Reds vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 14

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 14, 2022, 11:28 AM
  • The (37-23) are favorites vs the (37-23)
  • Reds starting pitcher: Tyler Mahle (2-5), 5.07 ERA
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zachary Davies (2-3), 4.21 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSAZ

The Cincinnati Reds () visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks () on Tuesday, June 14, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix.

The are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at ().

The Reds vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Reds are 22-39 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 36-27 ATS.

Reds vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Reds O
Diamondbacks U

Reds vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 67.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Diamondbacks vs Reds and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Joey Votto has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+6.85 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Joey Votto has hit the RBIs Under in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Joey Votto has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 16 games (+5.35 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Brandon Drury has hit the Hits Over in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 40% ROI)

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Alek Thomas has hit the Runs Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+7.30 Units / 122% ROI)
  • Alek Thomas has hit the Singles Over in his last 6 games (+6.45 Units / 106% ROI)
  • Alek Thomas has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 89% ROI)
  • Alek Thomas has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Alek Thomas has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 57% ROI)

Diamondbacks vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alek Thomas 0.5 +675 0.5 -2000
Carson Kelly 0.5 +550 0.5 -1200
Christian Walker 0.5 +250 0.5 -400
David Peralta 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Geraldo Perdomo 0.5 +875 0.5 -5000

Diamondbacks vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alek Thomas 0.5 -185 0.5 +125
Carson Kelly 0.5 -140 0.5 -105
Christian Walker 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
David Peralta 0.5 -200 0.5 +135
Geraldo Perdomo 0.5 -110 0.5 -125

Diamondbacks vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alek Thomas 0.5 +220 0.5 -350
Alek Thomas 0.5 +230 0.5 -350
Carson Kelly 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
Christian Walker 0.5 +105 0.5 -150
David Peralta 0.5 +165 0.5 -250
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 33 games (+15.30 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games (+10.25 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 35 games (+10.20 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 35 games (+6.30 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 28 games (+5.20 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 31 games at home (+11.00 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 52 games (+8.80 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 52 games (+4.60 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 9 of their last 16 games at home (+3.55 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 56 games (+0.40 Units / 1% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 28-33 against the Run Line (-8.7 Units / -11.6% ROI).

  • 22-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.1 Units / -19.74% ROI
  • 33-27 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.1 Units / 4.6% ROI
  • 27-33 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.5 Units / -14.14% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 36-27 against the Run Line (+6.1 Units / 7.42% ROI).

  • 29-34 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.7 Units / 1.03% ROI
  • 27-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.05 Units / -16.06% ROI
  • 35-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.85 Units / 6.92% ROI

Tyler Mahle has walked 18 of 107 batters (17%) versus the top of the order this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.

Tyler Mahle has a strikeout rate of 42% (39 SO in 92 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 96th Percentile.

Tyler Mahle has walked 10 of 53 batters (19%) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 14% (14/97) against Tyler Mahle this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 97th Percentile.

Zachary Davies: Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Zach Davies has located his pitches away 69% of the time (182/262) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 20% (52/262) against Zach Davies on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — first Percentile.

Zach Davies has struck out just 13% (16/125) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — fifth Percentile.

Zach Davies has a strike rate of just 59% (276/469) vs left-handed batters this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — seventh Percentile.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Reds are just 2-122 (.016) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .084.

The Reds are just 10-22 (.312) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .482.

The Reds are just 19-4 (.826) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .926.

The Reds are just 5-17 (.227) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .277.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Diamondbacks are just 86-14 (.860) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .916.

The Diamondbacks are just 78-21 (.788) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .876.

The Diamondbacks are just 14-17 (.452) at home this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .518.

The Diamondbacks are 4-27 (.129) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .074.

Reds hitters are slugging just .318 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .383.

Reds hitters have an OPS of just .590 (1,139 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .690.

The Reds are batting just .211 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .239.

The Reds are batting just .231 against LHP since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .192 in righty-righty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .242.

Diamondbacks hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.

Diamondbacks hitters have put just 33% of balls in play to the left side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .189 against division opponents this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .240.

Reds pitchers have walked 856 of 8,522 batters (10%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Reds pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 31 double plays in 476 opportunities (7%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Reds pitchers have walked 239 of 2,323 batters (10%) this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Diamondbacks vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Humberto Castellanos (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D15
  • Nicholas Ahmed (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
  • Jacob Bukauskas (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
  • Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
  • Lucas Sims (Reds): Lower Back, D15
  • Aristides Aquino (Reds): Calf, D10
  • Donovan Solano (Reds): Hamstring, D60
  • Connor Overton (Reds): Back, D60
  • Nicholas Lodolo (Reds): Back, D10
  • Max Schrock (Reds): Calf, D60
  • Tyler Stephenson (Reds): Hand, D10
  • Jake Fraley (Reds): Knee, D60
  • Justin Wilson (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Forearm, D15
  • Daniel Duarte (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Tyler Naquin (Reds): Quad, D10
  • Tejay Antone (Reds): Undisclosed, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.