Reds vs Brewers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 16

Milwaukee Brewers' Brice Turang swings during the first inning of a baseball game against the Washington Nationals Saturday, Sept. 16, 2023, in Milwaukee. (AP Photo/Aaron Gash)
(AP Photo/Aaron Gash)
  • The Brewers are -135 favorites vs the Reds
  • Reds vs Brewers Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • Reds / Brewers TV Channel: BSOH | BSWI

The Cincinnati Reds (+115) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-135) on Sunday, June 16, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.

This season, the Reds are 34-36 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 37-33 ATS.

Reds vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Reds starting pitcher: Frankie Montas 3-5, 4.59 ERA
  • Brewers starting pitcher: Colin Rea 5-2, 3.31 ERA

Reds vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Reds+1.5 -190O 9 +100+115
Brewers -1.5 +155U 9 -120-135

Reds vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 52.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:

  • TJ Friedl has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 12 games (+20.70 Units / 173% ROI)
  • Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Under in 24 of his last 37 games (+18.55 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Jeimer Candelario has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 33 games (+15.40 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Elly De La Cruz has hit the Singles Under in 32 of his last 48 games (+9.65 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 24 of his last 37 games (+9.55 Units / 22% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Sal Frelick has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 games at home (+19.00 Units / 211% ROI)
  • Willy Adames has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 23 games at home (+10.50 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Rhys Hoskins has hit the RBIs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+9.25 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Brice Turang has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 16 games at home (+8.90 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Brice Turang has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 16 games at home (+8.25 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 54 games (+11.00 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 31 away games (+9.75 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games (+9.35 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 52 games (+8.85 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 55 games (+8.05 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 70 games (+10.95 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 32 games at home (+9.25 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games at home (+8.25 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 41 of their last 70 games (+8.05 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 21 games at home (+7.70 Units / 31% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 39-31 against the Run Line (+5 Units / 5.38% ROI).

  • 34-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.9 Units / -2.33% ROI
  • 31-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.15 Units / -11.84% ROI
  • 36-31 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.65 Units / 2.15% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 37-33 against the Run Line (+0.95 Units / 1% ROI).

  • 41-29 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.95 Units / 12.78% ROI
  • 38-29 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.45 Units / 8.4% ROI
  • 29-38 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.75 Units / -16.5% ROI

Brewers vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
William Contreras (MIL) 0.5 +320 0.5 -400
Willy Adames (MIL) 0.5 +320 0.5 -400
Rhys Hoskins (MIL) 0.5 +320 0.5 -400
Spencer Steer (CIN) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Christian Yelich (MIL) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650

Brewers vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tyler Stephenson (CIN) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Spencer Steer (CIN) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
TJ Friedl (CIN) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Christian Yelich (MIL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Joey Ortiz (MIL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175

Brewers vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
William Contreras (MIL) 0.5 +110 0.5 -145
Willy Adames (MIL) 0.5 +110 0.5 -145
Rhys Hoskins (MIL) 0.5 +115 0.5 -150
Spencer Steer (CIN) 0.5 +135 0.5 -175
Jeimer Candelario (CIN) 0.5 +135 0.5 -175

Brewers vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Colin Rea (MIL) 4.5 -105 4.5 -125
Frankie Montas (CIN) 4.5 -105 4.5 -125

Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of 24% (104/439) against Frankie Montas since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 156 total IP; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.

Frankie Montas has walked 14 of 102 batters (14%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: 8% — third Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 31% (51/164) against Frankie Montas with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: 39% — second Percentile.

Frankie Montas has induced opposing hitters to ground into just 1 double play in 40 opportunities (3%) this season — tied for 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: 11% — fourth Percentile.

Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Colin Rea has a strikeout rate of just 16% (48 SO in 301 PAs) this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — fourth Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 21% (61/290) against Colin Rea this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — fifth Percentile.

Colin Rea has struck out just 17% (27/163) of left-handed batters he faced this season — tied for 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — eighth Percentile.

Colin Rea has retired the leadoff hitter in each of his last 17 innings — Dane Dunning has the longest active streak at 19.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Reds are just 1-6 (.143) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Reds are just 24-28 (.462) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .588.

The Reds are just 52-53 (.495) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .635.

The Reds are just 48-19 (.716) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .795.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Brewers are 30-56 (.349) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .211.

The Brewers are 34-15 (.694) after a home loss since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .516.

The Brewers are 58-55 (.513) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .420.

The Brewers are 60-39 (.606) after a loss since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .494.

team hitters – away

team hitters – home

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .291 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .254.

Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 3.71 (1022.1 IP) on the road since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.33.

Brewers pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.

Brewers pitchers have 86 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 3rd fewest in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have won 42% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Brewers vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • J.C. Mejia (Milwaukee Brewers): Suspension, Suspension
  • Garrett Mitchell (Milwaukee Brewers): Finger, 10-Day IL
  • Christian Arroyo (Milwaukee Brewers): Wrist, 7-Day IL
  • Jeferson Quero (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
  • Easton McGee (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Wade Miley (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Devin Williams (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 15-Day IL
  • Brandon Woodruff (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Taylor Clarke (Milwaukee Brewers): Knee, 15-Day IL
  • Austin Wynns (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
  • Sam Moll (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Noelvi Marte (Cincinnati Reds): Suspension, Suspension
  • Matt McLain (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Joey Votto (Cincinnati Reds): Ankle, Out
  • Nick Lodolo (Cincinnati Reds): Calf, 15-Day IL
  • TJ Friedl (Cincinnati Reds): Wrist, 10-Day IL
  • Reiver Sanmartin (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
  • Alex Young (Cincinnati Reds): Back, 15-Day IL
  • Ian Gibaut (Cincinnati Reds): Forearm, 15-Day IL
  • Brandon Williamson (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Connor Overton (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out

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Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.