Reds vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 27

Toronto Blue Jays' George Springer bats during a baseball game against the Tampa Bay Rays Friday, Sept. 20, 2024, in St. Petersburg, Fla.
(AP Photo/Steve Nesius)
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  • The Blue Jays are -185 favorites vs the Reds
  • Reds vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Reds / Blue Jays TV Channel: RDTV | RSN | TVA

The Cincinnati Reds (+150) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-185) on September 27, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 3:07 pm in Toronto, ON.

This season, the Reds are 75-86 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 78-82 ATS.

Reds vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Reds starting pitcher: Brandon Williamson 5-4, 4.90 ERA
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Max Scherzer 3-9, 6.17 ERA

Reds vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Reds+1.5 -140O 8.5 -102+150
Blue Jays -1.5 +115U 8.5 -118-185

Reds vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 63.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 away games (+18.50 Units / 185% ROI)
  • Sal Stewart has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+14.25 Units / 50% ROI)
  • JJ Bleday has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+11.45 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Elly De La Cruz has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+11.30 Units / 40% ROI)
  • JJ Bleday has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 away games (+9.95 Units / 40% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Ernie Clement has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 20 games at home (+16.00 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Ernie Clement has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 games at home (+14.75 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Alejandro Kirk has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.25 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Kazuma Okamoto has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games at home (+12.40 Units / 138% ROI)
  • Davis Schneider has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+10.85 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games (+6.15 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in their last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 78% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+5.45 Units / 109% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 7 away games (+5.15 Units / 67% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+4.95 Units / 82% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 40 games at home (+13.95 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 25 games at home (+7.40 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+7.20 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+5.95 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 45 games (+4.20 Units / 9% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 83-76 against the Run Line (-11.9 Units / -5.41% ROI).

  • 75-86 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.75 Units / -2.67% ROI
  • 84-73 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.45 Units / 1.94% ROI
  • 73-84 when betting on the total runs Under for -19 Units / -10.76% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 78-82 against the Run Line (-10.8 Units / -5.23% ROI).

  • 78-83 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.1 Units / -8.06% ROI
  • 81-76 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.25 Units / -1.27% ROI
  • 76-81 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.95 Units / -7.3% ROI

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Reds are just 8-18 (.308) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

The Reds are 7-77 (.083) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Reds are just 30-44 (.405) after a win this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

The Reds are just 23-41 (.359) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2024 season — lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Blue Jays are just 8-58 (.121) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Blue Jays are just 13-38 (.255) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB.

The Blue Jays are just 8-67 (.107) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB.

The Blue Jays were 71-4 (.947) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .797.

Reds hitters have struck out in 26% of their PA’s against RHP this season — tied for highest in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .207 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .225 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .128 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Blue Jays are batting .196 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s against RHP this season — best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of just .952 (1,136 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of .545 (3,066 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Reds pitchers have walked 10% of batters this season — tied for highest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have an ERA of 5.81 (458.1 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have an ERA of 5.36 (688.2 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB.

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.7 MPH this season (3,958 balls in play) — best in MLB

Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.7 MPH (3,958 batted balls) this season — best in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have won only 17% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 10% of batters this season — 5th highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.