- The Brewers are -130 favorites vs the Reds
- Reds starting pitcher: Edward Lively
- Brewers starting pitcher: Wade Miley
- Watch the game on BSWI
The Cincinnati Reds (+105) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-130) on Sunday, July 9, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Milwaukee.
The Brewers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Reds vs Brewers Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Reds are 50-40 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 42-48 ATS.
Reds vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | +1.5 -185 | O 9 -105 | +105 |
| Brewers | -1.5 +150 | U 9 -115 | -130 |
Reds vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 54.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Brewers and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Reds vs Brewers and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Wil Myers has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 away games (+9.00 Units / 46% ROI)
- Jason Vosler has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+8.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- Jason Vosler has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.65 Units / 54% ROI)
- Wil Myers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.40 Units / 47% ROI)
- Kevin Newman has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 21 away games (+6.35 Units / 21% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Runs Under in 24 of his last 27 games (+17.15 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jesse Winker has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 14 games at home (+9.75 Units / 69% ROI)
- Jesse Winker has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 14 games at home (+9.35 Units / 62% ROI)
- Jesse Winker has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 14 games at home (+8.50 Units / 36% ROI)
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+7.90 Units / 65% ROI)
Brewers vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Elly De La Cruz | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Jesse Winker | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
Brewers vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Elly De La Cruz | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jesse Winker | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
| Christian Yelich | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -250 |
Brewers vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Elly De La Cruz | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jesse Winker | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Brewers vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ben Lively | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -150 |
| Wade Miley | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -155 |
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 43 of their last 68 games (+26.45 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 56 of their last 89 games (+20.20 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 50 of their last 83 games (+14.10 Units / 16% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.85 Units / 69% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 22 games (+6.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 11 games (+6.45 Units / 47% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 56-34 against the Run Line (+19.2 Units / 16.69% ROI).
- 50-40 when betting on the Moneyline for +19.05 Units / 19.37% ROI
- 53-37 when betting on the total runs Over for +12.85 Units / 13.05% ROI
- 37-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -21.25 Units / -21.35% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 42-48 against the Run Line (-10.05 Units / -8.86% ROI).
- 48-42 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.45 Units / 1.3% ROI
- 41-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -9 Units / -9.01% ROI
- 45-41 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.1 Units / 0.1% ROI
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Wade Miley has thrown inside pitches 49% of the time (123/252) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 35 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 21% (52/252) against Wade Miley on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 35 total IP; League Avg: 31% — first Percentile.
Wade Miley has thrown his cutter 48% of the time (332/697) in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 35 total CUT; League Avg: 21% — 97th Percentile.
Wade Miley has thrown inside pitches 46% of the time (505/1,102) on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 164 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Reds are 20-7 (.741) after a road win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .497.
The Reds are 21-8 (.724) after a win as favorites since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .596.
The Reds are 35-1 (.972) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .896.
The Reds are just 31-36 (.463) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .644.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Brewers are 25-13 (.658) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Brewers are 8-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .786.
The Brewers are just 0-37 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .051.
The Brewers are 9-3 (.750) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters have an OBP of .340 (2,566 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Reds hitters have an OBP of .339 (3,488 PA’s) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .320.
Reds hitters have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 35% this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Reds hitters have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 35% against RHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Brewers are batting just .224 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Brewers hitters have 674 strikeouts in 2,560 PA’s (26%) against LHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Brewers hitters have put just 34% of their swings in play against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Brewers are batting just .237 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Reds pitchers have won 54% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Reds have won 54% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Reds pitchers have walked 950 of 9,767 batters (10%) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .302 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .252.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have walked 55 of 801 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Brewers pitchers have 96 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 2nd fewest in MLB.
The Brewers have won 36% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Brewers pitchers have won 41% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Brewers vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jake O. Cousins (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Eric Lauer (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Garrett Mitchell (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Darin Ruf (Brewers): Knee, D60
- Justin Wilson (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Labrum, D60
- Brandon Woodruff (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- John Sousa (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Tyrone Taylor (Brewers): Elbow, D10
- Ryan Tellez (Brewers): Forearm, D10
- Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
- Connor Overton (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Nicholas Lodolo (Reds): Calf, D60
- Christian Greene (Reds): Hip, D15
- Reiver Sanmartin (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Casey Legumina (Reds): Shoulder, D15
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