- The Braves are -275 favorites vs the Reds
- Reds starting pitcher: Christian Greene
- Braves starting pitcher: Spencer Strider
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Cincinnati Reds (+220) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-275) on Wednesday, April 12, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta.
The Braves are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-135).
The Reds vs Braves Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Reds are 4-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 5-7 ATS.
Reds vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | +1.5 +110 | O 7.5 -105 | +220 |
| Braves | -1.5 -135 | U 7.5 -115 | -275 |
Reds vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Braves and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jonathan India has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+7.30 Units / 73% ROI)
- Jason Vosler has hit the Singles Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 48% ROI)
- TJ Friedl has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.85 Units / 74% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.15 Units / 59% ROI)
- Tyler Stephenson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+5.00 Units / 52% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Eddie Rosario has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Eddie Rosario has hit the Total Bases Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.65 Units / 62% ROI)
- Eddie Rosario has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+6.05 Units / 76% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the Hits Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.00 Units / 33% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the RBIs Over in 5 of his last 7 games at home (+5.80 Units / 83% ROI)
Braves vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Will Benson | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Jason Vosler | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
Braves vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +100 |
| Will Benson | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Jason Vosler | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -125 |
Braves vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -500 |
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -400 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -600 |
| Will Benson | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jason Vosler | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -450 |
Braves vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Hunter Greene | 7.5 +115 | 7.5 -150 |
| Spencer Strider | 9.5 +110 | 9.5 -145 |
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.25 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.80 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Over in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 90% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.45 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+3.15 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 94% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+2.70 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.55 Units / 10% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 7-3 against the Run Line (+4.25 Units / 34.27% ROI).
- 4-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.6 Units / -14.35% ROI
- 6-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.75 Units / 16.06% ROI
- 4-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.55 Units / -22.97% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 5-7 against the Run Line (-1.85 Units / -12.71% ROI).
- 8-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.7 Units / 13.74% ROI
- 6-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.7 Units / -5.34% ROI
- 6-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.8 Units / -6.02% ROI
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hunter Greene has thrown 559 fastballs at 100+ MPH since last season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Hunter Greene has thrown 77 fastballs at 100+ MPH this season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Hunter Greene threw 482 fastballs at 100+ MPH in 2022 — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Hunter Greene has an average fastball velocity of 99.9 MPH this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 93.4 — 100th Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Spencer Strider has struck out 43% (12/28) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
Spencer Strider has a strikeout rate of 40% (18 SO in 45 PAs) this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 96th Percentile.
Spencer Strider has struck out 44% (117/268) of right-handed batters he faced since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Spencer Strider struck out 44% (111/251) of right-handed batters he faced in 2022 — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Reds were just 14-24 (.368) when scoring in the first inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .664.
The Reds are just 16-27 (.372) when scoring in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .658.
The Reds were just 17-21 (.447) when hitting 2 or more home runs in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .707.
The Reds are just 19-22 (.463) when hitting 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .711.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Braves are 12-3 (.800) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Braves are 22-16 (.579) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .289.
The Braves were 11-3 (.786) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Braves were 21-15 (.583) when allowing 2 or more home runs in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .293.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds batted just .298 on the first pitch of at-bats in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.
The Reds are batting just .303 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .337.
Reds hitters slugged just .348 on the road in 2022 — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .388.
Reds hitters slugged just .485 on the first pitch of at-bats in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .560.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
The Braves are batting .336 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Braves hitters are slugging .441 against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .394.
Braves hitters are slugging .446 against LHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .400.
Braves hitters have an OBP of .343 (1,767 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Reds pitchers have walked 269 of 2,956 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Reds pitchers have walked 654 of 6,611 batters (10%) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .339 against Reds pitchers this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of .275 against Reds pitchers in 2022 — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: .238.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents had a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers in 2022 — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Braves pitchers have allowed the 30th hardest ball in play hit (122.4 MPH) in 2022 (; League Avg: 117.3).
Braves vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Raisel Iglesias (Braves): Shoulder, D15
- Michael Harris II (Braves): Back, D10
- Tyler Matzek (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Max Fried (Braves): Left Hamstring, D15
- Collin McHugh (Braves): Shoulder, D15
- Kolby Allard (Braves): Oblique, D60
- Travis d’Arnaud (Braves): Concussion, D7
- Huascar Ynoa (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
- Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D15
- Nicholas Senzel (Reds): Toe, D10
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Joseph Votto (Reds): Bicep/Shoulder, D10
- Luke Weaver (Reds): Forearm, D15
- Lucas Sims (Reds): Back, D15
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