Reds vs Cardinals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 9

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 09, 2023, 3:33 PM
  • The Cardinals are -175 favorites vs the Reds
  • Reds starting pitcher: Edward Lively
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Jordan Montgomery
  • Watch the game on BSMW

The Cincinnati Reds (+145) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-175) on Friday, June 9, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:15pm EDT in St. Louis.

The Cardinals are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).

The Reds vs Cardinals Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

This season, the Reds are 29-34 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 27-36 ATS.

Reds vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Reds+1.5 -140O 8 -105+145
Cardinals -1.5 +115U 8 -115-175

Reds vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 78.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.


Bet now on Reds vs Cardinals and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jonathan India has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 44 games (+13.55 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Spencer Steer has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 22 games (+12.75 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Jonathan India has hit the Runs Over in 21 of his last 32 games (+12.20 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Matt McLain has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+11.55 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Spencer Steer has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+11.45 Units / 72% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the RBIs Under in 29 of his last 36 games (+14.60 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Paul DeJong has hit the Runs Under in his last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 26 games (+12.00 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Tommy Edman has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 18 games (+9.70 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Nolan Gorman has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 22 games at home (+9.70 Units / 44% ROI)

Cardinals vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nolan Arenado 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
Nolan Gorman 0.5 +333 0.5 -600
Jonathan India 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Elly De La Cruz 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Willson Contreras 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100

Cardinals vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nolan Arenado 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Nolan Gorman 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Jonathan India 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Elly De La Cruz 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Willson Contreras 0.5 -210 0.5 +160

Cardinals vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nolan Arenado 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Nolan Gorman 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Jonathan India 0.5 +210 0.5 -300
Elly De La Cruz 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Willson Contreras 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 63 games (+10.20 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 62 games (+9.70 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 41 games (+8.65 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 away games (+6.30 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 56 games (+6.00 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 59 games (+14.75 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 36 of their last 59 games (+11.85 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.90 Units / 60% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games at home (+5.75 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+3.05 Units / 22% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 37-26 against the Run Line (+8.7 Units / 11.07% ROI).

  • 29-34 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.25 Units / 1.85% ROI
  • 35-28 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.75 Units / 6.91% ROI
  • 28-35 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.5 Units / -15.02% ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 27-36 against the Run Line (-13.15 Units / -16.15% ROI).

  • 26-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -22.8 Units / -27.21% ROI
  • 29-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.15 Units / -8.88% ROI
  • 32-29 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.15 Units / 0.22% ROI

Ben Lively had a strike rate of just 55% (57/104) — 2nd lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.

Ben Lively has a strike rate of just 55% (57/104) over the past seven days (1 games) — lowest in NL over the last week; League Avg: 64% — second Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 44% of Ben Lively’s pitches (199/453) this season — tied for 15th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 10th Percentile.

Ben Lively has allowed a BABIP of .200 vs left-handed batters this season — tied for 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: .294 — 97th Percentile.

Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed batters are hitting .270 (60-for-222) against Jordan Montgomery this season — 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — 15th Percentile.

Jordan Montgomery has allowed a slugging percentage of .525 (64 Total Bases / 122 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .357 — first Percentile.

48% of Jordan Montgomery’s fastball strikeouts are located inside this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 96th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .270 (33-for-122) against Jordan Montgomery’s non-fastballs this season — 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .216 — 11th Percentile.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Reds are just 24-23 (.511) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.

The Reds are 9-22 (.290) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .137.

The Reds are just 26-35 (.426) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .648.

The Reds are just 1-9 (.100) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Cardinals are just 20-4 (.833) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.

The Cardinals are 24-5 (.828) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cardinals are just 17-4 (.810) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .900.

The Cardinals are just 2-27 (.069) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .137.

Reds hitters have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 33% against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.

The Reds are batting .259 with two outs this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .237.

Reds hitters are slugging just .190 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .213.

The Reds have a winning percentage of just 38% on the road since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Cardinals hitters have a swing rate of just 41% in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .737 (2,660 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .690.

Cardinals hitters have a swing rate of just 40% in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Cardinals hitters have 305 extra-base hits out of 726 total hits (42%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .293 against Reds pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .246.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .307 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .250.

The Reds pitchers have allowed the 30th hardest ball in play hit (118.6 MPH) this season (; League Avg: 115.8).

Reds pitchers have walked 1,460 of 14,872 batters (10%) since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Cardinals pitchers have walked 2 of 95 batters (2%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (11 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Cardinals vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Lars Nootbaar (Cardinals): Back, D10
  • Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
  • Wilking Rodríguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
  • Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Back, D10
  • Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
  • Douglas Ashcraft (Reds): Calf, D15
  • William Myers (Reds): Kidney Stones, D10
  • Terry Friedl (Reds): Hamstring, D10
  • Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D60
  • Derek Law (Reds): Elbow, D15
  • Nicholas Senzel (Reds): Knee, D10
  • Connor Overton (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Jake Fraley (Reds): Wrist, Day-to-Day
  • Casey Legumina (Reds): Ankle, D15
  • Nicholas Lodolo (Reds): Calf, D60
  • Henry Ramos (Reds): Hip, D10
  • Reiver Sanmartin (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Joseph Votto (Reds): Bicep/Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.