Reds vs Cubs Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 6

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 06, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Cubs (56-78) are -165 favorites vs the Reds (53-79)
  • Reds starting pitcher: Justin Dunn (1-2), 4.62 ERA
  • Cubs starting pitcher: Wade Miley (1-0), 2.84 ERA
  • Watch the game on MARQ

The Cincinnati Reds (+135) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-165) on Tuesday, September 6, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Chicago.

The Cubs are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).

The Reds vs Cubs Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Reds are 51-79 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 66-66 ATS.

Reds vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Reds+1.5 -150O 8 -115+135
Cubs -1.5 +125U 8 -105-165

Reds vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Cubs vs Reds and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jonathan India has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 17 games (+13.85 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Donovan Solano has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+11.40 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Tyler Stephenson has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+10.65 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Joey Votto has hit the Runs Under in 30 of his last 41 away games (+10.30 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Joey Votto has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+10.10 Units / 110% ROI)

Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Rafael Ortega has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 29 games (+19.00 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Rafael Ortega has hit the Runs Under in 25 of his last 30 games (+17.50 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Rafael Ortega has hit the Total Bases Under in 23 of his last 29 games (+16.25 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Ian Happ has hit the Hits Over in 57 of his last 79 games (+14.50 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Nico Hoerner has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 18 games (+13.15 Units / 44% ROI)

Cubs vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alfonso Rivas 0.5 +850 0.5 -5000
Christopher Morel 0.5 +625 0.5 -2000
Franmil Reyes 0.5 +400 0.5 -700
Ian Happ 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Nick Madrigal 0.5 +1150 0.5

Cubs vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alfonso Rivas 0.5 -140 0.5 -105
Christopher Morel 0.5 -115 0.5 -115
Franmil Reyes 0.5 -165 0.5 +120
Ian Happ 0.5 -190 0.5 +130
Nick Madrigal 1.5 +190 1.5 -275

Cubs vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alfonso Rivas 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
Christopher Morel 0.5 +225 0.5 -350
Franmil Reyes 0.5 +150 0.5 -225
Ian Happ 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
Nick Madrigal 0.5 +225 0.5 -350

Cubs vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Justin Dunn 4.5 +120 4.5 -165
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 60 of their last 104 games (+17.00 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 25 of their last 45 away games (+4.45 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.45 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 35 of their last 57 games (+15.05 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 20 games (+8.25 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 2 of their last 5 games (+1.00 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 20 games (+0.70 Units / 3% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 60-69 against the Run Line (-14.05 Units / -8.91% ROI).

  • 51-79 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.85 Units / -10.67% ROI
  • 65-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.05 Units / -3.52% ROI
  • 63-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.8 Units / -6.15% ROI

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 66-66 against the Run Line (-10.9 Units / -6.43% ROI).

  • 55-77 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.15 Units / -12.15% ROI
  • 56-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.95 Units / -10.41% ROI
  • 65-56 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.65 Units / 2.52% ROI

Justin Dunn has allowed at least one HR in each of his last five games dating back to August 8th — Josiah Gray has the longest active streak at 11.

Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 24% (6/25) against Justin Dunn — 10th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 39% — 93rd Percentile.

Justin Dunn has had second base stolen on him 24 times since the start of 2020 — tied for 12th most in MLB — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 20% (3/15) against Justin Dunn against right-handed batters — tied for 4th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 39% — 97th Percentile.

Wade Miley: Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Wade Miley has located his fastball inside 59% of the time (306/517) since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 147 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.

Wade Miley has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 82.6 MPH with runners in scoring position since the start of last season (114 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 146 total IP; League Avg: 88.0

Wade Miley has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 84.1 MPH on pitches away since the start of last season (235 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 146 total IP; League Avg: 87.8

Wade Miley has thrown inside pitches 43% of the time (918/2,118) in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 147 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 99th Percentile.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Reds are just 40-7 (.851) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .916.

The Reds are 11-7 (.611) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Reds are just 4-63 (.060) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .114.

The Reds are just 11-60 (.155) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .199.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Cubs are just 28-40 (.412) on the road this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .472.

The Cubs are just 10-13 (.435) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cubs are just 43-5 (.896) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .916.

The Cubs are just 28-108 (.206) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.

The Reds are batting just .242 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .262.

Reds hitters are slugging just .344 on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .389.

The Reds have a winning percentage of just 40% this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Reds hitters have an OBP of .322 (8,051 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .313.

Cubs hitters are slugging just .167 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .350.

Cubs hitters have grounded into 50 double plays in 357 opportunities (14%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

The Cubs have won just 59% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.

Cubs hitters have 729 strikeouts in 2,941 PA’s (25%) against LHP since the start of last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Reds pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 74 double plays in 1,020 opportunities (7%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .284 against Reds pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .238.

Reds pitchers have walked 8 of 49 batters (16%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (5 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Reds pitchers have walked 1,108 of 11,290 batters (10%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% over the last 14 days (13 games) — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Cubs pitchers have won only 20% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since the start of last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Cubs pitchers have walked 1,050 of 11,350 batters (9%) since the start of last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 32% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (13 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 41%.

Cubs vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Wade Miley (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Kyle Hendricks (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Bradley Wieck (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Steven Brault (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Michael Hermosillo (Cubs): Quad, D60
  • Keegan Thompson (Cubs): Back, D15
  • Willson Contreras (Cubs): Foot, Day-to-Day
  • Justin Steele (Cubs): Undisclosed, D15
  • Patrick Wisdom (Cubs): Finger, D10
  • Adbert Alzolay (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Alec Mills (Cubs): Back, D60
  • Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Jason Heyward (Cubs): Knee, D60
  • Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D60
  • Lucas Sims (Reds): Back, D60
  • Christian Greene (Reds): Shoulder, D15
  • Reinaldo Almora Jr. (Reds): Shoulder, D10
  • Connor Overton (Reds): Back, D60
  • Matthew Reynolds (Reds): Hip, D10
  • Timothy James Zeuch (Reds): Back, D15
  • Robert Dugger (Reds): Shoulder, D15
  • Jeffrey Hoffman (Reds): Forearm, D60
  • Aramis Garcia (Reds): Finger, D60
  • Tyler Stephenson (Reds): Clavicle, D60
  • Justin Wilson (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Douglas Ashcraft (Reds): Biceps, D15
  • Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Forearm, D60
  • Daniel Duarte (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Joseph Votto (Reds): Rotator Cuff, D60
  • Michael Moustakas (Reds): Calf, D60
  • Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.