Reds vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 22

Arizona Diamondbacks' Corbin Carroll plays during the first inning of a baseball game, Sunday, June 11, 2023, in Detroit.
(AP Photo/Carlos Osorio)
Sportsbook Promos
  • The Diamondbacks are -185 favorites vs the Reds
  • Reds vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Reds / Diamondbacks TV Channel: DBTV | RDTV

The Cincinnati Reds (+150) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-185) on August 22, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 pm in Phoenix, AZ.

This season, the Reds are 61-68 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 69-56 ATS.

Reds vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Reds starting pitcher: Rhett Lowder 4-8, 5.17 ERA
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Mike Soroka 8-3, 2.95 ERA

Reds vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Reds+1.5 -145O 8 -110+150
Diamondbacks -1.5 +118U 8 -110-185

Reds vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 54.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Elly De La Cruz has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.90 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Tyler Stephenson has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+12.85 Units / 33% ROI)
  • JJ Bleday has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.70 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Sal Stewart has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.30 Units / 36% ROI)
  • JJ Bleday has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.15 Units / 26% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Lars Nootbaar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.30 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Gabriel Moreno has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+13.85 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Lars Nootbaar has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+12.75 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Jordan Lawlar has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games at home (+12.50 Units / 208% ROI)
  • Corbin Carroll has hit the Walks Over in 12 of his last 20 games (+10.85 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 14 games (+10.25 Units / 61% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+5.50 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 45 games (+4.00 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 25 away games (+3.65 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 40 games (+12.05 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 24 games at home (+9.70 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 30 games at home (+7.25 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+6.25 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 50 games at home (+6.15 Units / 11% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 66-61 against the Run Line (-11.6 Units / -6.42% ROI).

  • 61-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.75 Units / -4.66% ROI
  • 68-59 when betting on the total runs Over for +3 Units / 2.11% ROI
  • 59-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.4 Units / -10.88% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 69-56 against the Run Line (+1.95 Units / 1.13% ROI).

  • 68-61 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.05 Units / 6.01% ROI
  • 56-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.75 Units / -12.46% ROI
  • 67-56 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.85 Units / 4.14% ROI

Diamondbacks vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Corbin Carroll +425
Eugenio Suarez +450
Sal Stewart +525
JJ Bleday +550
Nolan Arenado +550

Diamondbacks vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Corbin Carroll 0.5 -235 0.5 +170
Geraldo Perdomo 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Elly De La Cruz 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Sal Stewart 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Nolan Arenado 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Diamondbacks vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
JJ Bleday 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Hector Rodriguez 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Jordan Lawlar 0.5 -185 0.5 +135
Corbin Carroll 0.5 -175 0.5 +130
Tim Tawa 0.5 -175 0.5 +130

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Reds are just 7-17 (.292) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Reds are 6-60 (.091) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

The Reds are 49-14 (.778) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Reds are just 30-16 (.652) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Diamondbacks are 59-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB.

The Diamondbacks are 8-117 (.064) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB.

The Diamondbacks are just 110-25 (.815) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Diamondbacks were just 67-7 (.905) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .956.

The Reds are batting just .221 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .225 this season — lowest in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .205 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB.

The Reds have an xwOBA of just .315 this season — lowest in MLB.

The Diamondbacks are batting .280 against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters are slugging .451 against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of .798 (1,353 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters have struck out in just 17% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Reds pitchers have walked 11% of batters this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

The Reds pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 60% of their games this season — highest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have an ERA of 4.97 (353.1 IP) against division opponents this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

The Reds have allowed 1.64 runs per game (211/129) in late innings this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — 4th best in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have struck out just 17% of left-handed batters they faced this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.