Reds vs Cubs Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 30

Chicago Cubs' Dansby Swanson waves to the crowd before batting against his former team the Atlanta Braves in the second inning of a baseball game, Tuesday, Sept. 26, 2023, in Atlanta.
(AP Photo/John Bazemore)
Sportsbook Promos
  • The Cubs are -145 favorites vs the Reds
  • Reds vs Cubs Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • Reds / Cubs TV Channel: NBC | PEAC

The Cincinnati Reds (+120) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-145) on August 30, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20 pm in Chicago, IL.

This season, the Reds are 64-72 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 65-69 ATS.

Reds vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Reds starting pitcher: Chase Burns 14-3, 2.79 ERA
  • Cubs starting pitcher: Shota Imanaga 8-9, 3.78 ERA

Reds vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Reds+1.5 -180O 9 -102+120
Cubs -1.5 +145U 9 -118-145

Reds vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 57.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Sal Stewart has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 away games (+16.80 Units / 187% ROI)
  • JJ Bleday has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+13.60 Units / 42% ROI)
  • JJ Bleday has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+13.10 Units / 39% ROI)
  • JJ Bleday has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 25 away games (+12.95 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Sal Stewart has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.50 Units / 38% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Ian Happ has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+13.40 Units / 268% ROI)
  • Michael Conforto has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+12.40 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Seiya Suzuki has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+11.90 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Seiya Suzuki has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+11.80 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Michael Conforto has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+9.85 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 50 away games (+7.30 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 50 away games (+5.65 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 50 games (+3.30 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 35 away games (+2.15 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 50 games (+15.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+7.75 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+6.60 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games (+5.80 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+5.00 Units / 55% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 69-65 against the Run Line (-13.35 Units / -7.04% ROI).

  • 64-72 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.25 Units / -4.75% ROI
  • 72-62 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.6 Units / 2.4% ROI
  • 62-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.85 Units / -11.3% ROI

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 65-69 against the Run Line (+0.1 Units / 0.06% ROI).

  • 77-59 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.45 Units / 0.79% ROI
  • 74-60 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.8 Units / 5.88% ROI
  • 60-74 when betting on the total runs Under for -21 Units / -14.01% ROI

Cubs vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Sal Stewart +230
Pete Crow-Armstrong +240
Eugenio Suarez +250
Tyler Stephenson +310
Elly De La Cruz +325

Cubs vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Sal Stewart 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Dane Myers 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Nico Hoerner 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Tyler Stephenson 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Cubs vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Sal Stewart 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Pedro Ramirez 0.5 -175 0.5 +130
Alex Bregman 0.5 -175 0.5 +130
Hector Rodriguez 0.5 -175 0.5 +130
Carson Kelly 0.5 -150 0.5 +110

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Reds are 49-15 (.766) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Reds are just 7-17 (.292) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Reds are 7-64 (.099) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Reds are just 31-16 (.660) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Cubs are 18-23 (.439) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB.

The Cubs are 29-30 (.492) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB.

The Cubs are 17-39 (.304) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Cubs are 58-5 (.921) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB.

Reds hitters have struck out in 26% of their PA’s against RHP this season — highest in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .224 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB.

Reds hitters are slugging just .492 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .126 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Cubs hitters have an OBP of .355 (1,441 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Cubs hitters have an OBP of .339 (5,375 PA’s) this season — best in MLB.

Cubs hitters have an OPS of .808 (1,441 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB.

The Cubs are batting .268 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Reds pitchers have walked 10% of batters this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

The Reds pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 60% of their games this season — tied for highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have an ERA of 5.35 (370.1 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .210 against Cubs pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .219 against Cubs pitchers this season — best in MLB.

Cubs pitchers have won 38% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB.

Cubs pitchers have picked-off 21 runners this season — most in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.