- The Cubs (72-86) are -190 favorites vs the Reds (60-98)
- Reds starting pitcher: Robert Anderson (2-3), 4.69 ERA
- Cubs starting pitcher: Marcus Stroman (5-7), 3.66 ERA
- Watch the game on MARQ
The Cincinnati Reds (+155) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-190) on Sunday, October 2, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20pm EDT in Chicago.
The Cubs are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).
The Reds vs Cubs Over/Under is 6.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Reds are 60-98 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 79-79 ATS.
Reds vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | +1.5 -140 | O 6.5 +100 | +155 |
| Cubs | -1.5 +115 | U 6.5 -120 | -190 |
Reds vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Sunday‘s matchup with 58.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Tyler Stephenson has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+10.65 Units / 25% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 11 away games (+10.45 Units / 70% ROI)
- Joey Votto has hit the Runs Under in 30 of his last 41 away games (+10.30 Units / 14% ROI)
- Mike Minor has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+10.25 Units / 75% ROI)
- Joey Votto has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+10.10 Units / 110% ROI)
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Rafael Ortega has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 22 games at home (+17.05 Units / 67% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Total Bases Over in 35 of his last 55 games at home (+12.80 Units / 17% ROI)
- Rafael Ortega has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 22 games at home (+11.80 Units / 32% ROI)
- Rafael Ortega has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 23 games at home (+11.10 Units / 33% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+9.15 Units / 30% ROI)
Cubs vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Albert Pujols | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Brendan Donovan | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Corey Dickerson | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Lars Nootbaar | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
Cubs vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Albert Pujols | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +120 |
| Brendan Donovan | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +125 |
| Corey Dickerson | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +135 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 -105 |
| Lars Nootbaar | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +115 |
Cubs vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Albert Pujols | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Brendan Donovan | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -375 |
| Corey Dickerson | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
| Lars Nootbaar | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
Cubs vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Wainwright | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -140 |
| Roansy Contreras | 3.5 -175 | 3.5 +120 |
| Roansy Contreras | 4.5 +130 | 4.5 -185 |
| Marcus Stroman | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 -110 |
| Chase Anderson | 3.5 -175 | 3.5 +120 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Reds Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 72 of their last 130 games (+14.90 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 39 of their last 66 games (+13.70 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 20 games (+12.26 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 34 of their last 61 away games (+6.70 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.85 Units / 40% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Cubs: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 46 of their last 81 games (+19.90 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 48 of their last 81 games (+17.20 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 63 of their last 104 games (+16.95 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 18 games (+16.50 Units / 82% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 22 games (+8.70 Units / 36% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 74-84 against the Run Line (-18.7 Units / -9.51% ROI).
- 60-98 when betting on the Moneyline for -22.2 Units / -13.14% ROI
- 74-79 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.7 Units / -7.84% ROI
- 79-74 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.8 Units / -1.61% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 79-79 against the Run Line (-11.85 Units / -5.87% ROI).
- 72-86 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.4 Units / -2.46% ROI
- 63-82 when betting on the total runs Over for -27.2 Units / -15.62% ROI
- 82-63 when betting on the total runs Under for +13.05 Units / 7.5% ROI
Robert Anderson: Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opposing hitters have no hits in their last 26 ABs ending on a two-strike changeup from Chase Anderson. — Bryan Baker has the longest active streak at 28.
Chase Anderson has not allowed a home run in any of the last 18.0 innings he’s appeared — George Kirby has the longest active streak at 73.1.
Chase Anderson has not allowed a HR in any of his last three starts dating back to September 15th — George Kirby has the longest active streak at 14.
Chase Anderson has not allowed a hit in the first inning in any of his last three games dating back to September 15th — Nick Lodolo has the longest active streak at 8.
Marcus Stroman: Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Marcus Stroman has not allowed a hit in the first inning in any of his last four games dating back to September 10th — Nick Lodolo has the longest active streak at 8.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .167 (33 GB hits out of 198 GBs) against Marcus Stroman this season — tied for 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: .233 — 98th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 55% (254/461) against Marcus Stroman since the start of last season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 159 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 95th Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has an ERA of 2.06 (74.1 IP) on the road this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 3.99 — 97th Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Reds are just 8-30 (.211) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .337.
The Reds are 11-7 (.611) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 11-74 (.129) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.
The Reds are just 22-81 (.214) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Cubs are just 9-41 (.180) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.
The Cubs are just 19-106 (.152) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
The Cubs are 144-8 (.947) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Cubs are just 13-43 (.232) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .293.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .295 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.
Reds hitters are slugging just .222 on the first pitch of at-bats over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .564.
The Reds have a winning percentage of just 40% at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Reds hitters are slugging just .478 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .560.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters have grounded into 52 double plays in 381 opportunities (14%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Cubs hitters are slugging just .178 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .347.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of just .420 (102 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .647.
The Cubs are batting .369 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .336.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Reds pitchers have walked 1,210 of 12,263 batters (10%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Reds pitchers have walked 593 of 6,064 batters (10%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Reds pitchers have walked 1,423 of 14,388 batters (10%) since the start of 2020 — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Reds pitchers have won only 13% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have walked 1,124 of 12,223 batters (9%) since the start of last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 19%.
Cubs pitchers have won only 18% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 41% of their games this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Cubs vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kyle Hendricks (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
- Nicklaus Madrigal (Cubs): Groin, D10
- Bradley Wieck (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Steven Brault (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
- Rafael Ortega (Cubs): Finger, D60
- Justin Steele (Cubs): Undisclosed, D15
- Alec Mills (Cubs): Back, D60
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
- Jason Heyward (Cubs): Knee, D60
- Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D60
- Lucas Sims (Reds): Back, D60
- Robert Dugger (Reds): Shoulder, D15
- Jeffrey Hoffman (Reds): Forearm, D60
- Aramis Garcia (Reds): Finger, D60
- Tyler Stephenson (Reds): Clavicle, D60
- Nicholas Senzel (Reds): Toe, D60
- Arthur Warren (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Justin Wilson (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Forearm, D60
- Michael Minor (Reds): Shoulder, D15
- Joseph Votto (Reds): Rotator Cuff, D60
- Michael Moustakas (Reds): Calf, D60
- Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D15
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