Reds vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 13

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 13, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Diamondbacks (29-33) are -145 favorites vs the Reds (21-39)
  • Reds starting pitcher: Michael Minor (0-2), 8.64 ERA
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Kenneth Kelly (5-3), 3.32 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSAZ

The Cincinnati Reds (+120) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-145) on Monday, June 13, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix.

The Diamondbacks are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).

The Reds vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Reds are 21-39 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 36-26 ATS.

Reds vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Reds+1.5 -160O 8.5 -110+120
Diamondbacks -1.5 +135U 8.5 -110-145

Reds vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Monday‘s matchup with 63.7% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Diamondbacks vs Reds and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Joey Votto has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.35 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Joey Votto has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+6.40 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Joey Votto has hit the RBIs Under in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Kyle Farmer has hit the RBIs Over in 5 of his last 9 games (+4.65 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Tommy Pham has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 11 games (+4.25 Units / 39% ROI)

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • David Peralta has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 9 games (+6.35 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Josh Rojas has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 5 games (+6.05 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Alek Thomas has hit the Runs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+5.80 Units / 116% ROI)
  • Pavin Smith has hit the Singles Under in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+5.55 Units / 47% ROI)

Diamondbacks vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alek Thomas 0.5 675 0.5 -2000
Carson Kelly 0.5 375 0.5 -700
Christian Walker 0.5 290 0.5 -450
Geraldo Perdomo 0.5 850 0.5 -5000
Jordan Luplow 0.5 270 0.5 -450

Diamondbacks vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alek Thomas 0.5 -190 0.5 135
Carson Kelly 0.5 -175 0.5 125
Christian Walker 0.5 -250 0.5 165
Geraldo Perdomo 0.5 -155 0.5 110
Jordan Luplow 0.5 -165 0.5 120

Diamondbacks vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alek Thomas 0.5 195 0.5 -300
Carson Kelly 0.5 160 0.5 -225
Christian Walker 0.5 110 0.5 -160
Geraldo Perdomo 0.5 230 0.5 -350
Jordan Luplow 0.5 160 0.5 -250

Diamondbacks vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Merrill Kelly 4.5 -155 4.5 110
Mike Minor 4.5 -165 4.5 115
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 32 games (+14.30 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 23 of their last 34 games (+11.25 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 34 games (+9.20 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 27 games (+6.20 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 34 games (+4.90 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games at home (+12.00 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 51 games (+9.80 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 51 games (+6.20 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.85 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 55 games (+1.55 Units / 2% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 27-33 against the Run Line (-9.7 Units / -13.2% ROI).

  • 21-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.5 Units / -22.19% ROI
  • 32-27 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.1 Units / 3.17% ROI
  • 27-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.5 Units / -12.84% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 36-26 against the Run Line (+7.1 Units / 8.74% ROI).

  • 29-33 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.3 Units / 3.45% ROI
  • 26-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.05 Units / -17.84% ROI
  • 35-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.85 Units / 8.47% ROI

Mike Minor has walked 4 of 135 batters (3%) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 109 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 100th Percentile.

20 of Mike Minor’s 65 breaking pitch strikeouts (31%) have been backdoor since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 109 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 97th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .365 (46-for-126) against Mike Minor with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 109 total IP; League Avg: .249 — second Percentile.

22 of Mike Minor’s 83 breaking pitch strikeouts (27%) have been backdoor since the start of 2020 — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 139 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 98th Percentile.

Kenneth Kelly: Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .200 (6-for-30) against Merrill Kelly on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .317 — 98th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .143 (5-for-35) against Merrill Kelly on inside fastballs this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .267 — 96th Percentile.

Merrill Kelly has walked 14 of 153 right-handed batters (9%) this season — 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — eighth Percentile.

Merrill Kelly has allowed a slugging percentage of just .257 (9 Total Bases / 35 ABs) on inside fastballs this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .427 — 91st Percentile.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Reds are just 0-32 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .098.

The Reds are just 18-4 (.818) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .927.

The Reds are just 9-22 (.290) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .482.

The Reds are just 2-122 (.016) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .083.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Diamondbacks are just 78-21 (.788) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .876.

The Diamondbacks are just 86-14 (.860) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .917.

The Diamondbacks are 11-3 (.786) when scoring in the first inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .663.

The Diamondbacks are just 9-25 (.265) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Reds hitters have an OPS of just .585 (1,100 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .690.

Reds hitters are slugging just .315 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .383.

The Reds are batting just .231 against LHP since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.

Reds hitters have an OPS of just .691 (2,212 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .183 in righty-righty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .210 at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.

Diamondbacks hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of just .581 (1,654 PA’s) in righty-righty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .707.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Reds have allowed 1.83 runs per game (110/60) in late innings this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 1.31.

Reds pitchers have an ERA of 5.42 (259.0 IP) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.83.

Reds pitchers have walked 854 of 8,483 batters (10%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 65% of their games on the road since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Diamondbacks vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Humberto Castellanos (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D15
  • Nicholas Ahmed (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
  • Jacob Bukauskas (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
  • Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
  • Lucas Sims (Reds): Lower Back, D15
  • Donovan Solano (Reds): Hamstring, D60
  • Connor Overton (Reds): Back, D60
  • Nicholas Lodolo (Reds): Back, D10
  • Max Schrock (Reds): Calf, D60
  • Tyler Stephenson (Reds): Hand, D10
  • Jake Fraley (Reds): Knee, D10
  • Aristides Aquino (Reds): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
  • Justin Wilson (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Moustakas (Reds): Undisclosed, D10
  • Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Forearm, D15
  • Daniel Duarte (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Jonathan India (Reds): Hamstring, D10
  • Tyler Naquin (Reds): Quad, D10
  • Tejay Antone (Reds): Undisclosed, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.