Reds vs Cubs Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 28

Chicago Cubs' Nico Hoerner scores on a sacrifice by by Seiya Suzuki off Pittsburgh Pirates relief pitcher Dauri Moreta during the eighth inning of a baseball game in Pittsburgh, Tuesday, June 20, 2023. The Cubs won 4-0.
(AP Photo/Gene J. Puskar)
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  • The Cubs are -190 favorites vs the Reds
  • Reds vs Cubs Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Reds / Cubs TV Channel: MARQ | RDTV

The Cincinnati Reds (+155) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-190) on August 28, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20 pm in Chicago, IL.

This season, the Reds are 63-71 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 64-68 ATS.

Reds vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Reds starting pitcher: Rhett Lowder 5-8, 5.14 ERA
  • Cubs starting pitcher: David Peterson 7-7, 5.19 ERA

Reds vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Reds+1.5 -135O 8.5 +100+155
Cubs -1.5 +110U 8.5 -130-190

Reds vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Friday‘s MLB game with 60.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:

  • JJ Bleday has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+13.70 Units / 42% ROI)
  • JJ Bleday has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+13.40 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Jose Trevino has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 away games (+12.50 Units / 139% ROI)
  • JJ Bleday has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 away games (+11.60 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Tyler Stephenson has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 57% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Ian Happ has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+14.40 Units / 360% ROI)
  • Michael Conforto has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+12.40 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Ian Happ has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+11.30 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Michael Conforto has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+10.75 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.20 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.75 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+5.45 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 50 games (+4.90 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 30 away games (+2.45 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 45 games (+16.10 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+9.00 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.95 Units / 65% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 35 games (+4.85 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 games (+4.40 Units / 7% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 68-64 against the Run Line (-13.25 Units / -7.08% ROI).

  • 63-71 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.95 Units / -5.28% ROI
  • 70-62 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.6 Units / 1.08% ROI
  • 62-70 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.5 Units / -9.88% ROI

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 64-68 against the Run Line (+0.1 Units / 0.06% ROI).

  • 76-58 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.45 Units / 1.36% ROI
  • 72-60 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.8 Units / 4.61% ROI
  • 60-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.65 Units / -12.64% ROI

Cubs vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Pete Crow-Armstrong +270
Eugenio Suarez +390
Seiya Suzuki +390
Ian Happ +400
Sal Stewart +425

Cubs vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Seiya Suzuki 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Nico Hoerner 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Sal Stewart 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Alex Bregman 0.5 -235 0.5 +175

Cubs vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Matt McLain 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Tyler Stephenson 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Seiya Suzuki 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Dane Myers 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Ian Happ 0.5 -235 0.5 +175

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Reds are just 7-17 (.292) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Reds are 7-63 (.100) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

The Reds are 49-15 (.766) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Reds are just 31-16 (.660) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Cubs are 18-22 (.450) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB.

The Cubs are 28-29 (.491) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB.

The Cubs are 27-7 (.794) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Cubs are 6-52 (.103) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .202 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB.

Reds hitters have struck out in 26% of their PA’s against RHP this season — highest in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .227 this season — lowest in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .222 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB.

Cubs hitters have an OBP of .353 (1,412 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Cubs hitters have an OPS of .798 (1,412 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Cubs hitters are slugging .445 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Cubs hitters are slugging .484 on breaking pitches against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Reds pitchers have walked 10% of batters this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

The Reds pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 66% of their games at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have an ERA of 4.97 (353.1 IP) against division opponents this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have an ERA of 4.93 (569.1 IP) on the road this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .206 against Cubs pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Cubs have still managed to win 37% of the time this season — highest in MLB.

Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Cubs pitchers have picked-off 21 runners from first base this season — most in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.