Reds vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 23

Corbin Carroll Diamondbacks
AP Photo/Alex Brandon
Parlay Boost Today
  • The Diamondbacks are -140 favorites vs the Reds
  • Reds vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • Reds / Diamondbacks TV Channel: PEAC

The Cincinnati Reds (+115) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-140) on August 23, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:15 pm in Phoenix, AZ.

This season, the Reds are against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are ATS.

Reds vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Reds starting pitcher: Andrew Abbott 6-8, 4.08 ERA
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Mitch Bratt 1-2, 4.14 ERA

Reds vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Reds+1.5 -185O 9 -110+115
Diamondbacks -1.5 +150U 9 -110-140

Reds vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 57.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


Bet now on Reds vs Diamondbacks and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Andrew Abbott has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+15.95 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 away games (+13.90 Units / 174% ROI)
  • Andrew Abbott has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.00 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Tyler Stephenson has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+12.85 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+12.85 Units / 28% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Nolan Arenado has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games at home (+19.20 Units / 192% ROI)
  • Gabriel Moreno has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+14.70 Units / 98% ROI)
  • Ildemaro Vargas has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+12.65 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+11.15 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Ildemaro Vargas has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+11.10 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games (+9.15 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+5.60 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 45 away games (+4.95 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 away games (+4.05 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 18 away games (+0.15 Units / 1% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 40 games (+9.00 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+8.35 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 45 games at home (+6.40 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+6.25 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 50 games at home (+6.15 Units / 11% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Diamondbacks vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Eugenio Suarez +350
Sal Stewart +390
Corbin Carroll +450
Nolan Arenado +450
JJ Bleday +475

Diamondbacks vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Gabriel Moreno 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Dane Myers 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Elly De La Cruz 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Tyler Stephenson 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Ildemaro Vargas 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Diamondbacks vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Matt McLain 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Tyler Stephenson 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
JJ Bleday 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Dane Myers 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Jordan Lawlar 0.5 -185 0.5 +135

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Reds are 6-60 (.091) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

The Reds are just 7-17 (.292) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Reds are 49-14 (.778) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Reds are just 31-16 (.660) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Diamondbacks are 59-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB.

The Diamondbacks are just 110-25 (.815) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Diamondbacks are 8-118 (.063) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB.

The Diamondbacks were just 67-7 (.905) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .956.

Reds hitters have struck out in 26% of their PA’s against RHP this season — highest in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .205 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .223 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .218 at home this season — lowest in MLB.

The Diamondbacks are batting .280 against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters have struck out in just 17% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters have a swing rate of just 25% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of .798 (1,353 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Reds pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 66% of their games at home this season — tied for highest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have walked 11% of batters this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have an ERA of 4.97 (353.1 IP) against division opponents this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

The Reds pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 60% of their games this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% in the first 5 innings this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 36% of their games this season — lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


Bet now on Reds vs Diamondbacks and all games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.

The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.

About the Author Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.