Reds vs Cardinals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 10

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 10, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Cardinals (32-26) are -150 favorites vs the Reds (20-37)
  • Reds starting pitcher: Luis Castillo (2-3), 3.545 ERA
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Neil Pallante (1-0), 1.227 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSMW

The Cincinnati Reds (+125) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-150) on Friday, June 10, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:15pm EDT in St. Louis.

The Cardinals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).

The Reds vs Cardinals Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Reds are 20-37 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 32-26 ATS.

Reds vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Reds+1.5 -165O 8 -115+125
Cardinals -1.5 +135U 8 -105-150

Reds vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Friday‘s matchup with 69.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Cardinals vs Reds and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Joey Votto has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.65 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Joey Votto has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+9.40 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Tyler Stephenson has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 away games (+9.00 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Albert Almora Jr. has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+6.70 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Albert Almora Jr. has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+5.65 Units / 23% ROI)

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 14 games at home (+10.80 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 16 games at home (+10.15 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 12 games at home (+9.35 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 12 games at home (+9.00 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Harrison Bader has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+7.25 Units / 73% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 29 games (+13.70 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 21 of their last 31 games (+10.30 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 31 games (+8.85 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 24 games (+7.30 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 31 games (+5.50 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 53 games (+5.60 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+5.40 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+5.00 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.60 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 27 games at home (+4.00 Units / 14% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 25-32 against the Run Line (-10.05 Units / -14.58% ROI).

  • 20-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.9 Units / -22.29% ROI
  • 30-26 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.15 Units / 1.83% ROI
  • 26-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.4 Units / -11.76% ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 32-26 against the Run Line (+4.25 Units / 5.63% ROI).

  • 32-26 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.85 Units / 2.53% ROI
  • 28-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.9 Units / -2.98% ROI
  • 27-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.85 Units / -6.01% ROI

Luis Castillo has thrown his changeup 44% of the time (519/1,178) with two-strikes since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.

Luis Castillo has located his fastball up for a strike just 50% (425/853) of the time since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 107 total IP; League Avg: 60% — third Percentile.

Luis Castillo has walked 5 of 29 left-handed batters (17%) — 5th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 8% — seventh Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 62% (198/319) against Luis Castillo since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 107 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 99th Percentile.

Neil Pallante: Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 5% (3/60) against Andre Pallante with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 30% — first Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 17% (26/149) against Andre Pallante this season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 30% — 0 Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 67% (30/45) against Andre Pallante this season — 3rd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 44% — 98th Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting .333 (19-for-57) against Andre Pallante this season — tied for 7th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .229 — seventh Percentile.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Reds are just 0-31 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .095.

The Reds are just 8-20 (.286) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .486.

The Reds are just 0-31 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .074.

The Reds are just 2-121 (.016) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .084.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Cardinals are just 0-24 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .074.

The Cardinals are 11-2 (.846) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .713.

The Cardinals are 26-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .905.

The Cardinals are 27-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .926.

Reds hitters have an OPS of just .571 (990 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .688.

Reds hitters are slugging just .309 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .382.

Reds hitters have an OBP of just .262 (990 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .307.

Reds hitters have an OBP of .347 (4,162 PA’s) at home since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .322.

Cardinals hitters have 168 extra-base hits out of 395 total hits (42%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Cardinals hitters are slugging .454 against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .408.

The Cardinals are batting just .155 in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .228.

Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .333 (488 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .315.

Reds pitchers have walked 845 of 8,370 batters (10%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Reds pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 29 double plays in 445 opportunities (7%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Reds pitchers have an ERA of 5.53 (259.0 IP) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.83.

Reds pitchers have walked 174 of 1,932 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Cardinals pitchers have walked 53 of 516 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Cardinals pitchers have walked 181 of 1,935 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Cardinals pitchers since the start of last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Cardinals vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
  • McKenzie Dickerson (Cardinals): Calf, D10
  • Jordan Hicks (Cardinals): Forearm, D15
  • Steven Matz (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
  • Jack Flaherty (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
  • Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
  • Lucas Sims (Reds): Lower Back, D15
  • Donovan Solano (Reds): Hamstring, D60
  • Connor Overton (Reds): Back, D60
  • Nicholas Lodolo (Reds): Back, D10
  • Max Schrock (Reds): Calf, D60
  • Tyler Stephenson (Reds): Hand, D10
  • Jake Fraley (Reds): Knee, D10
  • Reinaldo Almora Jr. (Reds): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
  • Justin Wilson (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Moustakas (Reds): Undisclosed, D10
  • Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Forearm, D15
  • Daniel Duarte (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Jonathan India (Reds): Hamstring, D10
  • Tyler Naquin (Reds): Quad, D10
  • Tejay Antone (Reds): Undisclosed, D60
  • Nicholas Senzel (Reds): Back, Day-to-Day

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.