- The Cardinals (34-26) are -155 favorites vs the Reds (20-39)
- Reds starting pitcher: Douglas Ashcraft (3-0), 1.141 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Dakota Hudson (4-2), 2.761 ERA
- Watch the game on BSMW
The Cincinnati Reds (+125) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-155) on Sunday, June 12, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:15pm EDT in St. Louis.
The Cardinals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Reds vs Cardinals Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Reds are 20-39 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 33-27 ATS.
Reds vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | +1.5 -160 | O 8 -110 | +125 |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +135 | U 8 -110 | -155 |
Reds vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Sunday‘s matchup with 69.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Joey Votto has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 14 games (+11.65 Units / 40% ROI)
- Joey Votto has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+7.40 Units / 47% ROI)
- Tyler Stephenson has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Matt Reynolds has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 10 away games (+4.75 Units / 42% ROI)
- Kyle Farmer has hit the Hits Under in 4 of his last 7 games (+4.30 Units / 61% ROI)
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 14 games at home (+9.50 Units / 66% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 18 games at home (+8.15 Units / 45% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 14 games at home (+7.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 16 games at home (+6.00 Units / 18% ROI)
- Harrison Bader has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 12 games (+5.25 Units / 44% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Reds Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 31 games (+13.30 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 23 of their last 33 games (+12.30 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 33 games (+8.20 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 26 games (+7.30 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.60 Units / 26% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Cardinals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+7.40 Units / 48% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.60 Units / 46% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 55 games (+6.10 Units / 9% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 13 games at home (+5.00 Units / 33% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 29 games at home (+3.95 Units / 12% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 26-33 against the Run Line (-10.7 Units / -14.87% ROI).
- 20-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.9 Units / -24.71% ROI
- 31-27 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.1 Units / 1.69% ROI
- 27-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.4 Units / -11.37% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 33-27 against the Run Line (+4.75 Units / 6.13% ROI).
- 34-26 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.85 Units / 5.05% ROI
- 29-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.95 Units / -2.95% ROI
- 28-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.85 Units / -5.82% ROI
Douglas Ashcraft: Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .156 (7-for-45) against Graham Ashcraft — 5th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .232 — 94th Percentile.
Graham Ashcraft has allowed an OPS of just .441 (46 PA’s) — 5th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .692 — 94th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 64% (23/36) against Graham Ashcraft — 3rd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 44% — 97th Percentile.
44% of Graham Ashcraft’s strikeouts are looking — 8th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 22% — 90th Percentile.
Dakota Hudson: Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dakota Hudson has a strike rate of just 58% (547/940) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 20% (100/493) against Dakota Hudson this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — first Percentile.
Dakota Hudson has a strike rate of just 59% (145/246) when he’s behind in the count this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 70% — first Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 18% (52/293) against Dakota Hudson this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — third Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Reds are just 17-4 (.810) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .926.
The Reds are just 2-122 (.016) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .083.
The Reds are just 0-32 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .099.
The Reds are just 8-22 (.267) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .479.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Cardinals are just 1-24 (.040) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .074.
The Cardinals are 18-11 (.621) at home this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The Cardinals are 46-1 (.979) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .803.
The Cardinals are 24-4 (.857) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters are slugging just .307 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .382.
Reds hitters have an OPS of just .572 (1,065 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .688.
Reds hitters have an OBP of just .265 (1,065 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .306.
The Reds are batting just .205 on the road this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .238.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters are slugging .454 against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .409.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .782 (1,733 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .728.
Cardinals hitters have 168 extra-base hits out of 395 total hits (42%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .267 (1,228 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Reds pitchers have walked 852 of 8,440 batters (10%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds pitchers have an ERA of 5.42 (259.0 IP) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.82.
Reds pitchers have walked 235 of 2,241 batters (10%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Cardinals pitchers have walked 54 of 534 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals pitchers have walked 803 of 8,308 batters (10%) since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Cardinals vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- McKenzie Dickerson (Cardinals): Calf, D10
- Jordan Hicks (Cardinals): Forearm, D15
- Steven Matz (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Jack Flaherty (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
- Lucas Sims (Reds): Lower Back, D15
- Donovan Solano (Reds): Hamstring, D60
- Connor Overton (Reds): Back, D60
- Nicholas Lodolo (Reds): Back, D10
- Max Schrock (Reds): Calf, D60
- Tyler Stephenson (Reds): Hand, D10
- Jake Fraley (Reds): Knee, D10
- Justin Wilson (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Michael Moustakas (Reds): Undisclosed, D10
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Forearm, D15
- Daniel Duarte (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Jonathan India (Reds): Hamstring, D10
- Tyler Naquin (Reds): Quad, D10
- Tejay Antone (Reds): Undisclosed, D60
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