Reds vs Brewers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 5

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 05, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Brewers are -225 favorites vs the Reds
  • Reds starting pitcher: Robert Dugger (0-0), 4.50 ERA
  • Brewers starting pitcher: Eric Lauer (7-3), 3.74 ERA
  • Watch the game on Apple TV+

The Cincinnati Reds (+180) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-225) on Friday, August 5, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Milwaukee.

The Brewers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Reds vs Brewers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Reds are 42-62 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 44-61 ATS.

Reds vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Reds+1.5 -115O 8.5 +100+180
Brewers -1.5 -105U 8.5 -120-225

Reds vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Friday‘s matchup with 53.8% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Brewers and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Brewers vs Reds and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Albert Almora Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+11.60 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Tyler Stephenson has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+10.65 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Joey Votto has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 35 away games (+10.10 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Albert Almora Jr. has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+9.80 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Brandon Drury has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 16 away games (+9.30 Units / 55% ROI)

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jace Peterson has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.45 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Kolten Wong has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.35 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Kolten Wong has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 26 games (+10.20 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Jace Peterson has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.10 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Jace Peterson has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+9.35 Units / 62% ROI)

Brewers vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew McCutchen 0.5 +340 0.5 -600
Christian Yelich 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
Hunter Renfroe 0.5 +270 0.5 -450
Kolten Wong 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Luis Urias 0.5 +425 0.5 -800

Brewers vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew McCutchen 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
Christian Yelich 1.5 +180 1.5 -275
Hunter Renfroe 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Kolten Wong 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
Luis Urias 0.5 -185 0.5 +125

Brewers vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew McCutchen 0.5 +140 0.5 -200
Christian Yelich 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Hunter Renfroe 0.5 +120 0.5 -175
Kolten Wong 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
Luis Urias 0.5 +170 0.5 -250

Brewers vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Eric Lauer 5.5 -125 5.5 -110
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 46 of their last 76 games (+15.45 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 27 games (+10.15 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 44 of their last 78 games (+9.10 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 18 of their last 29 away games (+7.50 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games (+6.90 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 49 of their last 85 games (+15.45 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 49 of their last 85 games (+11.50 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 44 games (+10.00 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games at home (+5.95 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.00 Units / 23% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 50-54 against the Run Line (-9.8 Units / -7.53% ROI).

  • 42-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.8 Units / -8.78% ROI
  • 54-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.55 Units / -0.48% ROI
  • 49-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.55 Units / -9.24% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 44-61 against the Run Line (-21.75 Units / -16.99% ROI).

  • 57-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.3 Units / -9.15% ROI
  • 54-46 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.7 Units / 3.19% ROI
  • 46-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.65 Units / -10.94% ROI

No Matchup notes for this Game

Eric Lauer: Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% (100/293) against Eric Lauer this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — sixth Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 32% (81/254) against Eric Lauer this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — fifth Percentile.

Eric Lauer has allowed a slugging percentage of .438 (173 Total Bases / 395 ABs) this season — 10th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .382 — 15th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% (33/159) against Eric Lauer with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 10th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 18th Percentile.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Reds are just 32-7 (.821) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.

The Reds are 7-4 (.636) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Reds are 9-6 (.600) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Reds are just 8-28 (.222) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .280.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Brewers are 31-28 (.525) on the road this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .477.

The Brewers are just 5-24 (.172) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .280.

The Brewers are 12-5 (.706) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Brewers are just 40-7 (.851) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .886.

Reds hitters have an OBP of just .277 (462 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .325.

The Reds are batting just .238 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.

Reds hitters are slugging just .330 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .391.

Reds hitters are slugging just .376 against RHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .395.

Brewers hitters are slugging just .375 against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .408.

The Brewers are batting just .227 against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Brewers hitters have 257 strikeouts in 1,055 PA’s (24%) against LHP this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Brewers are batting just .319 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.

Reds pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 55 double plays in 801 opportunities (7%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Reds have allowed 1.76 runs per game (183/104) in late innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 1.27.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .301 against Reds pitchers with runners on base this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .246.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Brewers pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in close and late situations since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% in close and late situations since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Brewers vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Luis Perdomo (Brewers): Elbow, D15
  • Alex J Jackson (Brewers): Finger, D10
  • Adrian Houser (Brewers): Flexor, D15
  • Trevor Rosenthal (Brewers): Hamstring, D15
  • Jake O. Cousins (Brewers): Elbow, D60
  • Miguel Sánchez (Brewers): Elbow, D60
  • Omar Narváez (Brewers): Quad, D10
  • Jandel Gustave (Brewers): Forearm, D15
  • Jace Peterson (Brewers): Left Elbow, D10
  • Justin Topa (Brewers): Elbow, D60
  • Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D60
  • Lucas Sims (Reds): Back, D60
  • Luis Cessa (Reds): Back, Day-to-Day
  • Arthur Warren (Reds): Elbow, D15
  • Connor Overton (Reds): Back, D60
  • Jeffrey Hoffman (Reds): Forearm, D15
  • Aramis Garcia (Reds): Finger, D10
  • Tyler Stephenson (Reds): Clavicle, D60
  • Justin Wilson (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Forearm, D60
  • Daniel Duarte (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.