Reds vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 20

Toronto Blue Jays' Vladimir Guerrero Jr. plays against the Boston Red Sox during the fourth inning of a baseball game, Thursday, May 4, 2023, in Boston.
(AP Photo/Michael Dwyer)
  • The Blue Jays are -145 favorites vs the Reds
  • Reds vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Reds / Blue Jays TV Channel: RSN | TVA | BSOH

The Cincinnati Reds (+120) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-145) on Tuesday, August 20, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto, ON.

This season, the Reds are 61-64 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 60-65 ATS.

Reds vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Reds starting pitcher: Carson Spiers 4-4, 4.55 ERA
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Jose Berrios 11-9, 3.86 ERA

Reds vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Reds+1.5 -185O 8.5 -110+120
Blue Jays -1.5 +150U 8.5 -110-145

Reds vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 52.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:

  • TJ Friedl has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 38 games (+35.80 Units / 94% ROI)
  • Spencer Steer has hit the Singles Under in 29 of his last 41 games (+14.30 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Jonathan India has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 34 games (+14.15 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Elly De La Cruz has hit the Runs Under in 25 of his last 35 games (+13.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Jonathan India has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 19 away games (+12.70 Units / 43% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Home Runs Over in 19 of his last 50 games (+52.40 Units / 105% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Over in 30 of his last 48 games (+14.65 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Leonardo Jimenez has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+12.40 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 30 games (+11.75 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the RBIs Over in 25 of his last 50 games (+11.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 62 of their last 107 games (+13.00 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 58 of their last 109 games (+8.30 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 35 away games (+8.25 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 62 of their last 110 games (+7.55 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.80 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 55 games (+20.45 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 22 games (+7.30 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 68 of their last 124 games (+6.00 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 16 games (+5.25 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.05 Units / 24% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 70-55 against the Run Line (+9.15 Units / 5.53% ROI).

  • 61-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.5 Units / -3.66% ROI
  • 57-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -12 Units / -8.7% ROI
  • 62-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.05 Units / -0.77% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 60-65 against the Run Line (-15.65 Units / -9.27% ROI).

  • 58-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.9 Units / -10.28% ROI
  • 67-55 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.45 Units / 4.7% ROI
  • 55-67 when betting on the total runs Under for -19 Units / -13.79% ROI

Blue Jays vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
George Springer (TOR) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Daulton Varsho (TOR) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650
Tyler Stephenson (CIN) 0.5 +650 0.5 -1000
Addison Barger (TOR) 0.5 +650 0.5 -1000

Blue Jays vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ernie Clement (TOR) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Tyler Stephenson (CIN) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Jonathan India (CIN) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Spencer Steer (CIN) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Ty France (CIN) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160

Blue Jays vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) 0.5 +130 0.5 -175
Alejandro Kirk (TOR) 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Tyler Stephenson (CIN) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
George Springer (TOR) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Spencer Steer (CIN) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225

Blue Jays vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jose Berrios (TOR) 5.5 -105 5.5 -125
Carson Spiers (CIN) 4.5 +130 4.5 -165

Carson Spiers has allowed a slugging percentage of .833 (20 Total Bases / 24 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (3 games) — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .432 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .458 (11-for-24) against Carson Spiers when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (3 games) — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .253 — first Percentile.

Carson Spiers has a strikeout rate of just 12% (6 SO in 49 PAs) in late innings this season — 9th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 20% — 13th Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 21% (14/65) against Carson Spiers in late innings this season — 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 30% — ninth Percentile.

Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .338 (27-for-80) against Jose Berrios’ elevated fastball this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .204 — second Percentile.

Jose Berrios has a strikeout rate of just 16% (16 SO in 100 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — fifth Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 19% (95/494) against Jose Berrios this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — fourth Percentile.

Jose Berrios has thrown his curveball 23% of the time (259/1,100) when he’s behind in the count since last season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 114 total CB; League Avg: 10% — 95th Percentile.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Reds are just 31-35 (.470) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .585.

The Reds are just 62-57 (.521) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .639.

The Reds are 13-23 (.361) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .243.

The Reds are just 11-22 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Blue Jays are just 11-59 (.157) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.

The Blue Jays are 36-29 (.554) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .414.

The Blue Jays are 78-31 (.716) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .577.

The Blue Jays are just 15-32 (.319) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .424.

team hitters – away

Blue Jays hitters have just 482 strikeouts in 2,476 PA’s (20%) against LHP since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Blue Jays are batting .255 against LHP since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .249.

Blue Jays hitters have just 1,891 strikeouts in 9,898 PA’s (19%) in righty-righty matchups since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Blue Jays are batting just .230 against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .292 against Reds pitchers with runners on base this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .262.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .294 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .255.

Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 26% of the time after an opposing score since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Blue Jays pitchers since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Blue Jays pitchers had allowed a run just 24% of the time after an opposing score in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

Blue Jays vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Nate Pearson (Toronto Blue Jays): Illness, Day-To-Day
  • Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Isiah Kiner-Falefa (Toronto Blue Jays): Knee, 10-Day IL
  • Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Calf, 10-Day IL
  • Hagen Danner (Toronto Blue Jays): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
  • Nathan Lukes (Toronto Blue Jays): Thumb, 7-Day IL
  • Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Orelvis Martinez (Toronto Blue Jays): Suspension, Suspension
  • Graham Ashcraft (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Nick Martini (Cincinnati Reds): Thumb, 60-Day IL
  • Carson Spiers (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Christian Encarnacion-Strand (Cincinnati Reds): Wrist, 60-Day IL
  • Tejay Antone (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Luke Maile (Cincinnati Reds): Back, 10-Day IL
  • Matt McLain (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Joey Votto (Cincinnati Reds): Ankle, Day-To-Day
  • TJ Friedl (Cincinnati Reds): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
  • Brent Suter (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Reiver Sanmartin (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
  • Ian Gibaut (Cincinnati Reds): Forearm, 60-Day IL
  • Brandon Williamson (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Emilio Pagan (Cincinnati Reds): Lat, 60-Day IL
  • Connor Overton (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, 7-Day IL

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Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.