- The Cardinals are -175 favorites vs the Reds
- Reds starting pitcher: Andrew Abbott
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas
- Watch the game on BSMW
The Cincinnati Reds (+145) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-175) on Saturday, June 10, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:15pm EDT in St. Louis.
The Cardinals are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Reds vs Cardinals Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Reds are 29-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 28-36 ATS.
Reds vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | +1.5 -135 | O 9 -120 | +145 |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +110 | U 9 +100 | -175 |
Reds vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 75.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Spencer Steer has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 23 games (+13.75 Units / 30% ROI)
- Matt McLain has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+12.90 Units / 51% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+12.80 Units / 75% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 45 games (+11.40 Units / 12% ROI)
- Matt McLain has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 18 games (+11.25 Units / 29% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the RBIs Under in 30 of his last 37 games (+15.60 Units / 19% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+13.00 Units / 24% ROI)
- Tommy Edman has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+10.70 Units / 49% ROI)
- Tommy Edman has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+10.05 Units / 64% ROI)
- Paul DeJong has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+9.85 Units / 39% ROI)
Cardinals vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Elly De La Cruz | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
Cardinals vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Elly De La Cruz | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Cardinals vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Elly De La Cruz | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Cardinals vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Abbott | 4.5 -150 | 4.5 +115 |
| Miles Mikolas | 4.5 -165 | 4.5 +125 |
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 64 games (+8.90 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 63 games (+8.35 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 42 games (+7.65 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 57 games (+7.00 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 13 away games (+6.15 Units / 40% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 60 games (+13.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 36 of their last 60 games (+10.55 Units / 15% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+7.50 Units / 34% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games at home (+6.75 Units / 35% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+4.05 Units / 26% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 37-27 against the Run Line (+7.35 Units / 9.19% ROI).
- 29-35 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.25 Units / 0.37% ROI
- 36-28 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.75 Units / 8.24% ROI
- 28-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.65 Units / -16.4% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 28-36 against the Run Line (-12 Units / -14.56% ROI).
- 27-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.8 Units / -25.5% ROI
- 30-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.15 Units / -7.33% ROI
- 32-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -1 Units / -1.42% ROI
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Andrew Abbott has walked 4 of 23 batters (17%) over the past seven days (1 games) — tied for 3rd highest in NL over the last week; League Avg: 8% — eighth Percentile.
Opponents batted just .053 (1-for-19) against Andrew Abbott — tied for 5th best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .229 — 95th Percentile.
Opponents had a chase percentage of just 22% (11/51) against Andrew Abbott — tied for 10th lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 30% — 11th Percentile.
Andrew Abbott threw over to first base 5 times — tied for 7th most in MLB over the last week — 93rd Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 14% (20/143) against Miles Mikolas with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .247 (39-for-158) against Miles Mikolas with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .163 — third Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 31% (76/244) against Miles Mikolas this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 16% (98/599) against Miles Mikolas this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Reds were just 17-21 (.447) when hitting 2 or more home runs in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .707.
The Reds were just 14-24 (.368) when scoring in the first inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .664.
The Reds were just 6-78 (.071) when trailing entering the 7th inning in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .118.
The Reds were just 60-80 (.429) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits in 2022 — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Cardinals were 16-4 (.800) when tied entering the 8th inning in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals were 22-27 (.449) when allowing 10 or more hits in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .272.
The Cardinals were 10-56 (.152) when trailing entering the 7th inning in 2022 — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .118.
The Cardinals were 22-21 (.512) when their opponents score in the first inning in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .336.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters have a swing rate of just 25% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Reds hitters have an OBP of .337 (1,138 PA’s) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Reds hitters have 45 extra-base hits out of 140 total hits (just 32%) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Reds hitters are slugging just .371 against RHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .396.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .739 (2,671 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .690.
Cardinals hitters have a swing rate of just 41% in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .261 (4,537 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .789 (1,927 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .293 against Reds pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .306 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
Reds pitchers have walked 845 of 8,711 batters (10%) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .324 against Reds pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .257.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Cardinals vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Lars Nootbaar (Cardinals): Back, D10
- Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Wilking RodrÃguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Back, D10
- Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
- Douglas Ashcraft (Reds): Calf, D15
- William Myers (Reds): Kidney Stones, D10
- Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D60
- Derek Law (Reds): Elbow, D15
- Nicholas Senzel (Reds): Knee, D10
- Connor Overton (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Jake Fraley (Reds): Wrist, D10
- Casey Legumina (Reds): Ankle, D15
- Nicholas Lodolo (Reds): Calf, D60
- Henry Ramos (Reds): Hip, D10
- Reiver Sanmartin (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Joseph Votto (Reds): Bicep/Shoulder, D60
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