- The Cubs (28-46) are -135 favorites vs the Reds (26-47)
- Reds starting pitcher: Christian Greene (3-8), 5.65 ERA
- Cubs starting pitcher: Justin Steele (2-5), 4.59 ERA
- Watch the game on MARQ
The Cincinnati Reds (+110) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-135) on Wednesday, June 29, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Chicago.
The Cubs are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Reds vs Cubs Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Reds are 26-47 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 36-38 ATS.
Reds vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | +1.5 -190 | O 7.5 -105 | +110 |
| Cubs | -1.5 +155 | U 7.5 -115 | -135 |
Reds vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 56.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Brandon Drury has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+10.25 Units / 63% ROI)
- Brandon Drury has hit the Runs Over in his last 8 away games (+9.20 Units / 107% ROI)
- Brandon Drury has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.10 Units / 27% ROI)
- Joey Votto has hit the RBIs Under in 11 of his last 12 away games (+8.60 Units / 37% ROI)
- Joey Votto has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 11 away games (+6.20 Units / 35% ROI)
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Willson Contreras has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.85 Units / 50% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+8.20 Units / 26% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+6.90 Units / 16% ROI)
- Willson Contreras has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+6.85 Units / 36% ROI)
- Nico Hoerner has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 games (+6.80 Units / 48% ROI)
Cubs vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alfonso Rivas | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| David Bote | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Ian Happ | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Jason Heyward | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
Cubs vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alfonso Rivas | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -115 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +135 |
| David Bote | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +110 |
| Ian Happ | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +110 |
| Jason Heyward | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +100 |
Cubs vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alfonso Rivas | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -450 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| David Bote | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
| Ian Happ | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jason Heyward | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
Cubs vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Justin Steele | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -145 |
| Hunter Greene | 6.5 +100 | 6.5 -145 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Reds Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 45 games (+15.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 21 away games (+8.00 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 13 of their last 19 away games (+7.90 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 away games (+7.05 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 57 games (+6.30 Units / 10% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Cubs: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 43 of their last 73 games (+12.95 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 47 games (+5.85 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 37 games (+3.50 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games (+1.00 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 6 games (+0.15 Units / 2% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 33-40 against the Run Line (-12.05 Units / -13.21% ROI).
- 26-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.95 Units / -20.32% ROI
- 40-32 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.6 Units / 5.73% ROI
- 32-40 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.5 Units / -15.49% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 36-38 against the Run Line (-9.1 Units / -9.42% ROI).
- 28-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.95 Units / -19.38% ROI
- 36-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.45 Units / -4.22% ROI
- 36-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.45 Units / -4.25% ROI
Christian Greene: Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hunter Greene has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.000 (50 Total Bases / 50 ABs) on inside fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 35 total IP; League Avg: .421 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .519 (14-for-27) against Hunter Greene on low fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 35 total IP; League Avg: .276 — first Percentile.
Hunter Greene has allowed a slugging percentage of .882 (105 Total Bases / 119 ABs) in non-two strike counts this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 35 total IP; League Avg: .544 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .440 (22-for-50) against Hunter Greene on inside fastballs this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 35 total IP; League Avg: .262 — second Percentile.
Justin Steele: Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Justin Steele had a strike rate of 78% (78/100) — highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 51% (36/70) against Justin Steele on elevated fastballs since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 116 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 99th Percentile.
Justin Steele has thrown fastballs 72% of the time (587/813) in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 35 total IP; League Avg: 50% — 99th Percentile.
Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 45% of the time (129/286) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 35 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 99th Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Reds are just 0-40 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .077.
The Reds are just 8-37 (.178) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.
The Reds are just 4-15 (.211) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .323.
The Reds are just 6-20 (.231) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .280.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Cubs are just 8-35 (.186) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.
The Cubs are just 3-22 (.120) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .283.
The Cubs are just 3-26 (.103) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .280.
The Cubs are just 13-26 (.333) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .513.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters are slugging just .329 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .389.
Reds hitters have an OPS of just .611 (1,377 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .697.
Reds hitters have an OBP of .326 (6,517 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Reds hitters have an OBP of .344 (4,379 PA’s) at home since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .321.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters have grounded into 38 double plays in 274 opportunities (14%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Cubs hitters are slugging just .179 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .352.
Cubs hitters have 581 strikeouts in 2,349 PA’s (25%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Cubs are batting just .154 with two-strikes since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .167.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Reds pitchers have an ERA of 5.75 (313.0 IP) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Reds pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 35 double plays in 573 opportunities (6%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
The Reds have allowed 1.85 runs per game (135/73) in late innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 1.29.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
The Cubs have won just 8% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 31% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Cubs pitchers have walked 845 of 9,047 batters (9%) since the start of last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Cubs vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Nicklaus Madrigal (Cubs): Groin, D10
- Todd Smyly (Cubs): Oblique, D15
- Wade Miley (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
- Frank J. Schwindel (Cubs): Back, D10
- Manuel Rodríguez (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Bradley Wieck (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Michael Hermosillo (Cubs): COVID, D10
- Seiya Suzuki (Cubs): Finger, D10
- Adbert Alzolay (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
- Marcus Stroman (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
- Daniel Norris (Cubs): Finger, D15
- Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D15
- Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
- Lucas Sims (Reds): Back, D60
- Aristides Aquino (Reds): Calf, D10
- Thomas Pham (Reds): Lower Back, Day-to-Day
- Connor Overton (Reds): Back, D60
- Nicholas Lodolo (Reds): Back, D60
- Tyler Stephenson (Reds): Hand, D10
- Jake Fraley (Reds): Knee, D60
- Alexis Díaz (Reds): Bicep, D15
- Jeffrey Hoffman (Reds): Undisclosed, D15
- Justin Wilson (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Forearm, D15
- Daniel Duarte (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Tyler Naquin (Reds): Quad, D10
- Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
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