Reds vs Brewers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 9

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 09, 2022, 3:31 PM
  • The Brewers (73-65) are -150 favorites vs the Reds (55-80)
  • Reds starting pitcher: Nicholas Lodolo (3-5), 3.94 ERA
  • Brewers starting pitcher: Jason Alexander (2-2), 5.02 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSWI

The Cincinnati Reds (+125) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-150) on Friday, September 9, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Milwaukee.

The Brewers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).

The Reds vs Brewers Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Reds are 53-80 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 55-80 ATS.

Reds vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Reds+1.5 -160O 8 -105+125
Brewers -1.5 +135U 8 -115-150

Reds vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Friday‘s matchup with 65.5% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Brewers and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Brewers vs Reds and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • player high – away 

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • player  high – home

Brewers vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew McCutchen 0.5 +350 0.5 -650
Christian Yelich 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
Hunter Renfroe 0.5 +280 0.5 -450
Keston Hiura 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Luis Urias 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200

Brewers vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew McCutchen 0.5 -175 0.5 +120
Christian Yelich 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Hunter Renfroe 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Keston Hiura 0.5 -110 0.5 -125
Luis Urias 0.5 -125 0.5 -115

Brewers vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew McCutchen 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
Christian Yelich 0.5 +225 0.5 -350
Hunter Renfroe 0.5 +140 0.5 -200
Keston Hiura 0.5 +240 0.5 -375
Luis Urias 0.5 +240 0.5 -375

Brewers vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jason Alexander 2.5 -185 2.5 +125
Nick Lodolo 6.5 -130 6.5 -110
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 62 of their last 107 games (+17.80 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 27 of their last 48 away games (+5.40 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.25 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.90 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.20 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 62 of their last 118 games (+8.20 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.90 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.00 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.40 Units / 5% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 62-70 against the Run Line (-13.6 Units / -8.37% ROI).

  • 53-80 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.4 Units / -9.43% ROI
  • 66-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.15 Units / -3.5% ROI
  • 64-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.05 Units / -6.19% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 55-80 against the Run Line (-32.2 Units / -19.81% ROI).

  • 71-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -22.65 Units / -10.49% ROI
  • 65-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.7 Units / -3.15% ROI
  • 64-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.4 Units / -4.3% ROI

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 31% (53/169) against Nick Lodolo this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 29% (72/252) against Nick Lodolo on inside fastballs this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 0 Percentile.

Nick Lodolo has a strike rate of just 59% (238/402) in two strike counts this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 29% (54/187) against Nick Lodolo this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.

Jason Alexander: Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jason Alexander has not allowed a hit in the first inning in any of his last three games dating back to July 12nd — the longest active streak is 4.

Jason Alexander has a strike rate of just 55% (47/86) this month (1 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 60% (9/15) against Jason Alexander this month (1 games) — tied for 14th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 91st Percentile.

Jason Alexander has a first-pitch strike rate of just 50% (11/22) this month (1 games) — tied for 9th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 63% — 11th Percentile.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Reds are 11-7 (.611) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Reds are just 39-9 (.812) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .885.

The Reds are just 29-39 (.426) at home this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .530.

The Reds are just 53-63 (.457) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Brewers are just 8-29 (.216) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .278.

The Brewers are 8-48 (.143) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .115.

The Brewers are 15-7 (.682) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Brewers are just 50-10 (.833) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .885.

The Reds are batting just .244 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .262.

Reds hitters are slugging just .349 on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .389.

Reds hitters are slugging just .410 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .447.

Reds hitters have an OPS of just .641 (2,491 PA’s) on the road this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .697.

Brewers hitters are averaging 4.10 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

The Brewers are batting just .229 at home since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Brewers hitters are slugging just .371 against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .408.

Brewers hitters have 754 strikeouts in 3,030 PA’s (25%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .284 against Reds pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .238.

Reds pitchers have walked 105 of 1,190 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Reds pitchers have walked 504 of 5,206 batters (10%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Brewers pitchers since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Brewers pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 31% versus the bottom of the order since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Brewers vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Kolten Wong (Brewers): Knee, Day-to-Day
  • Trevor Gott (Brewers): Forearm, D15
  • Alex J Jackson (Brewers): Wrist, D60
  • Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
  • Trevor Rosenthal (Brewers): Hamstring, D15
  • Freddy Peralta (Brewers): Shoulder, Day-to-Day
  • Miguel Sánchez (Brewers): Elbow, D60
  • Eric Lauer (Brewers): Elbow, Day-to-Day
  • Jandel Gustave (Brewers): Forearm, D15
  • Jonathan Davis (Brewers): Elbow, D10
  • Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D60
  • Lucas Sims (Reds): Back, D60
  • Christian Greene (Reds): Shoulder, D15
  • Connor Overton (Reds): Back, D60
  • Matthew Reynolds (Reds): Hip, D10
  • Timothy James Zeuch (Reds): Back, D15
  • Robert Dugger (Reds): Shoulder, D15
  • Jeffrey Hoffman (Reds): Forearm, D60
  • Aramis Garcia (Reds): Finger, D60
  • Tyler Stephenson (Reds): Clavicle, D60
  • Justin Wilson (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Douglas Ashcraft (Reds): Biceps, D15
  • Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Forearm, D60
  • Daniel Duarte (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Joseph Votto (Reds): Rotator Cuff, D60
  • Michael Moustakas (Reds): Calf, D60
  • Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.