Reds vs Cardinals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 12

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 12, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Cardinals (34-26) are -155 favorites vs the Reds (20-39)
  • Reds starting pitcher: Douglas Ashcraft (3-0), 1.141 ERA
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Dakota Hudson (4-2), 2.761 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSMW

The Cincinnati Reds (+125) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-155) on Sunday, June 12, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:15pm EDT in St. Louis.

The Cardinals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).

The Reds vs Cardinals Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Reds are 20-39 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 33-27 ATS.

Reds vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Reds+1.5 -160O 8 -110+125
Cardinals -1.5 +135U 8 -110-155

Reds vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Sunday‘s matchup with 69.5% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Cardinals vs Reds and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Joey Votto has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 14 games (+11.65 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Joey Votto has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+7.40 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Tyler Stephenson has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Matt Reynolds has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 10 away games (+4.75 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Kyle Farmer has hit the Hits Under in 4 of his last 7 games (+4.30 Units / 61% ROI)

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 14 games at home (+9.50 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 18 games at home (+8.15 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 14 games at home (+7.00 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 16 games at home (+6.00 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Harrison Bader has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 12 games (+5.25 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 31 games (+13.30 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 23 of their last 33 games (+12.30 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 33 games (+8.20 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 26 games (+7.30 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.60 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+7.40 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.60 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 55 games (+6.10 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 13 games at home (+5.00 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 29 games at home (+3.95 Units / 12% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 26-33 against the Run Line (-10.7 Units / -14.87% ROI).

  • 20-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.9 Units / -24.71% ROI
  • 31-27 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.1 Units / 1.69% ROI
  • 27-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.4 Units / -11.37% ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 33-27 against the Run Line (+4.75 Units / 6.13% ROI).

  • 34-26 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.85 Units / 5.05% ROI
  • 29-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.95 Units / -2.95% ROI
  • 28-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.85 Units / -5.82% ROI

Opponents are hitting just .156 (7-for-45) against Graham Ashcraft — 5th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .232 — 94th Percentile.

Graham Ashcraft has allowed an OPS of just .441 (46 PA’s) — 5th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .692 — 94th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 64% (23/36) against Graham Ashcraft — 3rd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 44% — 97th Percentile.

44% of Graham Ashcraft’s strikeouts are looking — 8th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 22% — 90th Percentile.

Dakota Hudson: Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Dakota Hudson has a strike rate of just 58% (547/940) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 20% (100/493) against Dakota Hudson this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — first Percentile.

Dakota Hudson has a strike rate of just 59% (145/246) when he’s behind in the count this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 70% — first Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 18% (52/293) against Dakota Hudson this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — third Percentile.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Reds are just 17-4 (.810) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .926.

The Reds are just 2-122 (.016) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .083.

The Reds are just 0-32 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .099.

The Reds are just 8-22 (.267) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .479.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Cardinals are just 1-24 (.040) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .074.

The Cardinals are 18-11 (.621) at home this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .521.

The Cardinals are 46-1 (.979) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .803.

The Cardinals are 24-4 (.857) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .796.

Reds hitters are slugging just .307 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .382.

Reds hitters have an OPS of just .572 (1,065 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .688.

Reds hitters have an OBP of just .265 (1,065 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .306.

The Reds are batting just .205 on the road this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .238.

Cardinals hitters are slugging .454 against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .409.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .782 (1,733 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .728.

Cardinals hitters have 168 extra-base hits out of 395 total hits (42%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .267 (1,228 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .243.

Reds pitchers have walked 852 of 8,440 batters (10%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Reds pitchers have an ERA of 5.42 (259.0 IP) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.82.

Reds pitchers have walked 235 of 2,241 batters (10%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Cardinals pitchers have walked 54 of 534 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Cardinals pitchers have walked 803 of 8,308 batters (10%) since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Cardinals vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
  • McKenzie Dickerson (Cardinals): Calf, D10
  • Jordan Hicks (Cardinals): Forearm, D15
  • Steven Matz (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
  • Jack Flaherty (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
  • Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
  • Lucas Sims (Reds): Lower Back, D15
  • Donovan Solano (Reds): Hamstring, D60
  • Connor Overton (Reds): Back, D60
  • Nicholas Lodolo (Reds): Back, D10
  • Max Schrock (Reds): Calf, D60
  • Tyler Stephenson (Reds): Hand, D10
  • Jake Fraley (Reds): Knee, D10
  • Justin Wilson (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Moustakas (Reds): Undisclosed, D10
  • Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Forearm, D15
  • Daniel Duarte (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Jonathan India (Reds): Hamstring, D10
  • Tyler Naquin (Reds): Quad, D10
  • Tejay Antone (Reds): Undisclosed, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.