- The Cubs are -120 favorites vs the Reds
- Reds starting pitcher: Andrew Abbott
- Cubs starting pitcher: Marcus Stroman
- Watch the game on MARQ
The Cincinnati Reds (+100) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-120) on Monday, July 31, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Chicago.
The Cubs are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+165).
The Reds vs Cubs Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Reds are 58-49 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 56-49 ATS.
Reds vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | +1.5 -200 | O 8 -105 | +100 |
| Cubs | -1.5 +165 | U 8 -115 | -120 |
Reds vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 55.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Reds vs Cubs and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Stolen Bases Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Joey Votto has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+11.85 Units / 35% ROI)
- Joey Votto has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+11.20 Units / 42% ROI)
- Will Benson has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 20 away games (+11.05 Units / 55% ROI)
- Matt McLain has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 48 games (+11.00 Units / 20% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 30 games (+18.75 Units / 31% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 29 games (+17.65 Units / 41% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Singles Over in 24 of his last 32 games (+17.60 Units / 51% ROI)
- Mike Tauchman has hit the Runs Over in 22 of his last 29 games (+17.15 Units / 54% ROI)
- Mike Tauchman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 21 of his last 27 games (+14.65 Units / 45% ROI)
Cubs vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Elly De La Cruz | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Joey Votto | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
Cubs vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Elly De La Cruz | 1.5 +165 | 1.5 -225 |
| Joey Votto | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +105 |
Cubs vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Elly De La Cruz | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Joey Votto | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Cubs vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Abbott | 5.5 -160 | 5.5 +120 |
| Marcus Stroman | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 +105 |
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 69 of their last 106 games (+29.00 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 51 of their last 85 games (+26.35 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 51 of their last 76 games (+23.55 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 33 of their last 76 games (+15.90 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 37 away games (+11.10 Units / 25% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 40 of their last 70 games (+10.85 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 43 games (+10.25 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 40 games (+8.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.75 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.65 Units / 60% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 69-38 against the Run Line (+28 Units / 20.13% ROI).
- 58-49 when betting on the Moneyline for +18.95 Units / 16.26% ROI
- 56-51 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.15 Units / 0.13% ROI
- 51-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.4 Units / -8.83% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 56-49 against the Run Line (+3.7 Units / 2.74% ROI).
- 53-52 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.05 Units / -0.84% ROI
- 54-46 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.75 Units / 2.37% ROI
- 46-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.2 Units / -11.48% ROI
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
starting pitcher – away
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Marcus Stroman has located his fastballs down 56% of the time (596/1,058) this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 58% (209/360) against Marcus Stroman this season — tied for 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.
Marcus Stroman allowed a batting average of .388 vs right-handed batters (third worst)– third Percentile and just .180 vs left-handed batters over the last 30 days (eighth best among qualified SPs)– 90th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 64% (123/193) against Marcus Stroman this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
keys to the game – away
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
keys to the game – home
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are 23-5 (.821) against the run line (44.5% ROI) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .442.
The Reds have a winning percentage of 57% on the road this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Reds hitters are slugging .661 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .593.
The Reds have barrels in 2% of PA’s since last season (231/9,781) — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3%.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters are slugging just .469 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .593.
Cubs hitters are averaging 4.07 pitches per plate appearance this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Cubs hitters are averaging 4.06 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Cubs hitters have been successful in 89% of their bunt for hit attempts since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Reds pitchers have won 53% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Reds pitchers since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .297 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Reds pitchers have walked 1,011 of 10,381 batters (10%) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.2 MPH (2,449 batted balls) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.1.
Cubs pitchers have won only 14% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .205 against Cubs pitchers with the shift since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .228.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .219 against Cubs pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Cubs vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Bradley Boxberger (Cubs): Forearm, D60
- Brandon Hughes (Cubs): Knee, D60
- Nicholas Burdi (Cubs): Appendicitis, D60
- Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
- Connor Overton (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Curtis Casali (Reds): Foot, D10
- Nicholas Lodolo (Reds): Calf, D60
- Christian Greene (Reds): Hip, D15
- Reiver Sanmartin (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Casey Legumina (Reds): Shoulder, D15
- Jonathan India (Reds): Heel, D10
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