- The Brewers (73-65) are -150 favorites vs the Reds (55-80)
- Reds starting pitcher: Nicholas Lodolo (3-5), 3.94 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Jason Alexander (2-2), 5.02 ERA
- Watch the game on BSWI
The Cincinnati Reds (+125) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-150) on Friday, September 9, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Milwaukee.
The Brewers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Reds vs Brewers Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Reds are 53-80 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 55-80 ATS.
Reds vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | +1.5 -160 | O 8 -105 | +125 |
| Brewers | -1.5 +135 | U 8 -115 | -150 |
Reds vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Friday‘s matchup with 65.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Brewers and up-to-date player injuries.
Looking for a first bet offer up to $1,000? Bet now on Brewers vs Reds and all MLB games with BetMGM
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- player high – away
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- player high – home
Brewers vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Hunter Renfroe | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -450 |
| Keston Hiura | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Luis Urias | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
Brewers vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +120 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Hunter Renfroe | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Keston Hiura | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -125 |
| Luis Urias | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -115 |
Brewers vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -350 |
| Hunter Renfroe | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
| Keston Hiura | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
| Luis Urias | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
Brewers vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jason Alexander | 2.5 -185 | 2.5 +125 |
| Nick Lodolo | 6.5 -130 | 6.5 -110 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Reds Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 62 of their last 107 games (+17.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 27 of their last 48 away games (+5.40 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.25 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.90 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.20 Units / 22% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Brewers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 62 of their last 118 games (+8.20 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.90 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.00 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.40 Units / 5% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 62-70 against the Run Line (-13.6 Units / -8.37% ROI).
- 53-80 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.4 Units / -9.43% ROI
- 66-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.15 Units / -3.5% ROI
- 64-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.05 Units / -6.19% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 55-80 against the Run Line (-32.2 Units / -19.81% ROI).
- 71-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -22.65 Units / -10.49% ROI
- 65-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.7 Units / -3.15% ROI
- 64-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.4 Units / -4.3% ROI
Nicholas Lodolo: Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 31% (53/169) against Nick Lodolo this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 29% (72/252) against Nick Lodolo on inside fastballs this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 0 Percentile.
Nick Lodolo has a strike rate of just 59% (238/402) in two strike counts this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 29% (54/187) against Nick Lodolo this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.
Jason Alexander: Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jason Alexander has not allowed a hit in the first inning in any of his last three games dating back to July 12nd — the longest active streak is 4.
Jason Alexander has a strike rate of just 55% (47/86) this month (1 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 60% (9/15) against Jason Alexander this month (1 games) — tied for 14th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 91st Percentile.
Jason Alexander has a first-pitch strike rate of just 50% (11/22) this month (1 games) — tied for 9th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 63% — 11th Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Reds are 11-7 (.611) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 39-9 (.812) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .885.
The Reds are just 29-39 (.426) at home this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .530.
The Reds are just 53-63 (.457) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Brewers are just 8-29 (.216) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .278.
The Brewers are 8-48 (.143) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .115.
The Brewers are 15-7 (.682) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Brewers are just 50-10 (.833) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .885.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .244 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Reds hitters are slugging just .349 on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .389.
Reds hitters are slugging just .410 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .447.
Reds hitters have an OPS of just .641 (2,491 PA’s) on the road this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .697.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters are averaging 4.10 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
The Brewers are batting just .229 at home since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Brewers hitters are slugging just .371 against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .408.
Brewers hitters have 754 strikeouts in 3,030 PA’s (25%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .284 against Reds pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .238.
Reds pitchers have walked 105 of 1,190 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds pitchers have walked 504 of 5,206 batters (10%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Brewers pitchers since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Brewers pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 31% versus the bottom of the order since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kolten Wong (Brewers): Knee, Day-to-Day
- Trevor Gott (Brewers): Forearm, D15
- Alex J Jackson (Brewers): Wrist, D60
- Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Trevor Rosenthal (Brewers): Hamstring, D15
- Freddy Peralta (Brewers): Shoulder, Day-to-Day
- Miguel Sánchez (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Eric Lauer (Brewers): Elbow, Day-to-Day
- Jandel Gustave (Brewers): Forearm, D15
- Jonathan Davis (Brewers): Elbow, D10
- Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D60
- Lucas Sims (Reds): Back, D60
- Christian Greene (Reds): Shoulder, D15
- Connor Overton (Reds): Back, D60
- Matthew Reynolds (Reds): Hip, D10
- Timothy James Zeuch (Reds): Back, D15
- Robert Dugger (Reds): Shoulder, D15
- Jeffrey Hoffman (Reds): Forearm, D60
- Aramis Garcia (Reds): Finger, D60
- Tyler Stephenson (Reds): Clavicle, D60
- Justin Wilson (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Douglas Ashcraft (Reds): Biceps, D15
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Forearm, D60
- Daniel Duarte (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Joseph Votto (Reds): Rotator Cuff, D60
- Michael Moustakas (Reds): Calf, D60
- Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
Looking for a first bet offer up to $1,000? Bet now on Brewers vs Reds and all MLB games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.