• The Cubs are -190 favorites vs the Reds
• Reds vs Cubs Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Reds / Cubs TV Channel: MARQ | RDTV

The Cincinnati Reds (+155) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-190) on May 7, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20 pm in Chicago, IL.

This season, the Reds are 20-17 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 17-20 ATS.

Reds vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:

• Reds starting pitcher: Rhett Lowder 3-2, 5.05 ERA
• Cubs starting pitcher: Shota Imanaga 3-2, 2.40 ERA

Reds vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Reds vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 63.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Reds vs Cubs and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:

• Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 away games (+15.00 Units / 300% ROI)
• Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.90 Units / 43% ROI)
• Will Benson has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+13.35 Units / 28% ROI)
• Spencer Steer has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 20 away games (+12.90 Units / 44% ROI)
• Spencer Steer has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 away games (+12.20 Units / 39% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Michael Busch has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games at home (+15.00 Units / 188% ROI)
• Ian Happ has hit the Walks Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+13.25 Units / 62% ROI)
• Ian Happ has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+12.50 Units / 45% ROI)
• Seiya Suzuki has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+12.10 Units / 39% ROI)
• Carson Kelly has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+11.45 Units / 56% ROI)

Reds Best Bets Today:

• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.15 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.25 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 50 games (+5.70 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 50 games (+3.05 Units / 5% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 45 games (+2.95 Units / 6% ROI)

Cubs Best Bets Today:

• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 21 games (+15.75 Units / 57% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 40 games (+13.15 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 45 games at home (+12.05 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games (+10.20 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+9.65 Units / 12% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 23-13 against the Run Line (+5.6 Units / 10.04% ROI).

• 20-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.3 Units / 7.98% ROI
• 22-14 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.6 Units / 16.18% ROI
• 14-22 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.1 Units / -24.88% ROI

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 17-20 against the Run Line (-2.55 Units / -5.85% ROI).

• 25-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.4 Units / 18.18% ROI
• 23-13 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.95 Units / 21.91% ROI
• 13-23 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.15 Units / -29.85% ROI

Cubs vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today

Cubs vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Cubs vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Reds are 3-15 (.167) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .054.

The Reds are 4-11 (.267) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .142.

The Reds are just 10-63 (.137) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.

The Reds are just 14-29 (.326) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Cubs are 4-11 (.267) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .109.

The Cubs are 6-0 (1.000) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .625.

The Cubs are 25-12 (.676) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cubs are 13-3 (.812) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Reds (23rd in runs scored).

Reds Hitting Stats & Trends

The Reds are batting just .190 with two outs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Reds hitters have an OBP of just .283 (609 PA’s) with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .200 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .198 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends

Cubs hitters have an OBP of .378 (474 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Cubs hitters have an OPS of .824 (474 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Cubs hitters have an OBP of .407 (328 PA’s) when leading off an inning this season — best in MLB.

Cubs hitters have an OBP of .367 (727 PA’s) with bases empty this season — best in MLB.

Reds Pitching Stats & Trends

Reds pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of just 56% this season — lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Reds pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have a strike rate of just 61% this season — lowest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have walked 12% of batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends

Cubs pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .196 against Cubs pitchers with runners on base this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Cubs pitchers have an ERA of 3.04 (204.0 IP) at home this season — 4th best in MLB.

Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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