- The Blue Jays are -170 favorites vs the Reds
- Reds vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Reds / Blue Jays TV Channel: RDTV | RSN | TVA
The Cincinnati Reds (+140) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-170) on September 26, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 3:07 pm in Toronto, ON.
This season, the Reds are 74-86 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 78-81 ATS.
Reds vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Reds starting pitcher: Rhett Lowder 6-12, 5.98 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Trey Yesavage 5-5, 3.69 ERA
Reds vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | +1.5 -155 | O 7.5 +100 | +140 |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +125 | U 7.5 -120 | -170 |
Reds vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 55.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 9 away games (+19.50 Units / 217% ROI)
- JJ Bleday has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+13.95 Units / 42% ROI)
- JJ Bleday has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 25 away games (+12.45 Units / 50% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+12.10 Units / 51% ROI)
- Sal Stewart has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+11.90 Units / 41% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brett Bateman has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games at home (+19.00 Units / 317% ROI)
- Ernie Clement has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 20 games at home (+16.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Alejandro Kirk has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+15.70 Units / 47% ROI)
- Alejandro Kirk has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+12.50 Units / 24% ROI)
- Brett Bateman has hit the Runs Over in his last 9 games at home (+10.60 Units / 118% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games (+8.25 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 14 away games (+5.70 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 81% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 away games (+4.15 Units / 63% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+3.55 Units / 71% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 45 games at home (+13.10 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 24 games at home (+8.40 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 10 games at home (+8.25 Units / 67% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 24 games at home (+7.55 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.95 Units / 63% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 82-76 against the Run Line (-12.9 Units / -5.9% ROI).
- 74-86 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.15 Units / -3.48% ROI
- 84-72 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.6 Units / 2.6% ROI
- 72-84 when betting on the total runs Under for -20 Units / -11.4% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 78-81 against the Run Line (-9.8 Units / -4.77% ROI).
- 78-82 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.5 Units / -7.32% ROI
- 81-75 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.1 Units / -0.63% ROI
- 75-81 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.95 Units / -7.91% ROI
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Reds are just 8-18 (.308) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB.
The Reds are just 30-44 (.405) after a win this season — 5th lowest in MLB.
The Reds are 7-77 (.083) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.
The Reds are just 32-17 (.653) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Blue Jays are just 8-57 (.123) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
The Blue Jays are just 13-38 (.255) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB.
The Blue Jays were 71-4 (.947) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Blue Jays were 12-53 (.185) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .090.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters have struck out in 26% of their PA’s against RHP this season — tied for highest in MLB.
The Reds are batting just .229 this season — lowest in MLB.
The Reds are batting just .227 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB.
Reds hitters have an OBP of just .305 (5,977 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting .196 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.
Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of just .657 (1,761 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .488 in non-two strike counts this season — lowest in MLB.
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .263 (3,051 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
The Reds pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 62% of their games this season — highest in MLB.
The Reds pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.6 MPH this season (4,068 balls in play) — 2nd highest in MLB
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB.
The Reds pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 68% of their games at home this season — highest in MLB.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.7 MPH (3,938 batted balls) this season — best in MLB.
The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.7 MPH this season (3,938 balls in play) — best in MLB
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th highest in MLB.
Blue Jays pitchers have won only 17% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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