- The Diamondbacks (29-33) are -145 favorites vs the Reds (21-39)
- Reds starting pitcher: Michael Minor (0-2), 8.64 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Kenneth Kelly (5-3), 3.32 ERA
- Watch the game on BSAZ
The Cincinnati Reds (+120) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-145) on Monday, June 13, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix.
The Diamondbacks are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Reds vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Reds are 21-39 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 36-26 ATS.
Reds vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | +1.5 -160 | O 8.5 -110 | +120 |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +135 | U 8.5 -110 | -145 |
Reds vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Monday‘s matchup with 63.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Joey Votto has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.35 Units / 30% ROI)
- Joey Votto has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+6.40 Units / 38% ROI)
- Joey Votto has hit the RBIs Under in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 53% ROI)
- Kyle Farmer has hit the RBIs Over in 5 of his last 9 games (+4.65 Units / 52% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 11 games (+4.25 Units / 39% ROI)
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- David Peralta has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 9 games (+6.35 Units / 71% ROI)
- Josh Rojas has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 5 games (+6.05 Units / 75% ROI)
- Alek Thomas has hit the Runs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+5.80 Units / 116% ROI)
- Pavin Smith has hit the Singles Under in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+5.55 Units / 47% ROI)
Diamondbacks vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alek Thomas | 0.5 675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Carson Kelly | 0.5 375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 290 | 0.5 -450 |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 0.5 850 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Jordan Luplow | 0.5 270 | 0.5 -450 |
Diamondbacks vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alek Thomas | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 135 |
| Carson Kelly | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 125 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 165 |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 110 |
| Jordan Luplow | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 120 |
Diamondbacks vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alek Thomas | 0.5 195 | 0.5 -300 |
| Carson Kelly | 0.5 160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 110 | 0.5 -160 |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 0.5 230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jordan Luplow | 0.5 160 | 0.5 -250 |
Diamondbacks vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Merrill Kelly | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 110 |
| Mike Minor | 4.5 -165 | 4.5 115 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Reds Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 32 games (+14.30 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 23 of their last 34 games (+11.25 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 34 games (+9.20 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 27 games (+6.20 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 34 games (+4.90 Units / 13% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Diamondbacks: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games at home (+12.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 51 games (+9.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 51 games (+6.20 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.85 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 55 games (+1.55 Units / 2% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 27-33 against the Run Line (-9.7 Units / -13.2% ROI).
- 21-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.5 Units / -22.19% ROI
- 32-27 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.1 Units / 3.17% ROI
- 27-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.5 Units / -12.84% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 36-26 against the Run Line (+7.1 Units / 8.74% ROI).
- 29-33 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.3 Units / 3.45% ROI
- 26-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.05 Units / -17.84% ROI
- 35-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.85 Units / 8.47% ROI
Michael Minor: Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Mike Minor has walked 4 of 135 batters (3%) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 109 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 100th Percentile.
20 of Mike Minor’s 65 breaking pitch strikeouts (31%) have been backdoor since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 109 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .365 (46-for-126) against Mike Minor with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 109 total IP; League Avg: .249 — second Percentile.
22 of Mike Minor’s 83 breaking pitch strikeouts (27%) have been backdoor since the start of 2020 — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 139 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 98th Percentile.
Kenneth Kelly: Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .200 (6-for-30) against Merrill Kelly on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .317 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .143 (5-for-35) against Merrill Kelly on inside fastballs this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .267 — 96th Percentile.
Merrill Kelly has walked 14 of 153 right-handed batters (9%) this season — 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — eighth Percentile.
Merrill Kelly has allowed a slugging percentage of just .257 (9 Total Bases / 35 ABs) on inside fastballs this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .427 — 91st Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Reds are just 0-32 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .098.
The Reds are just 18-4 (.818) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .927.
The Reds are just 9-22 (.290) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .482.
The Reds are just 2-122 (.016) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .083.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Diamondbacks are just 78-21 (.788) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .876.
The Diamondbacks are just 86-14 (.860) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .917.
The Diamondbacks are 11-3 (.786) when scoring in the first inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .663.
The Diamondbacks are just 9-25 (.265) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters have an OPS of just .585 (1,100 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .690.
Reds hitters are slugging just .315 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .383.
The Reds are batting just .231 against LHP since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Reds hitters have an OPS of just .691 (2,212 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks are batting just .183 in righty-righty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
The Diamondbacks are batting just .210 at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Diamondbacks hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of just .581 (1,654 PA’s) in righty-righty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .707.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Reds have allowed 1.83 runs per game (110/60) in late innings this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 1.31.
Reds pitchers have an ERA of 5.42 (259.0 IP) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.83.
Reds pitchers have walked 854 of 8,483 batters (10%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 65% of their games on the road since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Diamondbacks vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Humberto Castellanos (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D15
- Nicholas Ahmed (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Jacob Bukauskas (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
- Lucas Sims (Reds): Lower Back, D15
- Donovan Solano (Reds): Hamstring, D60
- Connor Overton (Reds): Back, D60
- Nicholas Lodolo (Reds): Back, D10
- Max Schrock (Reds): Calf, D60
- Tyler Stephenson (Reds): Hand, D10
- Jake Fraley (Reds): Knee, D10
- Aristides Aquino (Reds): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
- Justin Wilson (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Michael Moustakas (Reds): Undisclosed, D10
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Forearm, D15
- Daniel Duarte (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Jonathan India (Reds): Hamstring, D10
- Tyler Naquin (Reds): Quad, D10
- Tejay Antone (Reds): Undisclosed, D60
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