Units / 34% ROI)
- Mike Moustakas has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 18 games at home (+9.85 Units / 34% ROI)
- Mickey Moniak has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 18 games at home (+9.80 Units / 54% ROI)
Angels vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Logan O'Hoppe | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Mike Moustakas | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Elly De La Cruz | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
Angels vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Logan O'Hoppe | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Mike Moustakas | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| Elly De La Cruz | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Angels vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -400 |
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Logan O'Hoppe | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Mike Moustakas | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Elly De La Cruz | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Angels vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lucas Giolito | 6.5 -155 | 6.5 +120 |
| Graham Ashcraft | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -150 |
| Lucas Giolito | 7.5 +125 | 7.5 -165 |
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 77 of their last 124 games (+24.40 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 61 of their last 94 games (+23.84 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 46 away games (+21.55 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 44 away games (+13.90 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 41 of their last 94 games (+13.75 Units / 13% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.30 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 39 games (+6.75 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 20 games at home (+2.15 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 21 games at home (+1.55 Units / 6% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 77-48 against the Run Line (+23.4 Units / 14.31% ROI).
- 64-61 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.6 Units / 9.26% ROI
- 62-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.95 Units / -3.65% ROI
- 61-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.9 Units / -5.1% ROI
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 58-67 against the Run Line (-16.95 Units / -10.61% ROI).
- 61-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.25 Units / -7.7% ROI
- 61-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -2 Units / -1.44% ROI
- 57-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.1 Units / -6.69% ROI
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .343 (36-for-105) against Graham Ashcraft’s elevated fastball this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .222 — second Percentile.
Graham Ashcraft has allowed an OBP of .378 (283 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .300 — first Percentile.
Graham Ashcraft has an ERA of 7.44 (84.2 IP) against division opponents since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 114 total IP; League Avg: 3.96 — second Percentile.
Graham Ashcraft has struck out just 15% (43/284) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — fifth Percentile.
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Lucas Giolito has a strike rate of just 57% when ahead in the count (tied for 10th lowest)– 17th Percentile and 73% when behind in the count this season (10th highest among qualified SPs)– 83rd Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% (143/394) against Lucas Giolito this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — ninth Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% (53/144) against Lucas Giolito in two-strike counts this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — seventh Percentile.
Lucas Giolito has an average spin rate of 1962.0 RPM on sliders since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 112 total IP; League Avg: 2396.6 — first Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Reds are 22-40 (.355) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .218.
The Reds are just 13-19 (.406) after a loss as favorites since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .585.
The Reds were just 14-24 (.368) when scoring in the first inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .664.
The Reds are 51-1 (.981) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Angels are just 12-22 (.353) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels were just 3-13 (.188) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 118-9 (.929) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .952.
The Angels are just 11-109 (.092) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .130.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are 24-8 (.750) against the run line (33.3% ROI) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .447.
The Reds batted just .298 on the first pitch of at-bats in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.
Reds hitters have an OBP of .333 (2,371 PA’s) on the road this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
The Reds are batting just .143 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .155.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .274 (842 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .304 (2,967 PA’s) against LHP since last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .232 (5,819 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Angels hitters have 1,995 strikeouts in 7,773 PA’s (26%) against RHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .291 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds pitchers have won 51% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Reds pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have walked 233 of 2,547 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 111 of 1,107 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 482 of 4,852 batters (10%) this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Angels pitchers have walked 1,022 of 10,890 batters (9%) since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jordon Adell (Angels): Oblique, D60
- José Suarez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Max Stassi (Angels): Hip , D60
- José Quijada (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Zachary Neto (Angels): Back, D10
- Giovanny Urshela (Angels): Pelvis, D60
- Christopher Devenski (Angels): Hamstring, D15
- Austin Warren (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Christopher Cron (Angels): Back, D10
- Michael Trout (Angels): Hand, D10
- Samuel Bachman (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- José Marte (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Anthony Rendon (Angels): Shin, D60
- Robert Daniel (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Joseph Ward (Angels): Face, D60
- Benjamin Joyce (Angels): Arm, D60
- Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
- Stuart Fairchild (Reds): Concussion, D7
- Connor Overton (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Curtis Casali (Reds): Foot, D10
- Nicholas Lodolo (Reds): Calf, D60
- Kevin Newman (Reds): Oblique, D10
- Reiver Sanmartin (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Jake Fraley (Reds): Toe, D10
- Edward Lively (Reds): Pectoral, D15
- Jonathan India (Reds): Heel, D10
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