- The Astros are -175 favorites vs the Reds
- Reds starting pitcher: Andrew Abbott
- Astros starting pitcher: Jonathan France
- Watch the game on SportsNet SW
The Cincinnati Reds (+145) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-175) on Friday, June 16, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston.
The Astros are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).
The Reds vs Astros Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Reds are 34-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 35-34 ATS.
Reds vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | +1.5 -140 | O 8.5 -110 | +145 |
| Astros | -1.5 +115 | U 8.5 -110 | -175 |
Reds vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 79.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Matt McLain has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 23 games (+12.75 Units / 25% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Over in 37 of his last 50 games (+12.65 Units / 12% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Runs Over in 24 of his last 38 games (+12.55 Units / 32% ROI)
- Matt McLain has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+12.30 Units / 41% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 28 games (+11.95 Units / 20% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jose Abreu has hit the Runs Under in 32 of his last 43 games (+10.05 Units / 12% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 22 games (+9.80 Units / 20% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Total Bases Under in 34 of his last 48 games (+9.40 Units / 11% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 16 games (+9.05 Units / 57% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+8.60 Units / 33% ROI)
Astros vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Elly De La Cruz | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
Astros vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Elly De La Cruz | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Astros vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Elly De La Cruz | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Astros vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| J.P. France | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -110 |
| Andrew Abbott | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -130 |
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 47 games (+13.15 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 41 of their last 68 games (+11.75 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 18 away games (+11.30 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 41 of their last 69 games (+9.35 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 62 games (+7.80 Units / 12% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 38 games (+13.90 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 34 games (+10.15 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 46 games (+8.15 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 34 games (+7.20 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+7.05 Units / 17% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 41-28 against the Run Line (+10.75 Units / 12.3% ROI).
- 34-35 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.75 Units / 7.79% ROI
- 39-30 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.55 Units / 8.71% ROI
- 30-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.05 Units / -17.03% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 35-34 against the Run Line (-2.05 Units / -2.27% ROI).
- 39-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.3 Units / -2.13% ROI
- 33-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.75 Units / -7.55% ROI
- 35-33 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.25 Units / -1.65% ROI
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Andrew Abbott has walked 7 of 47 batters (15%) — 4th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 8% — fourth Percentile.
Andrew Abbott has pitched 11.2 straight innings without allowing an earned run — Andrew Nardi has the longest active streak at 17.2.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 24% (6/25) against Andrew Abbott — 7th lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 42% — eighth Percentile.
Andrew Abbott has an ERA of 0.00 (11.2 IP) — tied for best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 3.59 — 100th Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
J.P. France has a strike rate of just 55% (108/195) — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.
J.P. France walked 6 of 30 batters (20%) — highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
J.P. France has induced opposing hitters to ground into 4 double plays in 8 opportunities (50%) — tied for best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.
J.P. France has a strike rate of just 55% (108/195) over the last 14 days (2 games) — lowest in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Reds are 12-6 (.667) after a road win this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .479.
The Reds are just 25-23 (.521) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .699.
The Reds are just 27-35 (.435) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .648.
The Reds are just 17-28 (.378) after a home win since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .542.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Astros are just 1-5 (.167) after a win as underdogs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .450.
The Astros are 67-7 (.905) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .729.
The Astros are 20-2 (.909) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .733.
The Astros are 98-9 (.916) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .798.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 33% against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
The Reds batted just .298 on the first pitch of at-bats in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.
Reds hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
The Reds have a winning percentage of just 42% since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 443 strikeouts in 2,534 PA’s (17%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have just 823 strikeouts in 4,615 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Astros have a winning percentage of 61% on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Astros have a winning percentage of 63% since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .304 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
Reds pitchers have walked 863 of 8,914 batters (10%) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .289 against Reds pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .316 against Reds pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .257.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
The Astros have allowed 3.37 runs per game (388/115) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.39.
Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 30% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Astros pitchers have an ERA of 3.16 (1009.1 IP) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.22.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Elbow, D15
- Luis Garcia (Astros): Elbow, D60
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D10
- Yordan Alvarez (Astros): Oblique, D10
- José Urquidy (Astros): Shoulder, D15
- Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
- Douglas Ashcraft (Reds): Calf, D15
- William Myers (Reds): Kidney Stones, D10
- Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D60
- Derek Law (Reds): Elbow, D15
- Nicholas Senzel (Reds): Knee, D10
- Connor Overton (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Jake Fraley (Reds): Wrist, D10
- Nicholas Lodolo (Reds): Calf, D60
- Reiver Sanmartin (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Joseph Votto (Reds): Bicep/Shoulder, D60
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