Reds vs Cardinals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 10

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 10, 2023, 3:31 PM
  • The Cardinals are -175 favorites vs the Reds
  • Reds starting pitcher: Andrew Abbott
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas
  • Watch the game on BSMW

The Cincinnati Reds (+145) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-175) on Saturday, June 10, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:15pm EDT in St. Louis.

The Cardinals are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).

The Reds vs Cardinals Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

This season, the Reds are 29-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 28-36 ATS.

Reds vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Reds+1.5 -135O 9 -120+145
Cardinals -1.5 +110U 9 +100-175

Reds vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 75.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.


Bet now on Reds vs Cardinals and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Spencer Steer has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 23 games (+13.75 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Matt McLain has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+12.90 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Spencer Steer has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+12.80 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Jonathan India has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 45 games (+11.40 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Matt McLain has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 18 games (+11.25 Units / 29% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the RBIs Under in 30 of his last 37 games (+15.60 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+13.00 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Tommy Edman has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+10.70 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Tommy Edman has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+10.05 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Paul DeJong has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+9.85 Units / 39% ROI)

Cardinals vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tyler Stephenson 0.5 +750 0.5 -3000
Nolan Arenado 0.5 +250 0.5 -400
Jonathan India 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
Elly De La Cruz 0.5 +450 0.5 -1000
Dylan Carlson 0.5 +625 0.5 -2000

Cardinals vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tyler Stephenson 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Nolan Arenado 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Jonathan India 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Elly De La Cruz 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Dylan Carlson 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Cardinals vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tyler Stephenson 0.5 +200 0.5 -275
Nolan Arenado 0.5 +115 0.5 -150
Jonathan India 0.5 +220 0.5 -300
Elly De La Cruz 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Dylan Carlson 0.5 +200 0.5 -275

Cardinals vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew Abbott 4.5 -150 4.5 +115
Miles Mikolas 4.5 -165 4.5 +125
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 64 games (+8.90 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 63 games (+8.35 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 42 games (+7.65 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 57 games (+7.00 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 13 away games (+6.15 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 60 games (+13.45 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 36 of their last 60 games (+10.55 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+7.50 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games at home (+6.75 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+4.05 Units / 26% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 37-27 against the Run Line (+7.35 Units / 9.19% ROI).

  • 29-35 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.25 Units / 0.37% ROI
  • 36-28 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.75 Units / 8.24% ROI
  • 28-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.65 Units / -16.4% ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 28-36 against the Run Line (-12 Units / -14.56% ROI).

  • 27-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.8 Units / -25.5% ROI
  • 30-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.15 Units / -7.33% ROI
  • 32-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -1 Units / -1.42% ROI

Andrew Abbott has walked 4 of 23 batters (17%) over the past seven days (1 games) — tied for 3rd highest in NL over the last week; League Avg: 8% — eighth Percentile.

Opponents batted just .053 (1-for-19) against Andrew Abbott — tied for 5th best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .229 — 95th Percentile.

Opponents had a chase percentage of just 22% (11/51) against Andrew Abbott — tied for 10th lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 30% — 11th Percentile.

Andrew Abbott threw over to first base 5 times — tied for 7th most in MLB over the last week — 93rd Percentile.

Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of just 14% (20/143) against Miles Mikolas with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .247 (39-for-158) against Miles Mikolas with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .163 — third Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 31% (76/244) against Miles Mikolas this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 16% (98/599) against Miles Mikolas this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Reds were just 17-21 (.447) when hitting 2 or more home runs in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .707.

The Reds were just 14-24 (.368) when scoring in the first inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .664.

The Reds were just 6-78 (.071) when trailing entering the 7th inning in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .118.

The Reds were just 60-80 (.429) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits in 2022 — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Cardinals were 16-4 (.800) when tied entering the 8th inning in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cardinals were 22-27 (.449) when allowing 10 or more hits in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .272.

The Cardinals were 10-56 (.152) when trailing entering the 7th inning in 2022 — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .118.

The Cardinals were 22-21 (.512) when their opponents score in the first inning in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .336.

Reds hitters have a swing rate of just 25% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.

Reds hitters have an OBP of .337 (1,138 PA’s) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .315.

Reds hitters have 45 extra-base hits out of 140 total hits (just 32%) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Reds hitters are slugging just .371 against RHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .396.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .739 (2,671 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .690.

Cardinals hitters have a swing rate of just 41% in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .261 (4,537 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .244.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .789 (1,927 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .723.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .293 against Reds pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .246.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .306 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .250.

Reds pitchers have walked 845 of 8,711 batters (10%) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .324 against Reds pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .257.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Cardinals vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Lars Nootbaar (Cardinals): Back, D10
  • Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
  • Wilking Rodríguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
  • Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Back, D10
  • Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
  • Douglas Ashcraft (Reds): Calf, D15
  • William Myers (Reds): Kidney Stones, D10
  • Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D60
  • Derek Law (Reds): Elbow, D15
  • Nicholas Senzel (Reds): Knee, D10
  • Connor Overton (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Jake Fraley (Reds): Wrist, D10
  • Casey Legumina (Reds): Ankle, D15
  • Nicholas Lodolo (Reds): Calf, D60
  • Henry Ramos (Reds): Hip, D10
  • Reiver Sanmartin (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Joseph Votto (Reds): Bicep/Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.