- The Cubs are -150 favorites vs the Reds
- Reds starting pitcher: Brandon Williamson
- Cubs starting pitcher: Todd Smyly
- Watch the game on MARQ
The Cincinnati Reds (+125) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-150) on Wednesday, August 2, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Chicago.
The Cubs are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Reds vs Cubs Over/Under is 10.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Reds are 59-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 57-50 ATS.
Reds vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | +1.5 -150 | O 10.5 -105 | +125 |
| Cubs | -1.5 +125 | U 10.5 -115 | -150 |
Reds vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 61.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Reds vs Cubs and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Will Benson has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 21 away games (+12.35 Units / 59% ROI)
- Matt McLain has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 50 games (+11.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Runs Over in 29 of his last 47 games (+10.75 Units / 21% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+10.20 Units / 30% ROI)
- Will Benson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 21 away games (+9.90 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 32 games (+20.75 Units / 32% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 31 games (+19.85 Units / 44% ROI)
- Mike Tauchman has hit the Runs Over in 23 of his last 30 games (+18.15 Units / 55% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Singles Over in 25 of his last 34 games (+17.60 Units / 48% ROI)
- Mike Tauchman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 22 of his last 28 games (+15.65 Units / 46% ROI)
Cubs vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Nico Hoerner | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Miguel Amaya | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
Cubs vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +115 |
| Nico Hoerner | 1.5 +155 | 1.5 -200 |
| Miguel Amaya | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
Cubs vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Nico Hoerner | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
| Miguel Amaya | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
Cubs vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Drew Smyly | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -150 |
| Brandon Williamson | 3.5 -145 | 3.5 +110 |
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 70 of their last 108 games (+28.60 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 52 of their last 87 games (+26.40 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 52 of their last 78 games (+23.50 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 34 of their last 78 games (+15.90 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 39 away games (+13.10 Units / 28% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 42 of their last 72 games (+12.85 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 42 games (+10.65 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 45 games (+10.00 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.85 Units / 67% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.95 Units / 38% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 70-39 against the Run Line (+27.6 Units / 19.37% ROI).
- 59-50 when betting on the Moneyline for +19 Units / 16.03% ROI
- 58-51 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.15 Units / 1.79% ROI
- 51-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.45 Units / -10.39% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 57-50 against the Run Line (+3.9 Units / 2.84% ROI).
- 54-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.3 Units / -1.02% ROI
- 56-46 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.75 Units / 4.01% ROI
- 46-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.25 Units / -13.03% ROI
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brandon Williamson has walked 4 of 24 batters (17%) over the past seven days (1 games) — 2nd highest in NL over the last week; League Avg: 7% — fourth Percentile.
Brandon Williamson has allowed an OBP of .500 (24 PA’s) over the past seven days (1 games) — highest in NL over the last week; League Avg: .302 — second Percentile.
Brandon Williamson allowed an OBP of .500 (18 PA’s) against right-handed batters — tied for 2nd highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .296 — fifth Percentile.
Brandon Williamson has thrown inside pitches 43% of the time (449/1,054) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 98th Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Drew Smyly has allowed a slugging percentage of .694 (59 Total Bases / 85 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .378 — third Percentile.
24 of Drew Smyly’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
24 of Drew Smyly’s 70 breaking pitch strikeouts (34%) have been backdoor this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 13% — 97th Percentile.
Drew Smyly has thrown his curveball 42% of the time (548/1,289) in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Reds are 21-33 (.389) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .220.
The Reds are just 10-15 (.400) after a loss as favorites since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .585.
The Reds are 21-9 (.700) after a win as favorites since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .592.
The Reds are 22-5 (.815) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .687.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Cubs are just 2-7 (.222) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cubs are just 2-118 (.017) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .047.
The Cubs are just 13-13 (.500) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .615.
The Cubs are just 28-39 (.418) after a home loss since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .516.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are 24-6 (.800) against the run line (42.2% ROI) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .440.
The Reds are 68-40 (.624) against the run line (15.9% ROI) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .493.
Reds hitters are slugging .655 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .590.
The Reds are batting .373 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .349.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs are batting just .306 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .349.
Cubs hitters are averaging 4.05 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Cubs hitters are averaging 4.06 pitches per plate appearance this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Cubs hitters have an OBP of .357 (475 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .327.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Reds pitchers have won 53% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds pitchers have won 45% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .297 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .252.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.2 MPH (2,449 batted balls) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.1.
Cubs pitchers have won only 14% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Cubs have won just just 14% of the time since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Cubs have won just just 12% of the time this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Cubs vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Bradley Boxberger (Cubs): Forearm, D60
- Brandon Hughes (Cubs): Knee, D60
- Nicholas Burdi (Cubs): Appendicitis, D60
- Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
- Connor Overton (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Curtis Casali (Reds): Foot, D10
- Nicholas Lodolo (Reds): Calf, D60
- Christian Greene (Reds): Hip, D60
- Reiver Sanmartin (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Casey Legumina (Reds): Shoulder, D15
- Jonathan India (Reds): Heel, D10
Bet now on Reds vs Cubs and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
