• The Brewers are -190 favorites vs the Reds
• Reds vs Brewers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
• Reds / Brewers TV Channel: ATV

The Cincinnati Reds (+155) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-190) on September 11, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45 pm in Milwaukee, WI.

This season, the Reds are 69-77 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 76-71 ATS.

Reds vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:

• Reds starting pitcher: Andrew Abbott 6-10, 4.44 ERA
• Brewers starting pitcher: Dustin May 6-9, 4.74 ERA

Reds vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Reds vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Friday‘s MLB game with 63.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:

• Elly De La Cruz has hit the Home Runs Over in his last 5 games (+22.30 Units / 446% ROI)
• JJ Bleday has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 25 away games (+15.55 Units / 46% ROI)
• JJ Bleday has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+13.85 Units / 44% ROI)
• Elly De La Cruz has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+13.65 Units / 65% ROI)
• Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games (+13.60 Units / 31% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Andrew Vaughn has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 15 games (+11.75 Units / 38% ROI)
• Jackson Chourio has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games at home (+11.40 Units / 228% ROI)
• Joey Ortiz has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.25 Units / 30% ROI)
• Luis Lara has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.85 Units / 50% ROI)
• Garrett Mitchell has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+10.85 Units / 43% ROI)

Reds Best Bets Today:

• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 50 away games (+5.65 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.15 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 games (+3.15 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 20 away games (+3.05 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.25 Units / 14% ROI)

Brewers Best Bets Today:

• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games (+9.45 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 50 games at home (+9.35 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 35 games (+9.15 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 50 games at home (+7.30 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 45 games at home (+7.15 Units / 15% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 75-69 against the Run Line (-12 Units / -5.94% ROI).

• 69-77 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.8 Units / -3.56% ROI
• 78-66 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.15 Units / 3.19% ROI
• 66-78 when betting on the total runs Under for -19.4 Units / -12.12% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 76-71 against the Run Line (+15.6 Units / 9.32% ROI).

• 91-56 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.25 Units / 6.59% ROI
• 65-77 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.2 Units / -11.88% ROI
• 77-65 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.75 Units / 3.55% ROI

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Reds are 7-69 (.092) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

The Reds are just 8-17 (.320) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

The Reds are 52-16 (.765) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

The Reds are just 22-40 (.355) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2024 season — lowest in MLB.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Brewers are 15-2 (.882) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB.

The Brewers are 20-17 (.541) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Brewers are 50-25 (.667) at home this season — best in MLB.

The Brewers are 57-33 (.633) after a win this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Reds Hitting Stats & Trends

Reds hitters have struck out in 26% of their PA’s against RHP this season — highest in MLB.

Reds hitters have struck out in 26% of their PA’s this season — highest in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .207 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB.

Reds hitters have drawn walks in 11% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends

Brewers hitters have an OBP of .345 (3,965 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB.

The Brewers are batting .393 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB.

Brewers hitters have an OBP of .339 (5,717 PA’s) this season — tied for best in MLB.

Brewers hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,711 of their 5,717 plate appearances (30%) this season — highest in MLB.

Reds Pitching Stats & Trends

Reds pitchers have walked 10% of batters this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

The Reds pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 61% of their games this season — highest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends

The Brewers have won 60% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .224 against Brewers pitchers with runners on base this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have struck out 27% of left-handed batters they faced this season — best in MLB.

The Brewers have won 49% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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