- The Diamondbacks are -155 favorites vs the Reds
- Reds starting pitcher: Christian Greene
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Brandon Pfaadt
- Watch the game on ARID
The Cincinnati Reds (+125) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-155) on Friday, August 25, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix.
The Diamondbacks are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Reds vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Reds are 67-62 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 70-56 ATS.
Reds vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | +1.5 -155 | O 9 -120 | +125 |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +125 | U 9 +100 | -155 |
Reds vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 68.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Reds vs Diamondbacks and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Under in 25 of his last 36 games (+16.45 Units / 26% ROI)
- Will Benson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+13.05 Units / 39% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+12.45 Units / 43% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 24 away games (+10.95 Units / 42% ROI)
- Nick Senzel has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+10.15 Units / 62% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ketel Marte has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 18 games at home (+13.15 Units / 36% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 14 games (+12.20 Units / 41% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Singles Under in 33 of his last 48 games (+11.90 Units / 17% ROI)
- Zac Gallen has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 18 of his last 26 games (+9.95 Units / 27% ROI)
- Ketel Marte has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 18 games (+9.85 Units / 42% ROI)
Diamondbacks vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Elly De La Cruz | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -900 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
Diamondbacks vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +110 |
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Elly De La Cruz | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
Diamondbacks vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Elly De La Cruz | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Diamondbacks vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Pfaadt | 6.5 -105 | 6.5 -120 |
| Hunter Greene | 6.5 -145 | 6.5 +110 |
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 81 of their last 128 games (+28.40 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 50 away games (+24.50 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 48 away games (+13.65 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 48 away games (+7.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.70 Units / 40% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 53 games at home (+12.65 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 42 games (+11.49 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 53 games at home (+8.74 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.49 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in their last 5 games at home (+5.65 Units / 90% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 81-48 against the Run Line (+27.4 Units / 16.17% ROI).
- 67-62 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.55 Units / 11.1% ROI
- 64-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.15 Units / -3.68% ROI
- 63-64 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.15 Units / -5.12% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 70-56 against the Run Line (+7.7 Units / 4.76% ROI).
- 66-60 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.7 Units / 5.69% ROI
- 53-66 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.65 Units / -14.65% ROI
- 66-53 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.1 Units / 6.67% ROI
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hunter Greene has struck out 35% (151/431) of left-handed batters he faced since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 115 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 99th Percentile.
Hunter Greene has struck out 35% (151/431) of left-handed batters he faced since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 179 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 99th Percentile.
Hunter Greene has allowed a slugging percentage of .895 (77 Total Bases / 86 ABs) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 115 total IP; League Avg: .580 — 0 Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 28% (64/227) against Hunter Greene since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 115 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 12% (2/16) against Brandon Pfaadt — 2nd lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 45% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 61% (25/41) against Brandon Pfaadt on elevated fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 39% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 27% (9/33) against Brandon Pfaadt — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 44% — third Percentile.
Opposing hitters have no hits in their last 34 ABs ending on a two-strike breaking pitch from Brandon Pfaadt. — Jason Adam has the longest active streak at 39.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Reds are 22-40 (.355) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .218.
The Reds are just 42-31 (.575) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .700.
The Reds are just 38-41 (.481) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .641.
The Reds are just 13-19 (.406) after a loss as favorites since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .584.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Diamondbacks are just 106-20 (.841) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .907.
The Diamondbacks are just 120-12 (.909) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .952.
The Diamondbacks are just 29-14 (.674) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .795.
The Diamondbacks are 18-109 (.142) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .093.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .320 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .342.
Games involving the Reds went UNDER in 72% of their games (39.7% ROI) after a loss as favorites since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
The Reds are 78-50 (.605) against the run line (12.1% ROI) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .493.
The Reds are batting just .142 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .155.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Diamondbacks hitters have a swing rate of just 46% against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Diamondbacks hitters are slugging just .378 against LHP since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Diamondbacks hitters have chased 13% of pitches out of the zone on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 16%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Reds pitchers have won 53% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Reds pitchers have walked 240 of 2,579 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Reds pitchers have walked 110 of 1,152 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Reds pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have 370 three-pitch strikeouts since last season — 5th fewest in MLB.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2021 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Mark Melancon (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Corbin Martin (Diamondbacks): Lat, D60
- Austin Adams (Diamondbacks): Ankle, D60
- Kenneth Kelly (Diamondbacks): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
- Thomas Henry (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
- Drey Jameson (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
- Zachary Davies (Diamondbacks): Back, D15
- Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
- Stuart Fairchild (Reds): Concussion, D7
- Connor Overton (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Curtis Casali (Reds): Foot, D10
- Nicholas Lodolo (Reds): Calf, D60
- Kevin Newman (Reds): Oblique, D10
- Reiver Sanmartin (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Jake Fraley (Reds): Toe, D10
- Joseph Votto (Reds): Shoulder, D10
- Edward Lively (Reds): Pectoral, D15
- Jonathan India (Reds): Heel, D10
Bet now on Reds vs Diamondbacks and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
