- The Reds are -110 favorites vs the Athletics
- Reds starting pitcher: Luis Cessa
- Athletics starting pitcher: –
- Watch the game on NBCS-CA
The Cincinnati Reds (-110) visit Oakland Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (-110) on Friday, April 28, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Oakland.
The Reds are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Reds vs Athletics Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Reds are 10-15 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 10-16 ATS.
Reds vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | -1.5 +145 | O 8.5 +100 | -110 |
| Athletics | +1.5 -175 | U 8.5 -120 | -110 |
Reds vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 62.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Athletics and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- TJ Friedl has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.05 Units / 30% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+10.85 Units / 43% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.40 Units / 29% ROI)
- Jason Vosler has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+8.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- TJ Friedl has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+8.00 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Conner Capel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.45 Units / 52% ROI)
- Aledmys Diaz has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 8 games (+9.20 Units / 89% ROI)
- Tony Kemp has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.85 Units / 49% ROI)
- Tony Kemp has hit the Hits Under in his last 6 games at home (+8.05 Units / 134% ROI)
- Esteury Ruiz has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+7.75 Units / 38% ROI)
Athletics vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Conner Capel | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Ramos | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 +1150 | 0.5 |
Athletics vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Conner Capel | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Ramos | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
Athletics vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -375 |
| Conner Capel | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Ramos | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
Athletics vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Cessa | 2.5 -175 | 2.5 +135 |
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 24 games (+7.20 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.70 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.65 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.20 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.95 Units / 18% ROI)
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 16 games (+10.15 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 23 games (+9.45 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.65 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.80 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 1 of their last 5 games at home (+0.45 Units / 9% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 16-9 against the Run Line (+6.2 Units / 18.93% ROI).
- 10-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.3 Units / -16.1% ROI
- 13-12 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.05 Units / 0.19% ROI
- 12-13 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.55 Units / -9.11% ROI
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 10-16 against the Run Line (-7.9 Units / -27.01% ROI).
- 5-21 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.15 Units / -46.73% ROI
- 17-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.05 Units / 27.66% ROI
- 8-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.35 Units / -36.7% ROI
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .389 (35-for-90) against Luis Cessa with runners in scoring position since last season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: .248 — first Percentile.
Luis Cessa has an ERA of 10.80 (16.2 IP)this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 4.44 — second Percentile.
Luis Cessa has allowed a slugging percentage of .984 (60 Total Bases / 61 ABs) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: .576 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 13% (19/142) against Luis Cessa this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 0 Percentile.
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
6 of Kyle Muller’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — tied for 2nd most in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: nan — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .565 (13-for-23) against Kyle Muller when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: .262 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .311 (14-for-45) against Kyle Muller with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: .178 — 0 Percentile.
Hitters batting in the top of the order have hit .452 against Kyle Muller this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: .258 — 0 Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Reds are just 20-22 (.476) when hitting 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .708.
The Reds are just 18-28 (.391) when scoring in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .652.
The Reds are just 1-9 (.100) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .496.
The Reds are just 60-6 (.909) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .955.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Athletics are just 3-6 (.333) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .802.
The Athletics are just 0-1 (.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .903.
The Athletics are just 1-2 (.333) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .872.
The Athletics are just 56-6 (.903) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .955.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters are slugging just .183 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Reds hitters are slugging just .278 on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .397.
Reds hitters have an OPS of just .571 (373 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .713.
The Reds have a winning percentage of just 10% on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
Athletics hitters are slugging just .163 on pitches out of the zone since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
The Athletics are batting just .208 at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .280 (3,331 PA’s) at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
The Athletics are batting just .148 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
team pitchers – away
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 35% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 9.16 (116.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.40.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 8.01 (227.0 IP) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.32.
Athletics vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ramón Laureano (Athletics): Hamstring, D10
- Trevor May (Athletics): Personal, D15
- Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Adrián MartÃnez (Athletics): Elbow, D15
- Kirby Snead (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Drew Rucinski (Athletics): Undisclosed, D15
- Manuel Piña (Athletics): Wrist, D10
- Seth Brown (Athletics): Oblique, D10
- Paul Blackburn (Athletics): Finger, D15
- Frederic Tarnok (Athletics): Undisclosed, D60
- Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
- Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D60
- Connor Overton (Reds): Elbow, D15
- William Myers (Reds): Undisclosed, D10
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Joseph Votto (Reds): Bicep/Shoulder, D10
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