- The Cubs are -175 favorites vs the Reds
- Reds starting pitcher: Brandon Williamson
- Cubs starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon
- Watch the game on FOX
The Cincinnati Reds (+145) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-175) on Saturday, May 27, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Chicago.
The Cubs are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Reds vs Cubs Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Reds are 22-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 27-23 ATS.
Reds vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | +1.5 -135 | O 8.5 -105 | +145 |
| Cubs | -1.5 +110 | U 8.5 -115 | -175 |
Reds vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 77.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Reds vs Cubs and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jonathan India has hit the Runs Over in 32 of his last 50 games (+19.20 Units / 37% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 33 of his last 50 games (+13.95 Units / 24% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+10.55 Units / 53% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 43 games (+9.20 Units / 11% ROI)
- Wil Myers has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 away games (+9.00 Units / 46% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ian Happ has hit the Runs Under in 35 of his last 43 games (+18.80 Units / 23% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 16 games (+14.80 Units / 69% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.25 Units / 57% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 28 of his last 41 games (+11.00 Units / 19% ROI)
Cubs vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
Cubs vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +115 |
Cubs vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Cubs vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jameson Taillon | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -105 |
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 51 games (+8.65 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 50 games (+5.90 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 17 away games (+4.55 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 44 games (+4.50 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 29 games (+4.30 Units / 14% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 15 games (+10.70 Units / 65% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 46 games (+6.45 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games at home (+6.15 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 23 games at home (+4.00 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 26 games at home (+3.40 Units / 11% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 29-22 against the Run Line (+4.9 Units / 7.64% ROI).
- 22-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.1 Units / -5.65% ROI
- 28-23 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.25 Units / 5.88% ROI
- 23-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.05 Units / -14.15% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 27-23 against the Run Line (+3.8 Units / 6.07% ROI).
- 22-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.2 Units / -12.09% ROI
- 27-22 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.6 Units / 4.72% ROI
- 22-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.85 Units / -14.27% ROI
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brandon Williamson has limited playing time.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 18% (12/65) against Jameson Taillon with runners in scoring position this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 19 total IP; League Avg: 31% — third Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has an ERA of 8.10 (26.2 IP)this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 19 total IP; League Avg: 4.35 — third Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has allowed an OBP of just .255 (184 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since last season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: .319 — 95th Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has walked 11 of 473 right-handed batters (2%) since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Reds are just 21-23 (.477) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .700.
The Reds are 7-19 (.269) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .136.
The Reds are just 18-44 (.290) after a road loss since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .451.
The Reds are just 14-43 (.246) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .351.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Cubs are just 26-13 (.667) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .802.
The Cubs are just 14-25 (.359) after a loss as favorites since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .594.
The Cubs are just 1-94 (.011) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .047.
The Cubs are just 13-21 (.382) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds have scored first in just 30% of their road games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
The Reds are batting just .315 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Reds hitters have an OPS of just .649 (3,892 PA’s) on the road since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .701.
Reds hitters have a swing rate of just 26% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs are batting just .280 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .352.
Cubs hitters have 4 strikeouts in 8 PA’s (50%) against LHP over the past seven days (2 games) — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Cubs hitters are averaging 4.10 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Cubs hitters are averaging 4.11 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .309 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .303 against Reds pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Reds pitchers have walked 796 of 8,198 batters (10%) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .340 against Reds pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have an ERA of 7.11 (101.1 IP) over the last 14 days (12 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.33.
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Cubs have won just just 14% of the time since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cubs pitchers have won only 10% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Cubs vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Bradley Boxberger (Cubs): Forearm, D15
- Adrian Sampson (Cubs): Right Meniscus, D60
- Cody Bellinger (Cubs): Knee, D10
- Nicholas Burdi (Cubs): Appendicitis, D15
- Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
- William Myers (Reds): Kidney Stones, D10
- Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D60
- Derek Law (Reds): Elbow, D15
- Connor Overton (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Casey Legumina (Reds): Ankle, D15
- Nicholas Lodolo (Reds): Calf, D15
- Henry Ramos (Reds): Hip, D10
- Reiver Sanmartin (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Joseph Votto (Reds): Bicep/Shoulder, D60
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