Reds vs Cubs Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 29

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 29, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Cubs (28-46) are -135 favorites vs the Reds (26-47)
  • Reds starting pitcher: Christian Greene (3-8), 5.65 ERA
  • Cubs starting pitcher: Justin Steele (2-5), 4.59 ERA
  • Watch the game on MARQ

The Cincinnati Reds (+110) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-135) on Wednesday, June 29, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Chicago.

The Cubs are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).

The Reds vs Cubs Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Reds are 26-47 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 36-38 ATS.

Reds vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Reds+1.5 -190O 7.5 -105+110
Cubs -1.5 +155U 7.5 -115-135

Reds vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 56.5% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Cubs vs Reds and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Brandon Drury has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+10.25 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Brandon Drury has hit the Runs Over in his last 8 away games (+9.20 Units / 107% ROI)
  • Brandon Drury has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.10 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Joey Votto has hit the RBIs Under in 11 of his last 12 away games (+8.60 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Joey Votto has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 11 away games (+6.20 Units / 35% ROI)

Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Willson Contreras has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.85 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Ian Happ has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+8.20 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Ian Happ has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+6.90 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Willson Contreras has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+6.85 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Nico Hoerner has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 games (+6.80 Units / 48% ROI)

Cubs vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alfonso Rivas 0.5 +900 0.5 -10000
Christopher Morel 0.5 +350 0.5 -650
David Bote 0.5 +450 0.5 -1000
Ian Happ 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Jason Heyward 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400

Cubs vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alfonso Rivas 0.5 -120 0.5 -115
Christopher Morel 0.5 -190 0.5 +135
David Bote 0.5 -155 0.5 +110
Ian Happ 0.5 -155 0.5 +110
Jason Heyward 0.5 -145 0.5 +100

Cubs vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alfonso Rivas 0.5 +280 0.5 -450
Christopher Morel 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
David Bote 0.5 +180 0.5 -275
Ian Happ 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
Jason Heyward 0.5 +210 0.5 -300

Cubs vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Justin Steele 4.5 +100 4.5 -145
Hunter Greene 6.5 +100 6.5 -145
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 45 games (+15.05 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 21 away games (+8.00 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 13 of their last 19 away games (+7.90 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 away games (+7.05 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 57 games (+6.30 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 43 of their last 73 games (+12.95 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 47 games (+5.85 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 37 games (+3.50 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games (+1.00 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 6 games (+0.15 Units / 2% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 33-40 against the Run Line (-12.05 Units / -13.21% ROI).

  • 26-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.95 Units / -20.32% ROI
  • 40-32 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.6 Units / 5.73% ROI
  • 32-40 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.5 Units / -15.49% ROI

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 36-38 against the Run Line (-9.1 Units / -9.42% ROI).

  • 28-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.95 Units / -19.38% ROI
  • 36-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.45 Units / -4.22% ROI
  • 36-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.45 Units / -4.25% ROI

Hunter Greene has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.000 (50 Total Bases / 50 ABs) on inside fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 35 total IP; League Avg: .421 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .519 (14-for-27) against Hunter Greene on low fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 35 total IP; League Avg: .276 — first Percentile.

Hunter Greene has allowed a slugging percentage of .882 (105 Total Bases / 119 ABs) in non-two strike counts this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 35 total IP; League Avg: .544 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .440 (22-for-50) against Hunter Greene on inside fastballs this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 35 total IP; League Avg: .262 — second Percentile.

Justin Steele: Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Justin Steele had a strike rate of 78% (78/100) — highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 51% (36/70) against Justin Steele on elevated fastballs since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 116 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 99th Percentile.

Justin Steele has thrown fastballs 72% of the time (587/813) in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 35 total IP; League Avg: 50% — 99th Percentile.

Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 45% of the time (129/286) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 35 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 99th Percentile.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Reds are just 0-40 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .077.

The Reds are just 8-37 (.178) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.

The Reds are just 4-15 (.211) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .323.

The Reds are just 6-20 (.231) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .280.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Cubs are just 8-35 (.186) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.

The Cubs are just 3-22 (.120) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .283.

The Cubs are just 3-26 (.103) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .280.

The Cubs are just 13-26 (.333) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .513.

Reds hitters are slugging just .329 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .389.

Reds hitters have an OPS of just .611 (1,377 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .697.

Reds hitters have an OBP of .326 (6,517 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .314.

Reds hitters have an OBP of .344 (4,379 PA’s) at home since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .321.

Cubs hitters have grounded into 38 double plays in 274 opportunities (14%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Cubs hitters are slugging just .179 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .352.

Cubs hitters have 581 strikeouts in 2,349 PA’s (25%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Cubs are batting just .154 with two-strikes since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .167.

Reds pitchers have an ERA of 5.75 (313.0 IP) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.

Reds pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 35 double plays in 573 opportunities (6%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

The Reds have allowed 1.85 runs per game (135/73) in late innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 1.29.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Cubs have won just 8% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.

The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Cubs pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 31% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Cubs pitchers have walked 845 of 9,047 batters (9%) since the start of last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Cubs vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Nicklaus Madrigal (Cubs): Groin, D10
  • Todd Smyly (Cubs): Oblique, D15
  • Wade Miley (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Frank J. Schwindel (Cubs): Back, D10
  • Manuel Rodríguez (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Bradley Wieck (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Hermosillo (Cubs): COVID, D10
  • Seiya Suzuki (Cubs): Finger, D10
  • Adbert Alzolay (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Marcus Stroman (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Daniel Norris (Cubs): Finger, D15
  • Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D15
  • Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
  • Lucas Sims (Reds): Back, D60
  • Aristides Aquino (Reds): Calf, D10
  • Thomas Pham (Reds): Lower Back, Day-to-Day
  • Connor Overton (Reds): Back, D60
  • Nicholas Lodolo (Reds): Back, D60
  • Tyler Stephenson (Reds): Hand, D10
  • Jake Fraley (Reds): Knee, D60
  • Alexis Díaz (Reds): Bicep, D15
  • Jeffrey Hoffman (Reds): Undisclosed, D15
  • Justin Wilson (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Forearm, D15
  • Daniel Duarte (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Tyler Naquin (Reds): Quad, D10
  • Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.