- The – (37-23) are favorites vs the – (37-23)
- Reds starting pitcher: Tyler Mahle (2-5), 5.07 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zachary Davies (2-3), 4.21 ERA
- Watch the game on BSAZ
The Cincinnati Reds () visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks () on Tuesday, June 14, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix.
The – are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at ().
The Reds vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Reds are 22-39 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 36-27 ATS.
Reds vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | O | ||
| Diamondbacks | U |
Reds vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 67.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Joey Votto has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+6.85 Units / 20% ROI)
- Joey Votto has hit the RBIs Under in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 54% ROI)
- Joey Votto has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 16 games (+5.35 Units / 30% ROI)
- Brandon Drury has hit the Hits Over in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 40% ROI)
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Alek Thomas has hit the Runs Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+7.30 Units / 122% ROI)
- Alek Thomas has hit the Singles Over in his last 6 games (+6.45 Units / 106% ROI)
- Alek Thomas has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 89% ROI)
- Alek Thomas has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 57% ROI)
- Alek Thomas has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 57% ROI)
Diamondbacks vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alek Thomas | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Carson Kelly | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
| David Peralta | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
Diamondbacks vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alek Thomas | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +125 |
| Carson Kelly | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 -105 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
| David Peralta | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +135 |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -125 |
Diamondbacks vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alek Thomas | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Alek Thomas | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Carson Kelly | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -150 |
| David Peralta | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Reds Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 33 games (+15.30 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games (+10.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 35 games (+10.20 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 35 games (+6.30 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 28 games (+5.20 Units / 17% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Diamondbacks: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 31 games at home (+11.00 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 52 games (+8.80 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 52 games (+4.60 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 9 of their last 16 games at home (+3.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 56 games (+0.40 Units / 1% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 28-33 against the Run Line (-8.7 Units / -11.6% ROI).
- 22-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.1 Units / -19.74% ROI
- 33-27 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.1 Units / 4.6% ROI
- 27-33 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.5 Units / -14.14% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 36-27 against the Run Line (+6.1 Units / 7.42% ROI).
- 29-34 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.7 Units / 1.03% ROI
- 27-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.05 Units / -16.06% ROI
- 35-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.85 Units / 6.92% ROI
Tyler Mahle: Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tyler Mahle has walked 18 of 107 batters (17%) versus the top of the order this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Tyler Mahle has a strikeout rate of 42% (39 SO in 92 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 96th Percentile.
Tyler Mahle has walked 10 of 53 batters (19%) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 14% (14/97) against Tyler Mahle this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 97th Percentile.
Zachary Davies: Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zach Davies has located his pitches away 69% of the time (182/262) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 20% (52/262) against Zach Davies on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — first Percentile.
Zach Davies has struck out just 13% (16/125) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — fifth Percentile.
Zach Davies has a strike rate of just 59% (276/469) vs left-handed batters this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — seventh Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Reds are just 2-122 (.016) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .084.
The Reds are just 10-22 (.312) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .482.
The Reds are just 19-4 (.826) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .926.
The Reds are just 5-17 (.227) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .277.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Diamondbacks are just 86-14 (.860) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .916.
The Diamondbacks are just 78-21 (.788) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .876.
The Diamondbacks are just 14-17 (.452) at home this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .518.
The Diamondbacks are 4-27 (.129) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .074.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters are slugging just .318 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .383.
Reds hitters have an OPS of just .590 (1,139 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .690.
The Reds are batting just .211 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .239.
The Reds are batting just .231 against LHP since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks are batting just .192 in righty-righty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Diamondbacks hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Diamondbacks hitters have put just 33% of balls in play to the left side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
The Diamondbacks are batting just .189 against division opponents this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Reds pitchers have walked 856 of 8,522 batters (10%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 31 double plays in 476 opportunities (7%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Reds pitchers have walked 239 of 2,323 batters (10%) this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Diamondbacks vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Humberto Castellanos (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D15
- Nicholas Ahmed (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Jacob Bukauskas (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
- Lucas Sims (Reds): Lower Back, D15
- Aristides Aquino (Reds): Calf, D10
- Donovan Solano (Reds): Hamstring, D60
- Connor Overton (Reds): Back, D60
- Nicholas Lodolo (Reds): Back, D10
- Max Schrock (Reds): Calf, D60
- Tyler Stephenson (Reds): Hand, D10
- Jake Fraley (Reds): Knee, D60
- Justin Wilson (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Forearm, D15
- Daniel Duarte (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Tyler Naquin (Reds): Quad, D10
- Tejay Antone (Reds): Undisclosed, D60
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