Reds vs Cubs Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Oct 2

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 02, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Cubs (72-86) are -190 favorites vs the Reds (60-98)
  • Reds starting pitcher: Robert Anderson (2-3), 4.69 ERA
  • Cubs starting pitcher: Marcus Stroman (5-7), 3.66 ERA
  • Watch the game on MARQ

The Cincinnati Reds (+155) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-190) on Sunday, October 2, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20pm EDT in Chicago.

The Cubs are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).

The Reds vs Cubs Over/Under is 6.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Reds are 60-98 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 79-79 ATS.

Reds vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Reds+1.5 -140O 6.5 +100+155
Cubs -1.5 +115U 6.5 -120-190

Reds vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Sunday‘s matchup with 58.8% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Cubs vs Reds and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Tyler Stephenson has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+10.65 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Jonathan India has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 11 away games (+10.45 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Joey Votto has hit the Runs Under in 30 of his last 41 away games (+10.30 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Mike Minor has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+10.25 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Joey Votto has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+10.10 Units / 110% ROI)

Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Rafael Ortega has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 22 games at home (+17.05 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Ian Happ has hit the Total Bases Over in 35 of his last 55 games at home (+12.80 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Rafael Ortega has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 22 games at home (+11.80 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Rafael Ortega has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 23 games at home (+11.10 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Christopher Morel has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+9.15 Units / 30% ROI)

Cubs vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Albert Pujols 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
Brendan Donovan 0.5 +950 0.5 -10000
Corey Dickerson 0.5 +875 0.5 -5000
Dylan Carlson 0.5 +750 0.5 -3000
Lars Nootbaar 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400

Cubs vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Albert Pujols 0.5 -165 0.5 +120
Brendan Donovan 0.5 -185 0.5 +125
Corey Dickerson 0.5 -190 0.5 +135
Dylan Carlson 0.5 -140 0.5 -105
Lars Nootbaar 0.5 -165 0.5 +115

Cubs vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Albert Pujols 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
Brendan Donovan 0.5 +250 0.5 -375
Corey Dickerson 0.5 +240 0.5 -350
Dylan Carlson 0.5 +240 0.5 -375
Lars Nootbaar 0.5 +190 0.5 -275

Cubs vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adam Wainwright 4.5 +100 4.5 -140
Roansy Contreras 3.5 -175 3.5 +120
Roansy Contreras 4.5 +130 4.5 -185
Marcus Stroman 4.5 -130 4.5 -110
Chase Anderson 3.5 -175 3.5 +120
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 72 of their last 130 games (+14.90 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 39 of their last 66 games (+13.70 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 20 games (+12.26 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 34 of their last 61 away games (+6.70 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.85 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 46 of their last 81 games (+19.90 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 48 of their last 81 games (+17.20 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 63 of their last 104 games (+16.95 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 18 games (+16.50 Units / 82% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 22 games (+8.70 Units / 36% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 74-84 against the Run Line (-18.7 Units / -9.51% ROI).

  • 60-98 when betting on the Moneyline for -22.2 Units / -13.14% ROI
  • 74-79 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.7 Units / -7.84% ROI
  • 79-74 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.8 Units / -1.61% ROI

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 79-79 against the Run Line (-11.85 Units / -5.87% ROI).

  • 72-86 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.4 Units / -2.46% ROI
  • 63-82 when betting on the total runs Over for -27.2 Units / -15.62% ROI
  • 82-63 when betting on the total runs Under for +13.05 Units / 7.5% ROI

Opposing hitters have no hits in their last 26 ABs ending on a two-strike changeup from Chase Anderson. — Bryan Baker has the longest active streak at 28.

Chase Anderson has not allowed a home run in any of the last 18.0 innings he’s appeared — George Kirby has the longest active streak at 73.1.

Chase Anderson has not allowed a HR in any of his last three starts dating back to September 15th — George Kirby has the longest active streak at 14.

Chase Anderson has not allowed a hit in the first inning in any of his last three games dating back to September 15th — Nick Lodolo has the longest active streak at 8.

Marcus Stroman: Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Marcus Stroman has not allowed a hit in the first inning in any of his last four games dating back to September 10th — Nick Lodolo has the longest active streak at 8.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .167 (33 GB hits out of 198 GBs) against Marcus Stroman this season — tied for 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: .233 — 98th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 55% (254/461) against Marcus Stroman since the start of last season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 159 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 95th Percentile.

Marcus Stroman has an ERA of 2.06 (74.1 IP) on the road this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 3.99 — 97th Percentile.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Reds are just 8-30 (.211) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .337.

The Reds are 11-7 (.611) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Reds are just 11-74 (.129) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.

The Reds are just 22-81 (.214) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Cubs are just 9-41 (.180) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.

The Cubs are just 19-106 (.152) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.

The Cubs are 144-8 (.947) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .915.

The Cubs are just 13-43 (.232) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .293.

The Reds are batting just .295 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.

Reds hitters are slugging just .222 on the first pitch of at-bats over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .564.

The Reds have a winning percentage of just 40% at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

Reds hitters are slugging just .478 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .560.

Cubs hitters have grounded into 52 double plays in 381 opportunities (14%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Cubs hitters are slugging just .178 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .347.

Cubs hitters have an OPS of just .420 (102 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .647.

The Cubs are batting .369 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .336.

Reds pitchers have walked 1,210 of 12,263 batters (10%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Reds pitchers have walked 593 of 6,064 batters (10%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Reds pitchers have walked 1,423 of 14,388 batters (10%) since the start of 2020 — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Reds pitchers have won only 13% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Cubs pitchers have walked 1,124 of 12,223 batters (9%) since the start of last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 19%.

Cubs pitchers have won only 18% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 41% of their games this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Cubs vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Kyle Hendricks (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Nicklaus Madrigal (Cubs): Groin, D10
  • Bradley Wieck (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Steven Brault (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Rafael Ortega (Cubs): Finger, D60
  • Justin Steele (Cubs): Undisclosed, D15
  • Alec Mills (Cubs): Back, D60
  • Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Jason Heyward (Cubs): Knee, D60
  • Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D60
  • Lucas Sims (Reds): Back, D60
  • Robert Dugger (Reds): Shoulder, D15
  • Jeffrey Hoffman (Reds): Forearm, D60
  • Aramis Garcia (Reds): Finger, D60
  • Tyler Stephenson (Reds): Clavicle, D60
  • Nicholas Senzel (Reds): Toe, D60
  • Arthur Warren (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Justin Wilson (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Forearm, D60
  • Michael Minor (Reds): Shoulder, D15
  • Joseph Votto (Reds): Rotator Cuff, D60
  • Michael Moustakas (Reds): Calf, D60
  • Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.